Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 10-17-2017, 01:40 PM   #61
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Fort Erie Race #5: 10/17/17


Smooth Passage 10-1


Can't say much for the connections here, but if this guy had another trainer, he would not be 10-1. Shows a lot of competitive speed figures and the jockey from his last race stays on. Shortens up in distance and looks to be placed just inside the favorite and can outrun that one in the stretch.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-17-2017, 01:58 PM   #62
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Fort Erie Race #5: 10/17/17


Smooth Passage 10-1


Can't say much for the connections here, but if this guy had another trainer, he would not be 10-1. Shows a lot of competitive speed figures and the jockey from his last race stays on. Shortens up in distance and looks to be placed just inside the favorite and can outrun that one in the stretch.
Scratched.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-17-2017, 02:16 PM   #63
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Parx Race #9: 10/17/17


Coupella 10-1

Pretty straight forward here, catch me if you can.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-18-2017, 12:39 PM   #64
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Parx Race #9: 10/17/17


Coupella 10-1

Pretty straight forward here, catch me if you can.
Seconds is not what I am looking for, but once in a while, when you handicap a race, you get lucky. I figured this horse would go to the lead and 3 others did. Usually that means throw away your ticket, however he got by 2 others and finished second. Paid 7.5-1 in the place hole and was part of a $311.00 exacta, not to bad. Just proves in this game you can be both right and wrong at the same time.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-18-2017, 01:31 PM   #65
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Belmont Race #8: 10/18/17


Third Son 15-1


Has produced his best races off a layoff. The 2nd back speed figure fits nicely in this group. Rosario gets on with a sudden streak of fast works for a trainer that seems not to work his horses fast.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-18-2017, 03:44 PM   #66
Ocala Mike
Registered User
 
Ocala Mike's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 4,144
Rep Power: 15 Ocala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the rough
Is This a good Longshot?

Belmont Race 6, is a Graham Motion firster by To Honor and Serve. Motion 0/17 according to the program - that can't last.
Ocala Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-18-2017, 09:32 PM   #67
Ocala Mike
Registered User
 
Ocala Mike's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 4,144
Rep Power: 15 Ocala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the rough
Ran 3rd at a big price - missed the tri! Damn!
Ocala Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-19-2017, 01:22 PM   #68
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Belmont Race #7: 10/19/17


Andalusite 10-1


Shipper from Parx last race looks good against this group. Running style fits the surface and distance. Juarez is very good with the running style also. Since Parx cancelled all turf races the move here and the class drop make sense.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 01:56 PM   #69
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Belmont Race #7: 10/20/17


Bolita Boyz 12-1


I think this race could get out of hand early. The ,, and all like to GO. None of them have finished that well as of late. Gets a little class relief and trainer is a plus.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 02:16 PM   #70
TheOracle
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,448
Rep Power: 7 TheOracle will become famous soon enough
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Belmont Race #7: 10/20/17


Bolita Boyz 12-1


I think this race could get out of hand early. The ,, and all like to GO. None of them have finished that well as of late. Gets a little class relief and trainer is a plus.
Hey Jay

You might be on to something I took a look at L Rice's Morning Line Favorites when less than 3-1 on the Dirt in Claiming races



Her horses have won at a high percentage but lately they have been 0 for their last 3

This might be the race to score a longshot with the #6 Bolita Boyz

Let's see what happens!!!
TheOracle is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 05:48 PM   #71
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Belmont Race #7: 10/20/17


Bolita Boyz 12-1


I think this race could get out of hand early. The ,, and all like to GO. None of them have finished that well as of late. Gets a little class relief and trainer is a plus.
A $14.40 win mutual and a $53.50 exacta, we will take it.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 07:01 PM   #72
Ocala Mike
Registered User
 
Ocala Mike's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 4,144
Rep Power: 15 Ocala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the roughOcala Mike is a jewel in the rough
Well done! This thread is where the live horses come out to play!

Had the exacta, and the horse made the P/4 price (I didn't play).
Ocala Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 11:07 PM   #73
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,038
Rep Power: 7 Afleet will become famous soon enoughAfleet will become famous soon enough
Inagoodway Race 5 Remington-going in the gate now
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-20-2017, 11:09 PM   #74
Afleet
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,038
Rep Power: 7 Afleet will become famous soon enoughAfleet will become famous soon enough
Quote:
Originally Posted by Afleet View Post
Inagoodway Race 5 Remington-going in the gate now
Wire to wire
Afleet is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-21-2017, 01:26 PM   #75
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 7,772
Rep Power: 24 jay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to beholdjay68802 is a splendid one to behold
Like 2 today

Belmont Race 4:

Ancient Secret 8-1

Like the old 2 sprints to a route angle, with Ortiz up and a guy named Brown as the trainer.


Belmont Race #6:


Bourbonfuhrme 30-1

I think this guy figured it out in his last race. First time against winners is a drawback, but tracked a solid pace and did some real running in the stretch in his Maiden victory. And 30-1 really gets my attention.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Reason for drop off...
More computer programs are 'playing' - 18.00%
9 Votes
An unknown or undetectable drug is in use. - 8.00%
4 Votes
Loss of fresh money in pools (only seasoned players left) - 62.00%
31 Votes
Other - 12.00%
6 Votes
Total Votes: 50
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:43 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2018 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved -- Best Viewed in a modern browser @ 1280x720 Resolution Or Higher
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.