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Old 02-03-2018, 12:18 PM   #1
Immortal6
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Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
Stakes Races at GP 2/3

Here is my take and picks on the stakes races today at Gulfstream, comments and selections from others are always welcome, good luck!

R4 7F "Swale" G3
A perceived hot pace in this race leads me to believe that a horse coming from just off the pace has the best shot to win here today. The horse I'm giving the nod to is the Piven. In his first dirt start in stakes company (albeit 75k) he rated well and went 4 wide to draw off for an easy victory. I believe stretching out an extra furlong here will be more of a detriment to the the and .



R6 1Mile Turf "Sweetest Chant" G3
This race is a real head scratcher for me...where will the pace come from? Will the invader from France, the coming off more than a 4 month layoff be a threat? Will the be caught 8 wide again in this race? Will the catch a glacial pace like she did in breaking her maiden? All good questions and in a race full of question marks I'm going to go with the a last out winner from Graham Motion who figures to save the most ground from the inside post. Given a clean trip inside I feel a repeat of her last will be good enough to win today.



R10 7F "Forward Gal" G3
Race shape here is all dependent on the going to the lead and setting good fractions. If this happens I see the "Take Charge Paula" sitting a good stalking trip with the ability to duel in the stretch for the win. Another horse that catches my eye in the race is the , a two time winner at 7F that has a sharp recent workout with Jose Ortiz aboard. With a clean trip I see no reason this 10-1 ML can't win this race. Another horse that is stretching out to 7F for the first time and figures to relish the extra panel is the .



R11 1Mile Turf "Dania Beach" G3
The lone stakes race of the day where I have a strong opinion on the winner. Another connection of Motion/Jose Ortiz on the "Untamed Domain". Underneath there are a few horses at a price that I like.



R12 Mile and a 'teenth "Holy Bull" G2
I'm so excited to see how this race shakes out, I truly feel that there are 6 horses in this field that have a real shot at winning it. As for my picks, I'm going to go with the "Free Drop Billy" to win this years running of the Holy Bull. The combo of Romans and Saez coupled with a recent bullet work over the Gulfstream surface gives him a slight edge over the others. While I like Hollywood Star and Tiz Mischief, I feel the shorter stretch run will do them no favors.

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