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View Full Version : STREAK ALERT D Jacobson Claimers hit the board in 13 straight @AQU


TheOracle
11-15-2014, 09:30 PM
D Jacobson is on a streak and his horses have hit the board 13 straight times at Aqueduct on the Dirt in Claiming races!!!

I can't believe I let this get by me !!!

Since November 5th his horses in Claiming races have hit the board 13 straight times including 6 wins during the streak!!

His win prices have only averaged $6 but his horses are winning at 46% and have hit the board in 13 straight Claiming races on the Dirt.

If you had wagered $2 to win on each of his horses it would have cost you $26 and you would have won $35.40 giving a profit of $9.40 which is a 36% return on your money!!

If you were ultra conservative and wagered $2 to win, place and show on his horses during the streak it would have cost you $78 you would have won $111.10 giving a profit of $33.10 which is a 42% return on your money!! So, you are actually getting a better return across the board for $2 than wagering $2 to win during the streak.


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/D_Jacobson_strk13.jpg http://www.insidethenumbers.net/image/D_Jacobson_strk13.jpg http://www.insidethenumbers.net/image/D_Jacobson_strk13.jpghttp://www.insidethenumbers.net/image/D_Jacobson_strk13.jpghttp://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/D_Jacobson_strk.jpg




Interesting to note, if you had wagered $2 to show on his horses during the streak it would have cost you $26 and you would have won $34.90 which is a 34% return on your money just wagering to show. Not too shabby for show wagering and your return is almost as much as wagering to win for $2 each time.

I went ahead and calculated the show parlay, it turns out that if you wagered $2 to show on his horses and parlayed your winnings each time during the streak it would have initially cost you $2 and right now you would have $50.25.

The question is, would you risk the $50 on his next Claiming entry or would you take the $50 and run?


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/D_Jacobson_parlay.jpg http://www.insidethenumbers.net/D_Jacobson_parlay.jpg http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/D_Jacobson_parlay.jpg


Also, the longest streak I have seen in hitting the board is 16 which was done by C C Brown at Saratoga in August of 2013!!

D Jacobson has an entry tomorrow on the Turf #7 Double Whammy in the 5th race it will be interesting to see what happens if they take this race off the Turf and he stays in the race without getting scratched!!!

Personally, I would take the $50 and run like I stole something !!

TheOracle
11-15-2014, 09:36 PM
ML Odds indicate Morning Line Odds

Also, if they take the 5th race off the Turf tomorrow and if he should scratch his only entry it would be an indicator to me that he knows this streak is alive!!!

dirty moose
11-15-2014, 11:50 PM
Nice looking spread sheets! Thanks for the info.

lamboguy
11-16-2014, 03:32 AM
congratulation's to David. this is the kind of stuff that makes this game so exciting these days.

TheOracle
11-19-2014, 11:32 PM
D Jacobson had a winner in the 4th race with #4 SocialSaul and now he has hit the board safely in 14 of his last 14 on the Dirt in Claiming races since November 5th.

Too bad I didn't have him to win!!! In any case with the $2.10 price to show the parlay is now up to $52.75!!

No it gets really interesting as D Jacobson has 2 horses entered tomorrow in Claiming races on the Dirt at Aqueduct.

In the 3rd race tomorrow he has #6 Darling Bridezilla who is 6/1 in the Morning Line and it makes me worry that he may not know that he has a streak that is alive!!

Also in the 4th race he has #10 N. F.'s Destiny who is going off at 5/2 in the Morning Line I feel a bit more confident in this horse than the one he has in the 3rd race!!

The question is would you risk the $52 to show on the #6 Darling Bridezilla in the 3rd race and then take that show payout and put it all on the #10 N. F.'s Destiny in the 4th race???

It would be nice to see #6 Darling Bridezilla hit the board and pay at least $4 to show bringing the parlay to over $100 and then risking that on the #10 N. F.'s Destiny to show in the very next race!!!



http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/D jacobson frtn.jpg


It has to be nerve racking to put it all on a horse as the investment money increases!!!