Nah, I don't think there is anything too suspicious behind this.. The key to look at is the post-time favorite.
A 31-1, 11-1, and 7-5 should pay alot less than 37-1, 66-1, 3-1.. You'll find that there are a suprising number of people who usually include atleast one longshot (20-1 or higher) in there trifectas.. but those who throw two in their trifectas are very rare. Also, the 7-5 was in everyone's trifecta. In the second race, there were 4 horses that went off at a price 4-1 or less. The money needed to be spread around. And as I said, very few people would ever throw a 37-1 and a 66-1 together in a triple.
It may be a little small than one might expect.. I would have guessed in the $2500 range..
I regularly hit big tri's.. and I very often are suprised, in one way or another.. A $3679 in the 2nd at Delaware two Saturday's ago.. With a 12-1, 34-1, and 5-1.. I thought it would be a little bigger, and I was stunned to find out that someone else in the OTW had the same exact trifecta, which surely brought down the price a lil bit. So it's certaintly possible and plausible that just because there's a low trifecta, it doesn't mean there was shady insider betting going on.
Also cashed the Met Mile's $798 tri yesterday with Swept Overboard (11-1) on top of two 4-1's. Suprised it paid that much.. But if Left Bank finishes 3rd.. It would be a good bet that the $798 shrinks to $300-$350 area IMO.
A 11-1, 4-1, 4-1, changed to a 11-1, 4-1, 2-1, cut by more than 50%? Yep..
It all depends on the public, and how the horse final position looks to the public.. A 5-1 horse that is constantly finishing 2nd and 3rd in his last 5 or 6 races, is more likely to be thrown in the tail-end of a trifecta than a 5-1 who finishes inconsistantly 7th, 1st, 2nd, 6th, 8th, 2nd.
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