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12-27-2013, 04:47 AM
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#1
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 467
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The Admiral
Santa Anita Race 3 today. To me, he has the feel of a true Derby type horse. Really hoping that he puts it together today. As for betting, its a small field. But if he is a comparable price to the NY shipper then I believe he is worth betting. He feels like a much more likely winner to me at very similar ML odds.
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12-27-2013, 12:22 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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That is a really good race, I can make a case for 1-4. That race Cool Samurai comes out of is salty as well.
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12-27-2013, 12:36 PM
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#3
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Unreconstructed
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Appalachia
Posts: 6,646
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The Admiral will be hammered down to 3-5 or so. I like Cool Samurai quite a bit and the price will be right.
__________________
Deo Vindice
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12-27-2013, 04:32 PM
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#4
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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not the fastest works for the Admiral given the trainer preferences.
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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12-27-2013, 04:38 PM
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#5
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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tough beat for the Admiral considering the pace duel, but he still had a chance to win if he was head and shoulders better than these.
Cool Samurai had a dream trip, but on the bright side, was much more professional today.
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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12-27-2013, 08:02 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 467
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
tough beat for the Admiral considering the pace duel, but he still had a chance to win if he was head and shoulders better than these.
Cool Samurai had a dream trip, but on the bright side, was much more professional today.
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I expected more out of him today. Im sure he will be OK, the top 2 will be fine going forward.
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12-27-2013, 08:11 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,569
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
tough beat for the Admiral considering the pace duel, but he still had a chance to win if he was head and shoulders better than these.
Cool Samurai had a dream trip, but on the bright side, was much more professional today.
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How can you say the winner had an ideal trip?
He would have won easier had the pace for 6 furlongs been quicker.
They went a fifth quicker for three quarters in the MCL 8th race.
I believe that the winner has at least as bright a future as the runner-up.
Probably even more so......
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12-27-2013, 08:31 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses
How can you say the winner had an ideal trip?
He would have won easier had the pace for 6 furlongs been quicker.
They went a fifth quicker for three quarters in the MCL 8th race.
I believe that the winner has at least as bright a future as the runner-up.
Probably even more so......
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You could be right.
I thought the winner had a dream trip today. The 1 unexpectedly broke running and what was going to be an easy lead turned into a little bit of a grind out of the gate until Talamo ceded the lead.
The two leaders were pretty far in front of the others, whether or not they were ultra quick compared to other races.
Cool Samurai ran a stylish race, but he also moved up with the flow of the race.
I'm not betting derby futures on either one, but they are both solid horses.
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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12-27-2013, 09:38 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thebigguy
Santa Anita Race 3 today. To me, he has the feel of a true Derby type horse. Really hoping that he puts it together today. As for betting, its a small field. But if he is a comparable price to the NY shipper then I believe he is worth betting. He feels like a much more likely winner to me at very similar ML odds.
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Not to be critical of your post, but does this horse really have a true "routers gait"? Also, out of a Saratoga Six mare, doesnt scream mile and a quarter. Does that bother you at all?
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12-27-2013, 11:52 PM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 467
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Not to be critical of your post, but does this horse really have a true "routers gait"? Also, out of a Saratoga Six mare, doesnt scream mile and a quarter. Does that bother you at all?
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I dont think you're being critical, not at all.
After todays race it bothers me. Duel or no duel at one point at the top of the stretch it felt like he could run off. He just could not. Distance limitations seem very possible. I think he is talented regardless though.
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12-28-2013, 10:40 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,613
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When horses open up on the rest of the field like that, it's typically a sign of a fast pace. But there was very little speed in that race, both the leaders finished OK late, and the fractions weren't particularly fast relative to the final time . So I'm going to guess that despite appearances, it was a pretty neutral setup. Had Icy Ground not also made up a lot of ground, I'd actually lean towards Cool Samurai running especially well. But I'll stick with neutral.
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"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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12-28-2013, 01:45 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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The final number was fairly strong from CJ, not sure of the pace. Wicked Strong who beat Cool Samraui is a nice horse and he was right with him so I think that was a good maiden setup or not.
Maybe a good call on The Admiral distance, he ran like a sprinter in that first race tracking a solid pace and making a run, he just was a bit flat in comparison.
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01-17-2014, 06:30 PM
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#13
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Admiral racing in a few mins at SA.
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01-17-2014, 08:31 PM
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#14
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Admiral racing in a few mins at SA.
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That was ugly, for both him and the Baffert 1st timer that was favored.
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01-17-2014, 10:45 PM
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#15
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
That was ugly, for both him and the Baffert 1st timer that was favored.
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yes, rough day for both.
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