The
needs the lead the most but will have to earn it from the
and
, and the
has the best late kick of the three. Best closer is the
, but not a ton more late speed than the more forwardly placed
, which can win from just off the lead. Based on TFUS running styles, the
looks real tough here. Rail post is O.K., Linda Rice second of the layoff bodes well and other patterns check out. Well placed legitimate favorite here, but at what price? Probably the ML which we won't get.
Now the
can hold on if it doesn't go wire to wire, so not an all or none proposition. Stretching out a furlong for the first time with trainer not very successful at doing so. In against tougher here. Tough to recommend, maybe even underneath.
Dirt to turf not a terrible move for Violette, but first off the layoff inspires less confidence in the
. Not too aggressively placed but things would have to get hot and fall apart some for this one to prevail.
Maker wins these races, and does well with 45 days between races, and steps the
up a bit. Handled the Cutler Bay mile well enough. Should get the preferred tracking position. Certainly a viable contender but maybe not one to bet at 3/1 or less.
Claim to allowance and won last doesn't inspire, but sprint to route does for Donk's
, another tracker at a better price. Hasn't posted a fig with some of these but not too aggressively placed. Only missed the superfecta once this year. I can learn to like this one at 15/1, especially underneath.
Less appealing Donk stablemate
, more aggressively placed here and looks to come from far back with middling late kick. Could snatch a little piece if things heat up but prefer others.
The other Brown brings
up from the claiming ranks but doesn't fare well with that move, although sneaks into 3 y.o. allowances here. Previous rivals weren't much less than these though and ran well last. Looks to be right on the pace and isn't an outright speedball. Like
, another longshot to consider, especially underneath.
Third off the layoff coming out of a race that wins this (facing a very hot pace)? No way
stays at 5/1. A bit chilly with 3 y.o. allowance races, but maybe that buoys the odds. Not sure it can outkick the
, but a legitimate contender and alternative to the favorite for sure.
looks like an outsider here.
I'll check back in with a play.
Jewel Can Disco: MTO. Won't run.
Bourbon Empire: MTO will not race.
