Update:
If someone decided to play Dutch Win bets using only the Top 3 early picks these were the results:
R#1 - 1-6 W/ 7-5-4-3.............. Results:
1 -6-5-12 (Top choice – Quin/Tri)
Dutch –
1 ( 2.3/1 ) – 6 ( 7.2/1 ) – 7 ( 14/1 ) - $100.00 – $100.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT BET TOT PRF PRF %
2.3 7.2 14.0
$7 $16 $30
$60 $24 $14 $98 $100 103%
$198 $198 $99
R#2 - 3-1 W/ 5-6-8-2................... Results:
5 -6-4-7 (3rd choice)
Dutch – 3 ( 10/1 ) – 1 ( 7.2/1 ) –
5 ( 2.9/1 ) - $96.00 – $196.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
2.9 7.2 10.0 BET PRF
$8 $16 $22
$44 $20 $16 $80 $96 113%
$172 $172 $172
R#3 - 2-5 W/ 4-6-8....... Results:
2-5-7-6 (Top choice – Quin)
Dutch –
2 ( 2.8/1 ) –5 ( 5.6/1 ) –4 ( 4.9/1 ) - $64.00 – $260.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
2.8 4.9 5.6 BET PRF
$8 $12 $13
$41 $27 $24 $92 $64 69%
$156 $159 $158
R#4 - 4-1 W/ 5-2-8-12......... Results: 12-2-9-3 (Out – 6th choice – Altered w/Live tote)
Dutch – 4 ( 4.1/1 ) – 1 ( 9.6/1 ) – 5 ( 2.6/1 ) - (
$86.00) – $174.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
2.6 4.1 9.6 BET PRF
$7 $10 $21
$42 $30 $14 $86 $66 76%
$152 $152 $152
R#5 - 5-6 W/ 9-3-1-4......... Results:
9 -6-4-7 (3rd choice – Quin/Tri)
Dutch – 5 ( 3.4/1 ) – 6 ( 28/1 ) –
9 ( 11/1 ) - $167.00 – $341.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
3.4 11.0 28.0 BET PRF
$9 $24 $58
$58 $21 $9 $88 $167 190%
$255 $255 $255
R#6 - 5-7 W/ 1-2-6-10......... Results: 9-1-11-7 (Out)
Dutch – 5 ( 10/1 ) – 7 ( 2.2/1 ) – 1 ( 6/1 ) - (
$38.00) – $303.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
2.2 6.0 10.0 BET PRF
$6 $14 $22
$22 $10 $6 $38 $32 83%
$70 $70 $70
R#7 - 2-1 W/ 4-3-5-11.......... Results: 12-4-3-8 (Out)
Dutch – 2 ( 18/1 ) – 1 ( 13/1 ) – 4 ( 6.9/1 ) - (
$75.00) – $228.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
6.9 13.0 18.0 BET PRF
$16 $28 $38
$38 $21 $16 $75 $225 299%
$300 $300 $300
R#8 - 1-3 W/ 2-4-6-7........Results: 4-5-8-1 (4th choice Early – Altered w/Live tote)
Dutch –1 ( 30/1 ) – 3 ( 18/1 ) – 2 ( 4.2/1 ) - (
$89.00) –
$139.00
Code:
LOW MID HI TOT TOT PRF %
4.2 18.0 30.0 BET PRF
$10 $38 $62
$62 $17 $10 $89 $233 261%
$322 $322 $322
This was all done using the preliminary picks and Dutching 3 entries in
EVERY race on the card. No matter how many races are played this positive result can only become reality when there's obvious value in the chosen selections (Note Profit % potential in each race). Hitting these 4 out of 8 races (50%) produced a hypothetical profit of $139 after betting $557 or a 25% profit margin.
Betting thought: Some might agree that in retrospect that if the known overall hit frequency with the early picks is averaging between 50 & 60% for a total race card and you already hit 4 out of the first 5 races and there’s only 3 left, that it might be best to either reduce the bet size on the remaining races or stop betting altogether.
Even so, when played and observed properly you can absolutely produce a positive ROI with a reasonable hit frequency and a combination of entries with decent odds.
Hope you made some money!
HONG KONG/Happy Valley-WED 10/12
