Quote:
Originally Posted by andicap
Oracle,
Have you found your trends continue to work going forward? That is, a lot of time when a handicapper has identified some trend or pattern, it is too late: The trend has already run its course OR the crowd has caught up to it killing the prices.
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Hey Andi,
From what I've been noticing most of the time many of the trends drop off at around 6 or 7 occurrences in a row.
Usually when I find them they are already at 5 or 6 in a row and sometimes when I get around to reporting them it's at 7 or 8 in a row before they drop off as a trend.
I also find that for the trainer trends when their horses are winning the public is usually all over it and the prices are pretty slim across the board because they've been bet down to nothing by the time the race starts.
However, I have noticed that in many instances when a trainer is hitting the board and his horses are finishing to place and show the prices are pretty decent. It's almost as if the public doesn't notice unless the trainer is winning in which case you can pick up some pretty decent place and show prices which I believe is the case with C J Englehart and R E Nicks so far at Belmont.
You definitely have a point, by the time you catch a trend it's already going cold but if I can even catch the tail end of one, for me, it's much better than I had been doing by way of handicapping. Handicapping just didn't work for me so I started looking at trends.