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Old 03-07-2007, 12:44 PM   #1
formula_2002
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long term capital plays 03-07-2007

a few late in the day picks to get everyone even
wp <5/2...wps>=5/2


Code:
track	date	       race	pgno	name	       ml	post
BEU	20070307	8	6	DASH OF FAM	12	4:17
SA	20070307	6	3	RED OPAL	2	6:36
OP	20070307	10	11	SHORTY SMAL	3.5	6:38
DED	20070307	4	6	SIR EXCAVAT	20	8:37
DED	20070307	4	7	WANT MORE	15	8:37
PEN	20070307	6	9	GEMINIZED	6	8:49
DED	20070307	6	1	ANTE UP PET	10	9:29
dash of fan is 4 times
red opal is 4 times
shrtysmall is 8 times
sir ex is 6 times
want more is 4 times

the next 2 are 3 each
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Old 03-07-2007, 03:56 PM   #2
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Hope the outcome is better than that of the ill fated Long Term Capital Management a few years back
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Old 03-07-2007, 04:09 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rgustafson
Hope the outcome is better than that of the ill fated Long Term Capital Management a few years back
I was looking for a title that was representative of what I hope to accomplish.
As I was typing it out, I realized the title had already been used!
I guess that’s what they had in mine also.
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Old 03-07-2007, 04:33 PM   #4
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Beulah Park - Race 8
# Win Place Show
5 $9.40 $4.80 $3.20
6 . $5.40 $3.80
2 . . $6.40

wps cost = $6 x 4 times =$24.00
p&s returned $9.20 x 4 times = $36.80
7% rebate x 24= $1.68

$38.48/ $24.00 = 1.60 roi
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Last edited by formula_2002; 03-07-2007 at 04:35 PM.
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Old 03-07-2007, 07:14 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Beulah Park - Race 8
# Win Place Show
5 $9.40 $4.80 $3.20
6 . $5.40 $3.80
2 . . $6.40

wps cost = $6 x 4 times =$24.00
p&s returned $9.20 x 4 times = $36.80
7% rebate x 24= $1.68

$38.48/ $24.00 = 1.60 roi
the next two horse;
1 was of the board for a wp , 4 times
the other placed for a wps , 8 times.

total played was $64.00
totaled returned w/ 7% rebate was $ 57.44

so far, still ahead for the day
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Old 03-07-2007, 08:52 PM   #6
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the two horses in DED 4th;
the 6, ran out for 6 times
the 7, placed for 4 times at $10.2 place, 5.60 show

total played was $60.00
$63.20 was returned + 7% rebate = $67.40

roi= 67.40/60 =1.12
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Old 03-07-2007, 08:57 PM   #7
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with 1 race remaining, (the penn beast scratched)

$163.20 returned / $148 played =1.10 roi.
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Old 03-07-2007, 09:45 PM   #8
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final tomorrow, but right now, with that last play off of the board for 3 times
(cost, $18.00)

$163.20+$1.26 rebate in the last race= $164.46 returned /$166 played= .99 roi
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Old 03-08-2007, 05:31 AM   #9
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finals:
in the <5/2 catagory;
4 wp plays cost $16.00...$0 returned

in the >=5/2 catagory;
25 plays cost $150.00 ..$92.80 placed and $60 showed. total return= $152.80

total played = $166.00

total returned= $152.80 +7% rebate,$11.66= $164.46

roi=164.46/166 = .99
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Old 03-08-2007, 05:55 AM   #10
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Something that needs looking into is favorite over the >=5/2 pick.
For example, there were 25 exacta plays..cost =$50.00

1 exacta won for $15.00 at 8 times returning $120.00.
There was another race where the pick ran 2nd and the winner was 3.70-1 and the fav was 3.6-1. The exacta returned $45.80 for 4 TIMES..


worth the look..

plus, Betcris offers a 8% rebate on exacta betting!!
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