D J Smith so hard to figure @ AQU !!!

[TheOracle]

You just never know when one of his horses will come up and pop for $30 or $50.

His horses don't hit the board or win for a decent percentage but when they do the prices are usually huge.

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/j smith dirt.jpghttp://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d j smith dirt.jpg

He has #4 Green Gratto in the Tom Fool on Saturday in the 4th race.

Let's see if he can hit the board for a price!!

[TheOracle]

D J Smith did hit the board yesterday but he didn't pay that much of a price for show.

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d j smith marsvn.jpg

I will be keeping an eye on him for the rest of the season at Aqueduct.


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d j smith drt.png


He might have one more big payout before the season is finished.

[WoxFan]

Try a couple of more items in your sheet:
- purse value ( DJ Smith is 0/33 when the purse >= 60000 the last 2 years )
- distance change: he is 1/33 when changing distance by shortening up by more than 0.5 f or stretching out by 1f or longer.

Add in those two filters and you go from a 8/90 trainer to a 7/39 trainer.

[TheOracle]

Hey Wox,

That's pretty interesting I didn't think to look at any of the purse value !!

So I will start looking to see what he does in the races with the cheaper purse values !!

He has a horse entered for tomorrow in the 1st race at Aqueduct:
#7 Bay Dawn

Let's see what happens !!

Thanks for the heads up!!

[TheOracle]

D J Smith was 0 for 2 today in hitting the board as #7 Bay Dawn and #1 Private Councel were both off the board in their races.


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d j smithhoffbrd.jpg

I will still keep an eye on his horses to see if he has a horse that will pop for a big price before the season ends at Aqueduct!!