Finally got a chance to crunch the pedigrees and watch replays. When reading the review, the info used was gathered using The Blood Horse and thoroughbred pedigree query and it is not as accurate as a Catalog style but for the purposes of handicapping for the thread, I am keeping cost's down.. I prefer the Comprehensive Sales Analysis by Brisnet but 20$ is a bit to steep. You used to be able to get them free at the sales and give the best picture of the famliy's race record and general worth.
$150,000*Hutcheson Stakes*(gr. IT, Race 8, 3:49 p.m.), 3YO, 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
PP. Horse, Jockey, Weight, Trainer
1. Tarpy's Goal (FL), J Castellano, 116, D L Romans*
By Sharp Humor who now resides in Korea. Not a fan of inbred female line stallions for male offspring but that’s personal. Sire took similar trip winning the Swale 7fur and stretched to run2nd in the FLA derby. Fractured a knee in the Derby. Romans trained Sharp Humor. Pedigree is quite stout sporting Grassy router Exbourne and German Royalty Orsinin Derby winner Iron Leige is in quality female line that in imported and sports quality stallion selection. My concern is the line going back double to Newminster and Hermit both bleeders. I know it was a long time back but I have my crazy ways. Don’t know what happened at Saratoga. Shins or breathing or maybe the surface but did not like the rail.. Really ran against little at CD and was nursed back with a nice 5fur work on the turf and then got his N1x going all out to win by 2. Was not much left in the tank but galloped ok. Jlep rides for Sheppard. If you have confidence in Javier the 5-1 or better.
2. Wildcat Creek (FL), A Serpa, 116, E Plesa Jr.*
Wildcat Heir is what I call precocious .Bloodlines for good 2yo speedsters but when stretched out class prove poor wagers. Shackleford stayed a little farther than most from the line. Female family produced nice horse in Harlan Gr1 Sprinter.
Not much of a mover as he paddles much like a sprinter and action looked faltering when all out for second in the Pasco . Look for N2x Don’t see much reason for improvement.
3. Thunder Moccasin (KY), J R Velazquez, 116, T A Pletcher*
By Ap Warrior who went on tear in Calif as 3yo. Already showing promise a sire although nobody is stretching out yet. Tail female to La Troienne. Quality tail line including Forli and Devils Bag.. Won debut impressively and flattered by Ender Kneviel and Panthro both cruising to easy maiden scores. Came back to winners circle still pulling and looked very full of himself. Has the right to move forward just want to one more gear before future book this one. Does this one have to win today or prep for Fla Derby? Pletcher has something special and this one is mapped out. 95k bargain.
4. Quick Wit (KY), R A Dominguez, 116, D L Romans*
Romans sends out another son of Sharp Humor . Nothing special in pedigree. 32k purchase must have been from individual look. Made a big middle move in last and looked to hang a bit when passing tiring foes and moved away in the stretch with no real threat from a suspect bunch. Second maiden winner that Julien L gives up. Romans has Derby fever and wants to get there with a Sharp Humor. Might regress is pace stays hot to lane.
5. Il Villano (KY), E Trujillo, 118, S L Crowell*
By Pollard’s Vision who won the Illinois Derby and counts Blind Luck to his classic winner resume. No female names to speak of and scratching my head about the 600k sales tag.. Tried Alpha in last and ran with that one till the 1/16th pole and held on for second. Pace record shows only one tactic to employ. Go to the front and improve your position. Probably wants to sprint and just how Philly speed translates here is the question. New pilot looks to get caught outside horses as others inside want same thing.
6. Ever So Lucky (KY), J R Leparoux, 116, J E Sheppard*
One of my favorite combos of Jockey and trainer. 600k purchase for the respected Augustin stable this one looks the part of one being mapped for the Derby. Liked the hiatus at Camden in Aiken , good for a young horse. By the venerable Indian Charlie who seeks to get the classic winner with this one. Female line is the best of Farish with a triple of Something royal . Double of Gay Missle through siblings Lassie Dear and Gay Macene. See AP Indy . This is pretty special pedigree that has a strong likelihood of carrying large heart not to mention breeding potential. Has grade earnings and ran a respectable 2nd to the well regarded Gemologist in the Gr II Jockey Cup. Works are showing improving sort and Sheppard looks to Churchill. A win today would be within the scope but don’t see the onion getting peeled to fast here. Should be used as threat for Fla Derby with good effort here. Could be the nicest pedigree so far this year.
Pace Synopsis
Would see II Villano trying for the lead with Thundering Moccasin keeping that one wide . Ever So Lucky gets a good trip in the second flight and battles with Thundering Moccasin to get beat a length with a tiring Ill Villano hanging on for third with tired Wild cat Creek in 4th
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