Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > Handicapper's Corner


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 05-05-2016, 10:10 AM   #1
Flysofree
Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Virginia
Posts: 860
Will Nyquist Go Off as the Favorite?

I know he is 3-1 ML Favorite. If he is the betting favorite what price do you think he goes off?

Somehow I think he may not be the betting favorite but 2nd choice. Just a guess..
Flysofree is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 05:54 PM   #2
fiznow
Registered User
 
fiznow's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Posts: 181
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flysofree
I know he is 3-1 ML Favorite. If he is the betting favorite what price do you think he goes off?

Somehow I think he may not be the betting favorite but 2nd choice. Just a guess..
I think he will be the favorite, between 2-1 and 3-1. What I don`'t think is that there will be so many horses higher than 10-1 like the morning lines say.
__________________
"A difference of opinion is what makes horse racing and missionaries." Will Rogers
fiznow is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 05:58 PM   #3
Lemon Drop Husker
Veteran
 
Lemon Drop Husker's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Nyquist 7/2
Exaggerator 6/1
Gun Runner 8/1
Mohaymen 8/1

That would be my prediction.
Lemon Drop Husker is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 06:00 PM   #4
Flysofree
Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Virginia
Posts: 860
Quote:
Originally Posted by fiznow
I think he will be the favorite, between 2-1 and 3-1. What I don`'t think is that there will be so many horses higher than 10-1 like the morning lines say.
I thought the morning line odds looked strange also, with the wide gap between 3-1 and 10-1 horses..
Flysofree is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 06:02 PM   #5
Flysofree
Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Virginia
Posts: 860
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Nyquist 7/2
Exaggerator 6/1
Gun Runner 8/1
Mohaymen 8/1

That would be my prediction.
I could see this!
Flysofree is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 06:10 PM   #6
FrankieFigs
The 19th Hole
 
FrankieFigs's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Russellville, KY
Posts: 308
I say he will go off as the fav. Too many folks will see the familiar connections and undefeated record and make him their top choice.
__________________
"Success is how high you bounce when you hit bottom." - Gen. George S. Patton
FrankieFigs is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 06:13 PM   #7
Lemon Drop Husker
Veteran
 
Lemon Drop Husker's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flysofree
I could see this!
Reality is, you have 13 of the 20 horses at 10/1 to 20/1 on the ML.

I know people are laughing at the job Battaglia did, but it was almost impossible to put together a ML that would come anywhere close to "sticking" this year.

Nyquist deserves to be favorite. Outside of that? Put a line out there, let US sort it out.
Lemon Drop Husker is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 06:16 PM   #8
Flysofree
Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Virginia
Posts: 860
My Play is Gun Runner
Flysofree is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-05-2016, 08:05 PM   #9
Nutz and Boltz
Mad as hell !
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Bridgeport, CT
Posts: 1,136
Love Mohaymen, the horse itself, but don't know if he can win it.
Nutz and Boltz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 12:58 AM   #10
davew
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,632
I woud be SHOCKED if Nyquist did not go off the favorite.
davew is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 02:27 AM   #11
overthehill
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 346
I will be shocked if Nyquist isnt the the favorite and Exaggerator isnt a clear second choice. after that I have no idea. I think there are 5-6 horses who could be the third choice. Maybe Gun Runner is the most likely of them.
overthehill is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 11:15 AM   #12
mannyberrios
easygoer
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 976
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Nyquist 7/2
Exaggerator 6/1
Gun Runner 8/1
Mohaymen 8/1

That would be my prediction.
I'll take Mohaymen
mannyberrios is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 11:45 AM   #13
Secondbest
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 1,755
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flysofree
I know he is 3-1 ML Favorite. If he is the betting favorite what price do you think he goes off?

Somehow I think he may not be the betting favorite but 2nd choice. Just a guess..
Will Nyquist go off the favorite?
Is ice cold?
Secondbest is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 01:03 PM   #14
Flysofree
Veteran
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Virginia
Posts: 860
Quote:
Originally Posted by Secondbest
Will Nyquist go off the favorite?
Is ice cold?
I should have asked the question; How do undefeated horses coming into the Derby and running from an outside post position ?
Flysofree is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-06-2016, 01:53 PM   #15
upthecreek
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
Current odds

Nyquist--2/1
Exaggerator--5/1
Mohaymen--13/1
Danzing Candy--34/1

Last edited by upthecreek; 05-06-2016 at 01:57 PM.
upthecreek is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:25 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.