HONG KONG – SHA TIN SUN-3/28

[Nitro]

TOTE ANALYSIS for Race #9 –
(Entries w/Computed Values lower than and closest to PAR are always of interest)

PK	Fin	Min	0	4	10	15    Ent#
4	 	 	373	321	308	313	1
 	 	 	861	817	760	785	2
 	2	 	475	614	582	557	3
5	1	 	422	433	410	401	4
1	 	 	316	208	208	207	5
6	 	 	496	428	395	382	6
3	 	 	327	352	321	303	7
 	4	 	556	506	444	414	8
 	 	 	576	599	601	606	9
 	3	 	567	499	489	457	10
 	 	 	752	720	702	691	11
2	 	 	386	296	295	271	12
 	 	 	501	445	373	347	13
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	14
 	 	 	395	349	331	320	PAR  

•	

[Hypnotist1]

Nitro Race 9 Shatin 3/28/2021

Here is one of my readouts
13% 1 5 1600633.5
13% 1 5 1600633.5
11% 4 5 1422785.333
11% 4 5 1422785.333
11% 5 6 1382925.667
11% 5 6 1382925.667
11% 5 12 1346838
11% 5 12 1346838
6% 1 12 800316.75
6% 1 12 800316.75
6% 1 12 800316.75
6% 1 12 800316.75
5% 3 5 673950.9474
5% 3 5 673950.9474
5% 6 12 592682.4286
5% 6 12 592682.4286
4% 1 6 512202.72
4% 1 6 512202.72
3% 1 4 388032.3636
3% 1 4 388032.3636


1 5 4 6 12 3

[Hypnotist1]

late readout

HORSE 2 min combo
5 81%
7 111%
1 188%
12 74%
4 73%
6 76%
3 99%
10 118%
9 59%
8 86%
13 55%
2 35%
11 38%


1 10 7 3 8 5 NOTICE HOW LOW THE 5 is aka not supported so unlikely to win or place

[Hypnotist1]

20 19 18 17
5 1 1 12 1 1
5 12 2 1 2 2
5 7 5 11 5 5 7 is dead early
5 6 3 2 3 3
5 4 4 3 4 4
5 3 6 4 6 6
5 10 7 7 8 7
5 8 9 6 10 9
5 13 10 8 7 10
5 9 8 5 9 8
5 11 11 9 11 11
5 2 12 10 12 12
1 5 1 12 1 1
1 12 2 1 3 2
1 7 6 4 6 6 7 dead early
1 6 3 2 4 3
1 4 4 8 5 4
1 3 5 3 2 5 3 live early
1 10 7 6 7 8
1 8 8 5 8 7
1 13 10 7 10 10
1 9 9 9 9 9
1 11 11 10 11 11
1 2 12 11 12 12
12 5 1 1 1 2
12 1 2 3 3 3
12 7 6 6 6 4 7 dead early
12 6 3 4 4 1
12 4 4 5 5 6
12 3 5 2 2 5 3 live early
12 10 7 8 7 9
12 8 8 10 9 7
12 13 10 9 10 10
12 9 9 7 8 8
12 11 11 11 11 11
12 2 12 12 12 12

[Hypnotist1]

underlay early
4 9 3
4 4 2
9 6 12
underlay late
2 6 8
6 2 11
10 10 3

[Nitro]

Sorry Hypnotist I can't make heads or tails out of what you've submitted. The results of your analysis may be worthwhile, but I would prefer to use an analysis that's simple to interpret and easy to use quickly.

[Hypnotist1]

Nitro

The 3 is bet early and late Here are the top 6 combo by $ bet I will post the following MTP 19 18 15 10 4 1 and 0 The first 2 numbers are the combo the big number is amount of dollar bet on that combo.

19 MTP 504905 total dollars bet for that minute only for all horse
3 12 24846 bet on the 3 12 combo
4 6 8730 bet on the 4 6 combo 3 is top combo with 12
5 9 8282 bet on the 5 9 combo
6 9 7276 bet on the 6 9 combo
9 12 6997 bet on the 9 12 combo

18 153913
1 3 10501
3 12 9351 see the 3 everywhere
3 4 4117
5 13 3059
3 8 1167

15 358737
7 12 7808
1 10 6929
5 10 5676
4 10 4303
3 9 3919

10 486195
1 7 12027
3 6 10778 3 is 2nd highest bet with the 6
7 12 9714
6 7 9240
4 7 8800

[Hypnotist1]

Here are the late timeframes

4 MTP 1143562
5 7 178042
7 12 121493
6 7 63312
1 7 17455
4 7 14703


1 MTP 2596042
5 1 697378
1 7 290574
4 1 154973 5 1 7 4 3 10
1 3 147929
1 10 108245


0 MTP 3072209
5 7 281521
6 7 273241
4 7 143367 7 6 4 3 12
3 7 129480
7 12 129031


The 4 and 3 are bet early and late not just late as your readout show

[Hypnotist1]

Here is my readout for race 4

track st
date 3/28/2021
chaos # 3
race # 4
Late Money 3 14 5 9 8
3
14
5
9
8
Early Money 17 to 15 5 3 8 10 14
5
3
8
10
14
Early Money 19 to 15 5 3 8 10 14
5
3
8
10
14

Results 5 3 8 1

[Hypnotist1]

Combo Win Show
4 to 1 4 to 1 opening odds order
-4.7% -12% 6
8.2% 12% 3
-3.6% -8% 1
-0.1% 8% 9
1.2% 4% 5
1.0% 2% 8
-1.5% -3% 11
1.5% -1% 14
2.2% 3% 10
-0.7% -2% 2
-0.2% 0% 12
-0.4% 0% 13
0.1% 0% 4
-0.1% 0% 7

see the 6 has - 4.7% and -12% That's very bad for the opening favorite

Thats why the 6 is tossed form the picks NO LATE SUPPORT in RACE 4

While the 3 is positive 8.2 % and 12 % GREAT SUPPORT LATE