A good enough race to discuss that is essentially a borderline G3. OC$80Kn2x for 3YO fillies. 1 mile on the green stuff.
Amertume: Has yet to run a bad race to date, and if given a lane when the real racing starts, she is a major contender. Fear has to be she could get pinned on the rail, and at 5/2 or less, are you willing to take that 'chance'?
Curuzu: MTO entry that is a scratch unless cats and dogs start falling from the sky.
Data Dependent: Has been agressively placed, but really hasn't ran a race that stands out among these she faces today. Brown/Castellano deserve respect, but gotta pass on a likely underlay.
Closing Statement: Took her 6th maiden voyage to get the job done at a 'lesser' level at Monmouth. Cut back in distance could do her some good, and there are some back races to like. Breeding is interesting. 6/1 ML I think will likely go up, so could get a nice price on a willing contender.
Fairy Link: Beat the
four races back, and has only been less than 10/1 once in 5 career starts. Last race was pretty solid and cuts back a full furlong from that effort. Tote board should be interesting on this one.
Matty's Magnum: Figures say she is getting better and ready for a peak effort. I just can't see that she has beaten anybody of note. Career best effort might not even get her in the trifecta.
Night Time Lady: Was obviously way overbet last time, but that is the Brown/Ortiz conundrum on grass at Belmont. Hasn't ran a race that deserves less than 15/1, but will likely go off at 6/1 or less. Exotics wagering, but can't see her on top.
Tocame Linda: Bettors haven't liked her much, but she is getting better every time out. 15/1 ML will likely end up at 30/1 or better. Interesting bottom end for exotics.
Beckoning: The bloody Irish horse hasn't exactly enjoyed the going in her first two tries on American soil. Not sure I'm ready to read too much into her last, and the G3 Florida Oaks really wasn't that bad. Deserves a second if not third look.
City Day: Got beat by a couple of really nice horses 3 back that would be 9/5 or less in this race today. I can excuse the race 2 back, and she did win on the slop last out. Bullet work on 6/22 points to all signs go. I don't see that there is any chance we get 10/1, but if we do....
Golden Orb: Aggressively purchased. Aggressively placed. They are expecting a lot from her, and she hasn't delivered much yet. I have to let her beat me, even in exotics, at an underlaid price.
Kitten's Covergirl: Well..., it is a Kitten. And her last is good enough to be more than competitive in here. Reality is, she hasn't faced much in 6 career races, and has been overbet even in those. Waters get much deeper today. Likely needs to be on the front end to steal this one if she can. Can't see it.
SUMMARY: If I can get the
at 6/1 or better, I'll play. Also along with the
. Interesting race with a lot of possibilities that can make the late P4 and P3 pretty juicy.
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