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07-15-2009, 01:02 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: philadelphia
Posts: 928
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2nd at Suffolk July 15
Interesting. We have a #7 horse, Shabacci that has a 9.4 Prime Power number advantage over the rest of the field. Normally, this results in a post-time odds of 1-5 (sometimes 2-5). However, there are some things about this filly that the whale programs may not give the green light. Be interesting to see what the heavy late money does with her. Opened very luke warm on the board. Of course, that doesn't mean she won't get hammered. 3-1 with 18 min to post.
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07-15-2009, 01:06 PM
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#2
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AllAboutTheROE
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Denver
Posts: 2,411
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If you want the kiss of death, the model I'm posting picks with has her as a standout as well.....
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07-15-2009, 01:09 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: philadelphia
Posts: 928
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My only concern is if they give me a number low enough to bet against. Sure not betting on at 2-5 or less.
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07-15-2009, 01:15 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: philadelphia
Posts: 928
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Problem is the three I have that could beat her: 4,6,8 are all S-types and this filly could get loose. 5-2 with 5 min to go. opps bang 9-5
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07-15-2009, 01:24 PM
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#5
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AllAboutTheROE
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Denver
Posts: 2,411
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6/5 looked good to me....3/5....? Won for fun.
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07-15-2009, 01:27 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: philadelphia
Posts: 928
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Didn't get loose but the zombie that had the top disintegrated, leaving her alone. Won by 6 at 3-5 with last minute action. Some of the whales sat this one out. Probably kicking themselves about now. How do we let one get away at a juicy price like $3.40?? We must be nuts!
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07-15-2009, 01:31 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,352
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I like how the odds dropped from 4/5 to 3/5 as she made the winning move at the quarter pole.
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07-15-2009, 01:59 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 8,077
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by markgoldie
Didn't get loose but the zombie that had the top disintegrated, leaving her alone. Won by 6 at 3-5 with last minute action. Some of the whales sat this one out. Probably kicking themselves about now. How do we let one get away at a juicy price like $3.40?? We must be nuts!
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You and I must have a different definition of "juicy price"... 
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07-15-2009, 02:43 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by ryesteve
I like how the odds dropped from 4/5 to 3/5 as she made the winning move at the quarter pole.
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Of course we are talking about the Suffolk pools here...what is that, $20?
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07-15-2009, 02:50 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Location: philadelphia
Posts: 928
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cmoore
You and I must have a different definition of "juicy price"... |
Was being facetious, talking about the chalk playing whales who follow their computer programs to pounce on standouts.
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07-15-2009, 04:01 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,352
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by castaway01
Of course we are talking about the Suffolk pools here...what is that, $20?
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The issue is the timing, not the magnitude of the drop or how much might be required for it to happen.
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07-15-2009, 04:05 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 145
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Whales playing at Suffolk on 5k claimers? 
The win pool there is about 25K, but maybe that's large enough.
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