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Old 10-28-2017, 10:16 AM   #31
TheOracle
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
There is another Maiden coupled entry on the Turf at Belmont today in the 2nd race:

2nd race
#1 Givetheman a Cigar /1A Filius Scat

I doubt that this will win so I am hoping one half of the entry will scratch to preserve the win streak which is now at 3 in a row!!!
There is another Maiden coupled entry on the Turf at Belmont in the 5th race today

5th race
#1 Le Condor / #1A Mathematician

I'm not sure these will win today but if one should scratch we would preserve the win streak at 3 in a row!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 10-28-2017 at 10:19 AM.
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Old 10-30-2017, 11:49 AM   #32
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There is another Maiden coupled entry on the Turf at Belmont in the 5th race today

5th race
#1 Le Condor / #1A Mathematician

I'm not sure these will win today but if one should scratch we would preserve the win streak at 3 in a row!!!
#1A Mathematician was scratched on Saturday so this will not qualify for the study!!!
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Old 11-05-2017, 01:56 PM   #33
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For AQU Coupled Entry Wager -- Not that profitable!!

Quote:
Originally Posted by paulbenny View Post
I absolutely meant when both halves of the entry were running. So this sample is not too bad. I know that a flat bet, in the sample is quite decent. So Andy Serling may be wrong. In a big sample, if the flat bet is blind to all conditions, trainers etc, which this is, then it is a great bet. So thoughts are appreciated. You have to include the big payouts too. That is why a bigger sample is better, right?

- include 2 horse entries only, maybe include 2 and 2b and 3 and 3c but really that gets it out of hand.

-this is quite helpful.

-how hard is it to pull and clean the data?


Hey Paul,

At Belmont there were instances where playing the 1/1A coupled entries actually led to a profit

However, at Aqueduct it is a different story, I only went back to January 2016 up to yesterday and followed the coupled entries for 1/1A





There were 162 individual entries giving 81 betting interest. At $2 per win wager the cost was $162 but winnings only came to $92.80 and so you were down -$69.20!!!

Blindly wagering on the 1/1A didn't result in any profit from what I could see from last year at Aqueduct

The only thing that I could see that gave you close to your money back was playing the coupled entries when they were less than 7/2 in the Morning Line and even then you took a small loss!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 11-05-2017 at 02:04 PM.
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Old 11-05-2017, 10:24 PM   #34
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Hey Paul,

I searched for profits regarding the coupled entries from January 1st, 2016 up until today at Aqueduct

I found that Morning Lines less than 7/2 in Sprint races on the Dirt had 40 entries or 20 betting interest so at a cost of $40 per $2 win wager you would have won $57.80 which is a 44.5% profit!!!



I only looked at coupled entries that were 1/1A so let's keep an eye on this situation for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
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Old 11-05-2017, 10:55 PM   #35
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Hey Paul,

I searched for profits regarding the coupled entries from January 1st, 2016 up until today at Aqueduct

I found that Morning Lines less than 7/2 in Sprint races on the Dirt had 40 entries or 20 betting interest so at a cost of $40 per $2 win wager you would have won $57.80 which is a 44.5% profit!!!



I only looked at coupled entries that were 1/1A so let's keep an eye on this situation for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
Out of 20 betting interest 13 were winners which is a 65% win percentage since January 1st, 2016 for this situation!!!
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Old 11-08-2017, 09:21 AM   #36
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Hey Paul,

I searched for profits regarding the coupled entries from January 1st, 2016 up until today at Aqueduct

I found that Morning Lines less than 7/2 in Sprint races on the Dirt had 40 entries or 20 betting interest so at a cost of $40 per $2 win wager you would have won $57.80 which is a 44.5% profit!!!



I only looked at coupled entries that were 1/1A so let's keep an eye on this situation for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
There is a coupled entry in the 7th race today at Aqueduct

7th race
#1 China Rider /1A Avery Maeve

However, many things need to happen for this to qualify for the study, the race has to come off the Turf and the coupled entry has to remain together with no scratches!!!

Of course 1 of the 2 need to win so let's see what happens!!!
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Old 11-10-2017, 11:17 AM   #37
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1A Avery Maeve was scratched last week so even though #1 China Rider finished 2nd it will not qualify for the study
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Old 11-19-2017, 10:54 AM   #38
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Hey Paul,

I searched for profits regarding the coupled entries from January 1st, 2016 up until today at Aqueduct

I found that Morning Lines less than 7/2 in Sprint races on the Dirt had 40 entries or 20 betting interest so at a cost of $40 per $2 win wager you would have won $57.80 which is a 44.5% profit!!!



I only looked at coupled entries that were 1/1A so let's keep an eye on this situation for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
There are a few coupled entries less than 7-2 in the Morning Line today at Aqueduct



I forgot to include these 2 for Jacobson as well:
8th race
1 Harlan Punch / 1A Very Very Stella

If these can stay together it will be interesting to see if they can pick up at least 1 win today at Aqueduct!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 11-19-2017 at 11:06 AM.
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Old 11-21-2017, 02:51 PM   #39
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OUT FOR A WHILE

We have not had much snow if any so I have enjoyed the weather. I think that the results still need to be expanded. I know you have NY data. So when I really get into this, and expand my betting records, which I log daily would it be difficult to expand this to other tracks or would I have to use Equibase charts that I pull and review. I think it might be worth the effort to keep to the task. Thanks for everything, Paul.
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Old 11-21-2017, 10:53 PM   #40
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We have not had much snow if any so I have enjoyed the weather. I think that the results still need to be expanded. I know you have NY data. So when I really get into this, and expand my betting records, which I log daily would it be difficult to expand this to other tracks or would I have to use Equibase charts that I pull and review. I think it might be worth the effort to keep to the task. Thanks for everything, Paul.
Hey Paul,

Yes, unfortunately I only have NYC data I just don't have the time to do the other tracks

It would have been interesting to be able to do it from drop downs as opposed to cutting and pasting from the charts

At any rate, I am interested to see what happens at Aqueduct!!!
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Old 11-25-2017, 10:53 AM   #41
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There are a few coupled entries less than 7-2 in the Morning Line today at Aqueduct



I forgot to include these 2 for Jacobson as well:
8th race
1 Harlan Punch / 1A Very Very Stella

If these can stay together it will be interesting to see if they can pick up at least 1 win today at Aqueduct!!!
Racing was cancelled on November 19th
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Old 11-25-2017, 10:57 AM   #42
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Hey Paul,

I searched for profits regarding the coupled entries from January 1st, 2016 up until today at Aqueduct

I found that Morning Lines less than 7/2 in Sprint races on the Dirt had 40 entries or 20 betting interest so at a cost of $40 per $2 win wager you would have won $57.80 which is a 44.5% profit!!!



I only looked at coupled entries that were 1/1A so let's keep an eye on this situation for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
We have a coupled entry on the Dirt with a Morning Line less than 7/2 at Aqueduct today

5th race
#1 Blinded Vision / #1A Line of Departure

Let's see if one of these can get the win today provided both of them are entered in the race!!!
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Old 11-25-2017, 10:36 PM   #43
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We have a coupled entry on the Dirt with a Morning Line less than 7/2 at Aqueduct today

5th race
#1 Blinded Vision / #1A Line of Departure

Let's see if one of these can get the win today provided both of them are entered in the race!!!
Both #1 Blinded Vision and #1A Line of Departure finished off the board today snapping a streak of 4 wins in a row with Morning Lines less than 7/2 as coupled entries going less than 1 Mile at Aqueduct!!!

Let's continue to keep track of this situation for the remainder of the Aqueduct season!!!
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Old 12-09-2017, 10:34 AM   #44
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We have a coupled entry on the Dirt at Aqueduct with a Morning Line less than 7/2 at Aqueduct today

3rd race
#1 J S Bach/#1A For Greater Glory

Letís see what happens provided the races are not canceled!!!
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Old 12-09-2017, 11:49 PM   #45
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We have a coupled entry on the Dirt at Aqueduct with a Morning Line less than 7/2 at Aqueduct today

3rd race
#1 J S Bach/#1A For Greater Glory

Letís see what happens provided the races are not canceled!!!
Only half of the entry ran today so this will not qualify for the study!!!
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