2019-2020 HONG KONG

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#6- 2000M C4 (10F)T…...2-6-10 W/ 12-1-4……@3mins to Post

6-13-11-10– BIG Dutch WIN 137% Profit Margin – PLAYED/

I’m calling it a night. GL with the remaining races!

[Nitro]

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m won’t be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 7 races on Turf & 3 on Dirt.

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing! .
.
.

[Nitro]

R#1-1650M C5 (8.25F)D….5-9-7 W/ 12-2-13 …@3mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#1-1650M C5 (8.25F)D….5-9-7 W/ 12-2-13 …@3mins to Post

2-5-10-7– Dutch LOSS 103% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $56.40 Quinella w/Good Value

[Nitro]

R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….2-10-1 W/ 3-9-4 ……@3mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#2-1200M C4 (6F)T…….2-10-1 W/ 3-9-4 ……@3mins to Post

9-2-11-13– Dutch LOSS 49% Profit Margin – PASSED/ $26.60 Quinella – Winner got a lot of late action – too late to sub for a Key

[Nitro]

R#3–1200M C4 (6F)T…….3-5-12 W/ 7-11-10…..@3 mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#3–1200M C4 (6F)T…….3-5-12 W/ 7-11-10…..@3 mins to Post

7-12-3/5– Dutch LOSS 42% Profit Margin - PASSED / $63.40 Quinella & $189.00/$356.20 Triple BX ($921.00/$927.60 Quartet Bx) – All of that one! A DH for 3rd

[Nitro]

R#4- 1200M C3 (6F)T……5-12-3 W/ 11-6-4 …@3mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#4- 1200M C3 (6F)T……5-12-3 W/ 11-6-4 …@3mins to Post

6-5-10-4– Dutch LOSS 112% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $33.60 Quinella

[Nitro]

R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D…..3-4-9 W/ 1-6-11 .…@3mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D…..3-4-9 W/ 1-6-11 .…@3mins to Post

3-6-14-4– Dutch WIN 51% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $89.00 Quinella w/Great Value

[Nitro]

R#6- 1400M C4 (7F)T…...2-3-5 W/ 4-11-10……@3mins to Post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

R#6- 1400M C4 (7F)T…...2-3-5 W/ 4-11-10……@3mins to Post

3-4-6-8– Dutch WIN 87% Profit Margin – PLAYED/ $15.90 Quinella

[Nitro]

R#7– 2000M C3 (10F)T….…1-2-5 W/ 3-12-7 …@3mins to Post