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-   -   2017-2018 HONG KONG (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=140560)

Nitro 06-23-2018 10:56 PM

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN 6/24/18
 
Good evening and soon to be morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I thought I would stop by and post a few live selections from another competitive card.
It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 2 on Dirt:
(from top to bottom) -
(2)-Class2, (4)-Class3, (3)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...gRedirect=true

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with some preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 pick, but currently they all look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

Nitro 06-23-2018 11:29 PM

Quote:

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 2 on Dirt:
(from top to bottom) - (2)-Class2, (4)-Class3, (3)-Class4 & (1)-Class5
Correction:
(1) G3 Stakes - (2)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (3)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Nitro 06-24-2018 12:46 AM

R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T…..1-2-7 W/ 5-8 ….….1:00 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #10 – Watch Live tote activity)

Nitro 06-24-2018 01:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2333074)
R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T…..1-2-7 W/ 5-8 ….….1:00 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #10 – Watch Live tote activity)

Results - 7-2-9-1
Dutch Win, but Passed with only 26% margin
Quinella - $12.10

Solid action on the Top 3 choices

Nitro 06-24-2018 01:22 AM

R#2 - 1400M C5 (7F)T….. 3-8-2 W/ 5-6-7 …..…1:30 AM EST –
(Also of interest are: #4 – Watch Live tote activity)

Nitro 06-24-2018 01:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2333079)
R#2 - 1400M C5 (7F)T….. 3-8-2 W/ 5-6-7 …..…1:30 AM EST –
(Also of interest are: #4 – Watch Live tote activity)

Results - 10-5-8-4
Dutch Loss, but with 59% margin
Quinella - Out

No action on the Big LS Winner @ 88/1

Nitro 06-24-2018 01:52 AM

R#3 - 1800M C3 (9F)T…..2-1-5 W/ 3-4 .......2:00 AM EST -

Nitro 06-24-2018 02:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2333084)
R#3 - 1800M G3 (9F)T…..2-1-5 W/ 3-4 .......2:00 AM EST -

Results - 1-2-3-5
Dutch Win, but Passed with only 12% margin
All of that one - Quinella - $10.60

Late action on the heavily Favored Winner

Nitro 06-24-2018 02:22 AM

R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)D…..1-2-3 W/ 4-9 …....2:30 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #10 – Watch Live tote activity)

Nitro 06-24-2018 02:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2333091)
R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)D…..1-2-3 W/ 4-9 …....2:30 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #10 – Watch Live tote activity)

Results - 3-12-2-1
Dutch Win, but with 57% margin
Quinella - Out

Solid early action on Winner

Code:



LOW        MID        HI        TOT        TOT        PRF %
1.9        3.7        11.0        BET        PRF       
$6        $9        $24                         
$330        $200        $88        $610        $350        57%
$960        $940        $960                         



Nitro 06-24-2018 02:52 AM

R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.……3-7-1 W/ 8-12-2 …....3:00 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #4 – Watch Live tote activity)

Nitro 06-24-2018 03:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2333095)
R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.……3-7-1 W/ 8-12-2 …....3:00 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #4 – Watch Live tote activity)

Results - 8-12-5-1
Dutch Win, but Passed with only 30% margin
Quinella - $24.70

Winning Favorite took all the late action – Moved into my top 3

Nitro 06-24-2018 03:27 AM

R#6 - 1600M C3 (8F)T……....5-1-11 W/ 10-6-7 ……3:35 AM EST –

fellowmen 06-24-2018 03:31 AM

Hi Nitro would you be so kind to jump ahead and post your winners in the pic 3? Don't think i can stay awake for the whole card. And thank you for the 3rd race i played the 1-2 over 1-2 over 3-4 ten times so i have $260 left of their money to play with

Nitro 06-24-2018 03:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fellowmen (Post 2333098)
Hi Nitro would you be so kind to jump ahead and post your winners in the pic 3? Don't think i can stay awake for the whole card. And thank you for the 3rd race i played the 1-2 over 1-2 over 3-4 ten times so i have $260 left of their money to play with

I would like to help you out, but because I only use the tote action to make my picks I only play on a race by race basis.


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