PA 2000 IE -- Metropolitan Handicap Analysis |
Data for Monday, May 29, 2000 |
Met Mile
RAC90529.BEL DIST= 8 f CLASS=GST PROGR NUM/NAME RS Q ODDS BL1 BL2 BL3 T1 T2 T3 TT LF DSL -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (8)YANKEE VICTO E 8 2.6 1.65 2.22 0.00 45.4 68.6 95.6 56.86 50.20 23 (2)RICHTER SCAL E 8 6.1 0.00 7.54 2.26 45.0 69.7 96.0 53.64 52.01 43 (3)BIG JAG S 4 6.9 11.39 12.76 3.21 47.3 70.7 96.2 56.47 53.82 65 (1)WESTERN EXPR E/P8 9.9 1.34 0.00 4.35 45.3 68.1 96.5 57.81 47.81 22 (7)SIR BEAR P 2 19.8 5.21 8.81 6.94 46.1 69.9 97.0 55.41 50.64 37 (5)LIBERTY GOLD E/P6 30.5 5.86 11.37 7.91 46.2 70.4 97.2 54.54 51.27 31 (6)STRAIGHT MAN E 8 304.4 3.82 11.82 15.46 45.8 70.5 98.7 53.44 48.06 23 (4)HONEST LADY E/P3 304.4 7.32 15.18 19.04 46.5 71.2 99.4 53.50 47.98 23
(For An Explanation Of The Rankings Used Here, Consult
The PA 2000 User's Guide)
Early speed is the name of the game in this renewel of the prestigious Met Mile at Belmont
Park on
Memorial Day afternoon. No less than 4 horses have 8 Quirin Speed points, three of
those four are
rated as E8. It looks like the early lead will most likely go to Richter Scale.
The talented speedball will
be stretching things a bit here at one mile, but his figures obviously put him squarely in
the picture come
finish line time. Plus, Richter Scale has proven to be as tough as they come when
the going gets rough,
and his experience at shorter distances will only help his cause here. Combine that
with the fact that he
owns the second best LF (final fraction) number in the field, and you have one very tough
likely favorite.
However, I'm not in this game to bet favorites. That's why I like the fact that
Yankee Victor is my top
pick in this race. He's won his last two wire to wire, which may be a detriment in
this race with all the
speed present. But, you have to bet value in this game, and Richter Scale and Big
Jag are likely to be
way overbet. Yankee Victor will not only offer value, but a very real chance at
winning.
With all of the speed present, you might want to look to Big Jag, with his top LF figure,
to pick up the
pieces of a protracted early speed duel. But there is no chance you'll get at least
6-1 on this horse off
his effort in Dubai.
Therefore, the ME2 bet will be as follows: Bet Yankee Victor at
anything between 9/2 and 5/1 inclusive.
I know this is a very narrow range, but he is likely to fall into this range, being 9/2 on
the morning line. And
the rules are the rules, and it's never a good idea to go against the ME2
rules.