Peter Pan

RAC80527.BEL  DIST= 9 f  CLASS=GST
PROGR NUM/NAME   RS Q ODDS  BL1   BL2    BL3    T1   T2    T3    TT    LF    DSL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(10)SCOTTISH HAL S  0   4.3 14.02 11.14   0.00  47.8  71.3 109.6 56.18 52.29 13
(2)BIG E E       E/P5   5.7  9.14  6.22   1.00  46.8  70.3 109.8 56.20 50.96 21
(4)PORT HERMAN   E/P7   6.4  0.00  0.00   1.37  45.0  69.0 109.9 54.84 49.29 21
(5)SLEW VALLEY   E  5  12.9 12.24 10.25   4.17  47.4  71.1 110.5 55.76 51.19 29
(8)BARE OUTLINE  E/P3  21.6  3.04  4.68   5.54  45.6  70.0 110.8 54.10 49.41 21
(3)UNSHADED      S  2  25.2 13.58 10.27   6.17  47.7  71.1 110.9 56.39 50.80 35
(9)RUNSPASTUM    E/P5  32.4 10.06 10.92   6.94  47.0  71.2 111.0 54.45 51.03 35
(1)GLOBALIZE     E/P5  36.0  7.69  9.88   7.40  46.5  71.0 111.1 53.86 50.13 35
(6)POSTPONED     P  3  72.1 19.88 19.26   9.13  49.0  72.9 111.5 55.13 52.28 24
(7)TAHKODHA HIL  P  2 108.2 15.34 13.61   9.85  48.0  71.8 111.6 55.64 50.84 35

(For An Explanation Of The Rankings Used Here, Consult The PA 2000 User's Guide)

Looks like a very competitive renewel of this event.  Top three horses are rated within a length and
a half of each other.  Not too keen on backing Scottish Halo because he's a big time closer in a race
which doesn't figure to be all that hot up front.  Port Herman should be on the front end as far as he
can carry these.  I don't see him wiring this field with his 10th and last ranked final fraction (LF=49.29).

I guess Big E E is my main play here.  It appears he can stick much closer to the early pace than Scottish
Halo, however, his odds won't be as juicy.  Since I don't like either of the two morning line choices, Unshaded
and Globalize, I'll probably end up getting my price on both Scottish Halo and Big E E.   So, here's the play:

(ME²) Bet Scottish Halo anywhere between and including 9/2 and 7/1
Bet both Scottish Halo and Big E E to win if Scottish Halo is at or above 4-1 AND Big E E is at or above 8-1

If you don't like Unshaded or Globalize, as I don't, you probably can't go wrong betting any of my contenders.
Port Herman, at 12-1 on the morning line, may even be worth a shot even though he'll need to find more down
the stretch then his LF number is telling us he'll have.  Good Luck!

WITH THE SCRATCH OF PORT HERMAN, MY ODDS ON SCOTTISH HALO DROP TO 3-1, AND BIG
E E's ODDS DROP TO 9/2.  Therefore, the ME2 bet is Scottish Halo anywhere between and including 9/2 and 6/1.
The other bet remains the same.

RESULT:  They both went off at 7-1, so the race was passed.