MLB Picks 2023

[Half Smoke]

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thank you CheckMark



6-1__________ + 2.85



potd:



Cardinals - run line - 1.5 - 118 over Pirates



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the Tampa Bay Rays have won 13 in a row to tie the record for most consecutive wins to open a season in the modern era going back to 1900

if they beat the Blue Jays in Toronto today they will break that record - no team in existence today has matched that

the 1884 St. Louis Maroons won 20 in a row to start the season



6-2__________ + 1.85



Mets - 210 over Athletics


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7-2__________ + 2.33



Braves - 140 over Royals_____________4:10 et



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8-2_________ + 3.04


Guardians - 230 over Nationals_________1:35 et

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8-3_______ + 2.04



switching gears



Pirates/Rockies - under 11.5_____ - 105



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8-4_________ + 1.04


Braves - 135 over Padres

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[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

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8-4_________ + 1.04


Braves - 135 over Padres

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the Padres have been shut out twice in a row. let's see if they can keep going and break the record held by the 1903 Pittsburgh Pirates @6.

[Half Smoke]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

the Padres have been shut out twice in a row. let's see if they can keep going and break the record held by the 1903 Pittsburgh Pirates @6.

the Rays won 13 in a row to start the season tying the modern era record for consecutive wins starting with Opening Day going back to 1900.

then they lost 3 out of the next 4

on April 9 they had outscored their opponents 75-18

according to a Twitter talking head they were the first team since 1884 to have a run differential of more than 50 over the first 9 games of the season

they now have a +4.5 runs per game scored differential

is this a fluke or will they end up super strong too________?_________I dunno


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[dnlgfnk]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

the Rays won 13 in a row to start the season tying the modern era record for consecutive wins starting with Opening Day going back to 1900.

then they lost 3 out of the next 4

on April 9 they had outscored their opponents 75-18

according to a Twitter talking head they were the first team since 1884 to have a run differential of more than 50 over the first 9 games of the season

they now have a +4.5 runs per game scored differential

is this a fluke or will they end up super strong too________?_________I dunno


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Super strong? No.

The Dodgers recorded an absurd +331 run diff last year. That is +2 runs per game. At that pace, Rays would be +34.

The regression is coming. Top tier pitcher Jeffrey Springs out 2 months or more. Every starter is currently above league average offensively- super team stuff for a group who finished 11th in run diff last yr. Even if one wants to project them as the best run diff team this yr., moving them up halfway is a likely good over/under mark (roughly 5th or 6th by October).

Guys like Josh Lowe, Yandy Diaz, Wander Franco all showing career best power nos., all at the same stage of career and season.

[dnlgfnk]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

the Padres have been shut out twice in a row. let's see if they can keep going and break the record held by the 1903 Pittsburgh Pirates @6.

Though it's the second of a three game series, teams get shutout in a three game series roughly once a decade. The chances before Sunday were probably about 1500-1.

More importantly, in 70 games with San Diego, Juan Soto is a "good player" 21% better than league avg. (and 4% below this yr.), vs. his MVP yearly 50% above league avg. offense with Washington.

[dnlgfnk]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

the Padres have been shut out twice in a row. let's see if they can keep going and break the record held by the 1903 Pittsburgh Pirates @6.

And BTW, the Pirates did the shutting out that yr., on their way to the first World Series.

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9-4________ +1.78


Rays run line - 1.5 - 140 over Reds________12:35 et


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10-4__________ + 2.5


Phillies - 220 over Rockies


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10-5________ + 1.5


Angles - run line - 1.5 -135 over Royals


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11-5__________ + 2.24



Athletics/Rangers over 8.5 - 120



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