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09-24-2016, 05:15 PM
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#31
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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 /  /     
Looks like Cupid's race to win or lose.
Nyquist should be ready to fire. Any type of miscue from Cupid sets Nyquist sets him up well. I have to guess that Doug will want Mario forwardly placed, but with a touch in reserve to finish well. Doug knows what Baffert has here. He's going to try to run down Cupid in the stretch, not knock each other out in the first half.
Awesome Slew looked outrageous last race, but I think he should be considered a cheap toss.
Mike Smith(Summer Revolution) is the wild card in the pace discussion. If he sacrifices himself, then the race collapses. If he plays it safe, Nyquist should have smooth sailing for the place position.
3rd/4th/5th looks like it is going to be a battle among 3 horses.
Which 3? I think they come from Gun Runner /Exaggerator /My Man Sam/Sunny Ridge/Wild About Deb.
Gun Runner should make some kind of move for 2nd vs Nyquist and then be weakening late.
Exaggerator and the Desormeaux bros should be 'on' today in their on/off pattern. Closing hard to try to get 3rd from Gun Runner.
My Man Sam is decent and is higher odds than Exaggerator. Chad Brown is always good. Have to include for that 3rd/4th/5th battle.
Sunny Ridge is kind of similar to Gun Runner in some ways. Servis knows the track.
Wild About Deb is trained by Ramon Preciado and is the longest shot on the board.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-24-2016 at 05:18 PM.
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09-24-2016, 05:23 PM
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#32
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
/ /
Looks like Cupid's race to win or lose.
Nyquist should be ready to fire. Any type of miscue from Cupid sets Nyquist sets him up well. I have to guess that Doug will want Mario forwardly placed, but with a touch in reserve to finish well.
Awesome Slew looked outrageous last race, but I think he should be considered a cheap toss.
Mike Smith(Summer Revolution) is the wild card in the pace discussion. If he sacrifices himself, then the race collapses. If he plays it safe, Nyquist should have smooth sailing for the place position.
3rd/4th/5th looks like it is going to be a battle among 3 horses.
Which 3? I think they come from Gun Runner /Exaggerator /My Man Sam/Sunny Ridge/Wild About Deb.
Gun Runner should make some kind of move for 2nd vs Nyquist and then be weakening late.
Exaggerator and the Desormeaux bros should be 'on' today in their on/off pattern. Closing hard to try to get 3rd from Gun Runner.
My Man Sam is decent and is higher odds than Exaggerator. Chad Brown is always good. Have to include for that 3rd/4th/5th battle.
Sunny Ridge is kind of similar to Gun Runner in some ways. Servis knows the track.
Wild About Deb is trained by Ramon Preciado and is the longest shot on the board. |
O'Neil has stated that he will abandon the dumb tactics that cost him the Preakness and Haskell and have him rate here. If so, Nyquist should prevail.
Last edited by bobphilo; 09-24-2016 at 05:28 PM.
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09-24-2016, 05:26 PM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by castaway01
That is correct. Trifecta is their crazy-high one, 30%.
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Killing the goose that laid the golden egg. What else is new in the world of greed?
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09-24-2016, 05:29 PM
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#34
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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82/1?
Did the show up with only 3 legs?
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09-24-2016, 05:39 PM
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#35
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Vancouver Canada
Posts: 3,204
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Nyquist looks BIG and STRONG. ....
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09-24-2016, 05:45 PM
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#36
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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09-24-2016, 05:45 PM
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#37
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 16,847
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 Connect @ 16/1. Just give him a decent ride Javier.
__________________
When you have to make a choice and don't make it, that is in itself a choice.
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09-24-2016, 05:51 PM
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#38
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loose on the lead
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: mosquito cove NY
Posts: 6,604
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tee
Connect @ 16/1. Just give him a decent ride Javier. |
Nice tee as usual 
__________________
radio friendly unit shifter
Last edited by Alwaysonpoint36; 09-24-2016 at 05:52 PM.
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09-24-2016, 05:51 PM
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#39
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tee
Connect @ 16/1. Just give him a decent ride Javier. |
Well done Tee! 
Just couldn't see that one. 
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09-24-2016, 05:52 PM
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#40
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 647
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tee
Connect @ 16/1. Just give him a decent ride Javier. |
Nice job....
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09-24-2016, 05:52 PM
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#41
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Nice call Tee!
2, 5, 7, 9 / 2, 5, 7, 9 / 6
i keyed the 6 third for .50cents but I didn't predict that would win this one...
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-24-2016, 05:53 PM
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#42
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,861
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Andy does it again.
Nyquist, Exaggerator......so much for their 15 minutes.
Gun Runner, just can't close the deal.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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09-24-2016, 05:54 PM
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#43
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,861
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tee
Connect @ 16/1. Just give him a decent ride Javier. |
Nice.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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09-24-2016, 05:55 PM
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#44
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: pa.
Posts: 477
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nice
nice pickin' my man..great job reckless
Last edited by bugboy; 09-24-2016 at 05:57 PM.
Reason: mention poster ny name
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09-24-2016, 05:58 PM
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#45
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loose on the lead
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: mosquito cove NY
Posts: 6,604
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by reckless
I am going to make a major win bet on Connect, who is 12-1 ML and could be somewhat lower at post time but still a square price.
I will make exacta boxes keying Connect with the following horses: 8-1 Summer Revolution, 6-1 Gun Runner, 20-1 Hit It Once, 20-1 Awesome Slew, 20-1 My Man Sam, 5-2 Nyquist and 9-2 Exaggerator.
I know it's most of the field and the two favorites seem somewhat vulnerable but I simply refuse to ignore their chances. They are still two of the top three 3yos in the country. If they do, in fact, stink up the place I have a real shot of making a decent score.
I am also small making 'action' bets -- a 10 cent superfecta boxing all the horses that last ran in the Travers Stakes: 2-4-7-8. And another 10 cent key s-fecta 4/278/278/278 and 278/4/278/278. Plus I'll make $1 exacta and trifecta boxes, plus others just keying Connect on top.
All this is simply based on Arrogate's scary Travers performance, one of the greatest efforts I have witnessed. Hopefully, some might stay away from horses that ran in the Travers because they all lost by a mile. I am especially keen on Connect and Gun Runner since they actually made some little run during the race.
Good luck to everyone.
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way to bring it home man....
__________________
radio friendly unit shifter
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