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11-08-2009, 12:29 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Westwood/Century City CA
Posts: 588
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AGAIN!...Equidaily's "Bombs Away" Report...Bet $4,500 Return $8,020
http://www.equidaily.com/bestbet/opi...007/71026.html
Once again, from the report posted on Equidaily's website in 2007:
Simply WIN betting blindly on all Breeder's Cup entrants at 20/1 or higher.
On Friday and Saturday, there were combined 45 Breeder's Cup entrants that went off at 20/1 or higher.
Example of betting $100 to win on all of them:
There were win payoffs of $52.60, $63.20 and $44.60.
BET $4,500
RETURN $8,020
PROFIT $3,520
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11-08-2009, 12:53 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,077
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Twinspire profit line over lays at 10-1 or higher did pretty good...Fourteen plays. Two winners.
Race 4)..  ...$52.60....Profit Line odds were 12-1..
Race 5)..  ...$63.20...Profit Line odds were 19-1
This is in the tool tab on the odds board..The over lays are in red..
Last edited by cmoore; 11-08-2009 at 12:55 AM.
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11-08-2009, 07:51 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: over at HTR
Posts: 851
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Quote:
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Once again, from the report posted on Equidaily's website in 2007:
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...wondering how that approach did in 2008...??
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11-09-2009, 11:52 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 429
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Seth mentioned to me on Saturday that he didn't do the report for last year because he wasn't sure how "true" the odds were, but that he would in fact revisit 2008.
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11-09-2009, 06:44 PM
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#5
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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In 2008 there was one $75 winner.
I have no idea what he means by "true" odds, but I went by the results charts.
There were 51 horses that went off 20 to 1 or more.
$5100 bet
$3750 returned
$1350 lost
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11-10-2009, 01:03 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,653
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so over 2 years it would have been a $2,170 profit for wagering $9,600.
Not for me.
When I get in the mood to blow money blindly, (which I don't) I'd do a search, on a rainy day, of all horses with the word storm, stormy, slop, etc. in their names. Another day, I'd do all horses with word gold, golden, goldie, etc.
Done it on paper, made a profit both times. 
$9600 is too rich to "dispense with handicapping" for me, though.
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11-10-2009, 01:28 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
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He won't answer, but is Bob Selvin serious with this garbage
If I were Jeff Siegal I would part ways pronto.
Seems like we hear from him every time a big day rolls around.
Darn shame there's a lack of rope a dopes around here. Then again....
Our site of redboardingsuckers.com had post position 2 as the winning flavor.
Check out our SuperDuper Results:
29.80, 44.60, 3.80 or $78.20 for $20 bet.
Think of what you could do with that money!!
See ya next year. (two days later)
Last edited by bigmack; 11-10-2009 at 01:29 AM.
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11-10-2009, 01:40 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Westwood/Century City CA
Posts: 588
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I don't think you read the link that I posted
That was the jist of my post and not just this year's results.
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11-10-2009, 01:46 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Turfday
That was the jist of my post and not just this year's results.
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Ah, now I see.
It had nothing to do with:
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11-10-2009, 01:47 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Westwood/Century City CA
Posts: 588
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Actually, it had to do with ONLY 20/1 shots and above
.
Betting Interests
20-1 or higher $2 Win Wager Total Return ROI
All-time 20-1 or higher 727 $1454.00 $1618.70 25%
Last edited by Turfday; 11-10-2009 at 01:57 AM.
Reason: typo
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11-10-2009, 01:50 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
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11-10-2009, 01:52 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Westwood/Century City CA
Posts: 588
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Or a poster not bothering to read the value of the link ?
IMPATIENT:
im⋅pa⋅tient /ɪmˈpeɪʃənt/ Show Spelled Pronunciation [im-pey-shuhnt] Show IPA
Use IMPATIENT in a Sentence
–adjective 1. not patient; not accepting delay, opposition, pain, etc., with calm or patience.
2. indicating lack of patience: an impatient answer.
3. restless in desire or expectation; eagerly desirous.
—Idiom4. impatient of, intolerant of: impatient of any interruptions.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Betting Interests
20-1 or higher $2 Win Wager Total Return ROI
All-time 20-1 or higher 727 $1454.00 $1618.70 25%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last edited by Turfday; 11-10-2009 at 01:55 AM.
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11-10-2009, 02:06 AM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
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I give. You're right.
Next year I follow/buy your approach. Thanks for the insight.
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11-10-2009, 02:46 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Westwood/Century City CA
Posts: 588
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Comprehensively through the history of BC (1984-2009)
There have been a grand total of 848 Breeder's Cup starters at 20/1 or higher.
A blind $2 win bet on all 848 would cost $1,696.
The return is $1,854.10...a profit of $158.10. Not quite 10%. I trust most handicappers making $2 win bets on 848 Breeder's Cup starters of their choice would fare worse and I would place myself at the top of that list.
Unfortunately, the plays of 20/1 or higher are not broke down by field size.
Perhaps it be reasonable to assume that if you limited your plays at 20/1 or higher to the bigger fields sizes that you would enhance the profit potential ?
It would be interesting to find out if there is a correlation with field size.
Last edited by Turfday; 11-10-2009 at 02:48 AM.
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