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04-26-2016, 04:12 PM
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#46
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Parx Racing
Race
8
Post
4:14
MTP
4
$2 Exacta Pool
$17,391 "
pgno bet
1 3.95
2
3
4 2.04
5 19.78
6 4.36
7 12.18
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
42.31
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 04:27 PM
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#47
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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5 wins returning 1.73 on the dollar
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 04:38 PM
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#48
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Will Rogers
Race
6
Post
4:40
MTP
4
$2 Exacta Pool
$3,583 "
pgno bet
1 17.70
2 2.73
3
4 5.71
5
6
7 3.18
8 2.86
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
32.18
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 04:49 PM
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#49
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Finger Lakes
Race
9
Post
4:50
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$3,507 "
pgno bet
1
2
3 6.28
4 21.19
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
27.48
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 05:07 PM
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#50
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Will Rogers
Race
7
Post
5:08
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,384 "
pgno bet
1
2 10.44
3 4.91
4
5
6 3.27
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
18.62
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 07:33 PM
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#51
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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losing 3 in a row brings the roi down to 0.83 
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-26-2016, 11:20 PM
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#52
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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at the end of the day the roi was 0.84, compared to the 0.87 at the beginning of the day. over all win % was 67%
HOWEVER
when the bet size is determined by a % of bankroll
a substantial profit is obtained. the % of bankroll is determine by the total bet size of the race
I ran one analysis which returned several thousand dollar profit.
I'll review my figures again to make sure there were errors. If none are found, I'll reiterate the data several times or more. I'll randomize the race sequences to find the impact on the bottom line.
there are two keys that are required for a successful run, one being a high win %, the other a substantial number of positive returns.
in todays 16 races (I was not able to post race 16 because I could not connect to paceadvantage.com ) 8 returned a positive return, that is a value greater than 1, 2 returned less than 1, .79 and .84. and 6 returned no value
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 11:02 AM
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#53
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by formula_2002
at the end of the day the roi was 0.84, compared to the 0.87 at the beginning of the day. over all win % was 67%
HOWEVER
when the bet size is determined by a % of bankroll
a substantial profit is obtained. the % of bankroll is determine by the total bet size of the race
I ran one analysis which returned several thousand dollar profit.
I'll review my figures again to make sure there were errors. If none are found, I'll reiterate the data several times or more. I'll randomize the race sequences to find the impact on the bottom line.
there are two keys that are required for a successful run, one being a high win %, the other a substantial number of positive returns.
in todays 16 races (I was not able to post race 16 because I could not connect to paceadvantage.com ) 8 returned a positive return, that is a value greater than 1, 2 returned less than 1, .79 and .84. and 6 returned no value |
the short comment to the review is: Yes there was an error.
the bet size described returned $406 from a starting $1000 bank roll.
regardless how the sequence of bets are arranged, the final return is $406.
What does change are the high and lows of the bankroll.
there is a 4% profit when summing the total bets, $703, and the total returns, $734.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 11:29 AM
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#54
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"UK Ascot
Race
5
Post
11:30
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$6,569 "
pgno bet
1
2
3
4
5
6 335
7 38
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
373
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 01:14 PM
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#55
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Tampa Bay
Race
2
Post
1:15
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,356 "
total win $1 track/ win
pgno bet bet bet payout return race pgno
1 373 335 3.30 1106 asc 5 6
2 221
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
sums 221 373 335 3.30 1106
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 01:27 PM
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#56
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:28
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$18,207 "
total win $1 track/ win races wins date
pgno bet bet bet payout return race pgno
1 7030 7340 all 16 10 4/26
2 373 335 3.30 1106 asc 5 6 1 1 4/27
3 221 221 0 0 tbd 2 2 1 0 4/27
4
5 109
6 262
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
sums 371 594 556 3.30 1106
bet return
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 01:28 PM
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#57
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 137
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atta boy!
shows and wins.
They say if you gamble alot of $$ you have an addiction... but tell that to the guys betting $20,000 a race in Vegas on every horse..Calculating $0 loss and $0 gain... never losing money, but claiming hotel comps on money bet per day and living rent free, utility free, maids, no tax to claim.. hell they dont even have to go out and buy their groceries.
oh... maybe thats something people didnt know. lol
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04-27-2016, 01:59 PM
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#58
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Gulfstream
Race
3
Post
2:01
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$15,884 " profit $451
total win $1 track/ win races wins date
pgno bet bet bet payout return race pgno
1 51 7030 7340 all 16 10 4/26
2 113 373 335 3.30 1106 asc 5 6 1 1 4/27
3 221 0 0 0 tbd 2 1 1 0 4/27
4 371 0 0 0 gp 2 2 1 0
5
6
7 44
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
sums 208 7995 335 3 8446 0 9 19 11
bet return races wins
1.06 0.58
roi win rate
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 02:11 PM
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#59
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Keeneland
Race
3
Post
2:12
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$30,651 " profit $243
total win $1 track/ win races wins
pgno bet bet bet payout return race pgno
1 283 7030 7340 all 16 10
2 373 335 3.30 1106 asc 5 6 1 1
3 221 0 0 0 tbd 2 1 1 0
4 110 371 0 0 0 gp 2 2 1 0
5 208 0 0 0 gp 3 7 1 0
6 100
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
sums 492 8203 335 3 8446 0 16 20 11
bet return races wins
1.03 0.55
roi win rate
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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04-27-2016, 02:17 PM
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#60
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Tampa Bay
Race
4
Post
2:19
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,937 " profit $(250)
total win $1 track/ win races wins date
pgno bet bet bet payout return race pgno
1 136 7030 7340 all 16 10 4/26
2 90 373 335 3.30 1106 asc 5 6 1 1 4/27
3 221 0 0 0 tbd 2 1 1 0 4/27
4 371 0 0 0 gp 2 2 1 0 4/27
5 208 0 0 0 gp 3 4 1 0 4/27
6 113 492 0 0 0 kee 3 5 1 0
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
sums 339 8695 335 3 8446 0 18 21 11
bet return races wins
0.97 0.52
roi win rate
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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