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07-01-2011, 06:23 AM
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#1
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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FORMULA'S TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS PLAYS JULY 1
HERE ARE THE RULES (UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED)
POSTED PUBLIC'S FAVORITE ARE WIN AND PLACE BETS.
THE PLACE BET IS OVERWEIGHTED BY A FACTOR OF 1.5
POSTED PUBLIC'S SECOND CHOICES IN THE BETTING ARE WIN BETS ONLY.
IT'S EXPECTED THAT 26% OF THE RACES WILL BE PLAYABLE.
WILL POOL ROI IS EXPECTED TO BE 9% FOR FAVORITES AND 12% FOR 2ND CHOICES.
PLACE POOL ROI FOR FAVORITES IS EXPECTED TO BE 13%.
RECAP FOR THE THREE PREVIOUS THREADS;
115 RACES
201 WIN AND OR PLACE PLAYS
$413 BET
$387.9 RETURNED
6% LOSS
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 07-01-2011 at 06:25 AM.
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07-01-2011, 08:54 AM
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#2
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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saf arl race 6 #4
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 09:23 AM
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#3
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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SAF Arlington - Race 6
# Win Place Show
9 $7.60 $4.00 $0.00
4 . $3.80 $0.00
10 . $3.60
the 4 ran as a non favorite. i need to investigate the uk place payouts a bit further.
for now I'll consider the uk non fav plays as if they were favorites.
that is the a place bet will be a 1.5 that of a win bet
the bet for this race would have been $2 win, $3 place, giving a return of $5.7
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 11:10 AM
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#4
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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uk doncaster r 5 #5 wp
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 11:25 AM
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#5
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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UK Doncaster - Race 5
# Win Place Show
9 $44.60 $0.00 $0.00
now i'm very confused. the 5 finished 3rd and, based other plays should have collected place money.
the 6 finished 2nd.
where did all the place pool money go?
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 03:08 PM
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#6
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by formula_2002
UK Doncaster - Race 5
# Win Place Show
9 $44.60 $0.00 $0.00
now i'm very confused. the 5 finished 3rd and, based other plays should have collected place money.
the 6 finished 2nd.
where did all the place pool money go?
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thats better
UK Doncaster - Race 5
# Win Place Show
9 $44.60 $10.40 $0.00
6 . $2.20 $0.00
5 . $5.00 $0.00
$2 win bet and 3$ place bet returned..$7.50..
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 03:13 PM
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#7
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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mth r6 #3
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 03:25 PM
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#8
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Monmouth Park - Race 6
# Win Place Show
3 $4.60 $2.60 $2.10
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 03:43 PM
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#9
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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mth r6 #4
that should be the 7th race
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 07-01-2011 at 03:53 PM.
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07-01-2011, 05:58 PM
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#10
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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cd r3 #6
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 06:06 PM
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#11
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Churchill Downs - Race 3
# Win Place Show
6 $8.40 $4.60 $4.20
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 06:15 PM
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#12
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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so far
2 uk, non fav ran
$4 win returned 0
$6 place returned $13.2
2 usa fav fan
$4 win ret 4.60
$6 pl ret $3.9
1 usa non fav ran
$2 win returned $8.40
total so far
$22 bet $30.10 returned.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 07-01-2011 at 06:18 PM.
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07-01-2011, 06:26 PM
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#13
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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cd r4 #2
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-01-2011, 09:34 PM
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#14
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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mnr r7 #5
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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07-02-2011, 06:11 AM
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#15
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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saf tuff r1 #8
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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