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Old 03-15-2016, 04:23 AM   #151
NorCalGreg
 
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*50% METHOD

Just three plays on this light racing day:


*MVR

3RD BE NICE 3/2

*PARX

8TH GOLDEN JASON 5/2

*SUN

2ND CLASSY DISTURBANCE 4-1


🎲NCG
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Old 03-15-2016, 07:39 AM   #152
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***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-4 -->> 7-1-6-8

&

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-8 -->> 1-2-10-3
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Old 03-15-2016, 08:08 AM   #153
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*Pace/Spot plays 03-15

*all WIN only

--Mahoning

1ST MISS BORREGO 9/2

5TH LUKEY ON THE LOOSE 3-1

7TH STORMIN DREAM 6-1

8TH LOVE THE MINISTER 5-1

❇ BONUS PLAY ❇

MAHONING LATE PICK-4 --->>> 5TH- / 6TH , /7TH , , /8TH ,

--PARX

1ST ROSIE MY WAY 5/2

6TH TELL TALE FRIEND 6-1

7TH ASK CHUCK 5-1

--TURF PARADISE

5TH NORTHERN CONTRACT 6-1

6TH YOU SEE THAT 4-1


7TH AGGRESSIVE BEAUTY 10-1

*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3


have a good day

-NCG
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Old 03-15-2016, 08:31 PM   #154
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50% METHOD RESULTS DAY #2

Just three plays on this light racing day:


*MVR

3RD BE NICE 3/2 $3.00

*PARX

8TH GOLDEN JASON 5/2 2ND

*SUN

2ND CLASSY DISTURBANCE 4-1 SCRATCHED


*1 FOR 2 today--5 0f 11 altogether BET=$22.00 RET $21.20 TOTAL Hang in there---we're just getting warmed up
--remember our goal is 50% winners--& profitable

🎲NCG
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Old 03-15-2016, 08:50 PM   #155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
...
[B]*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3
...
Welp... if only it had been a longshot... you deserved better than the return for nailing it cold with at least two pretty tough races to come with a winner.




$0.50 Pick-3 (5/8/1) Paid $92.10 (3OF3)
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Old 03-15-2016, 08:59 PM   #156
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*all WIN only

--Mahoning

1ST MISS BORREGO 9/2 XXX
5TH LUKEY ON THE LOOSE 3-1 XXX
7TH STORMIN DREAM 6-1 XXX
8TH LOVE THE MINISTER 5-1 XXX

--NOTHING AT ALL @ MAHONING


❇ BONUS PLAY ❇ XXX

MAHONING LATE PICK-4 --->>> 5TH- / 6TH , /7TH , , /8TH ,

--PARX

1ST ROSIE MY WAY 5/2 $5.20 $2.40--no show betting

6TH TELL TALE FRIEND 6-1 $10.20 $6.00 $3.60

7TH ASK CHUCK 5-1 3RD, BUT WHO CARES
--TURF PARADISE

*did I ever mention I OWN Turf Paradise?? Serious--go back and check



5TH NORTHERN CONTRACT 6-1 $10.60 $5.60 $3.40

6TH YOU SEE THAT 4-1
$5.80 $3.60 $2.80

7TH AGGRESSIVE BEAUTY 10-1 $7.60 $5.00 $3.80

*it's a longshot--but the above could be a nice pick-3 If you HAD played this cold pick-3, like I did --this is what your ADW lines would look like


COMPLETED: dd8e4-72e90TUP#5$2 Pick-3 5,WT, 8, WT,1 $2.00 $368.40+ $366.40

COMPLETED: c0a84-f7a9fTUP#5$0.50 Pick-3 3, 5, WT, 5, 8, WT, 1 $2.00 $92.10 + $90.10

have a good day

-NCG
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Old 03-15-2016, 09:04 PM   #157
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
Welp... if only it had been a longshot... you deserved better than the return for nailing it cold with at least two pretty tough races to come with a winner.




$0.50 Pick-3 (5/8/1) Paid $92.10 (3OF3)

True---when I made the bets this morning---none were in the top few on ML.

Sorry for my shameless gloating.
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Old 03-15-2016, 09:16 PM   #158
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
True---when I made the bets this morning---none were in the top few on ML.

Sorry for my shameless gloating.
You earned it. I'd have needed at least 3 in the 5th to get the winner, at least 2 in the middle, and probably four or five in the seventh to cash. I really would have expected that P3 to pay at least twice what it did on a Tuesday. It wasn't as though Northern Contract was ever vying for favoritism, he was just one of a few that figured and had to beat a chalky Tino to start and the last leg was a scramble where even if you thought the 10-1 M/L on the winner was wishful thinking it still wasn't the sort of horse that everyone would lock on to immediately when filling out the last leg of a ticket. That was a real solid call and I mean it when I say that you deserved better than the hellofagood you did.
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Old 03-16-2016, 12:00 AM   #159
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Winger
Nothing from my picks today.

Current Bankroll: $162.70 (-$37.3 - 80 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
TUP-5 Northern Contract (6/1) 1st... 10.60 (26.50)
TUP-8 Lions Prey (15/1) & My Grandson (7/2) 1st... 7.40 (18.50)

==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
PRX-6 Mr. Masterpiece (7/2)


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


MVR-7 Inspired Voyage (3/1)1st... 6.40
SUN-8 Cassy Sue (5/1) 1st... 13.60
WRD-5 Flaming Shadow (6/1)

Today was a good day. It looks like Greg and I both did well at Turf Paradise.
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Old 03-16-2016, 02:06 AM   #160
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Current Bankroll: $192.70 (-$7.30 - 83 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
MVR-7 Wild Skye (15/1)
TAM-4 MyBrotherJohnnyA (15/1)
TAM-8 BroncoJoeNVinny (6/1)
WRD-9 Chifforobe (3/1)

==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-2 Davids Prince (7/2)
GPX-1 Bold Summit (7/2)
TAM-4 Overstand (10/1)
TAM-10 Private Spot (5/1)
WRD-9 Chifforobe (3/1)
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Old 03-16-2016, 05:51 AM   #161
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50% Method

*So far...5 for 11 with a near 0.00 ROI

This method is an attempt to hit 50% winners/and show a positive ROI....no matter how small.
I've read somewhere about a betting method that--if you can hit 50% and break even--you can turn that into a profit with creative betting. It's probably some kind of DUE COLUMN deal...I haven't bothered to look it up until I can hit the 50%.
If anyone knows of such a betting method--please post.

Today's 50% picks:

GPX

4TH BEAUKATI 2-1

TAM

3RD ADMIRING GLANCE 6-1 *(highest price with the method--so far)

TUP

3RD ZENITA 6/5 (Winger Special)

6TH WILD FIBS 1/1

-NCG
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Old 03-16-2016, 10:44 AM   #162
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Pace/Spot plays

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:PENN~Race-6 -->> 10-1-2-8

First a race @ Penn I was looking at:

7th KITSTRICKORTREAT 10-1 Trainer is money $$ 2nd off layoff, had prep race, plenty of works, looks ready to fire.
Also S W JAYBIRD 4-1 Shows the classic pattern of fast 1st 2 calls--2 back. Then Worst Race Last---both horses look like they can win this--
small win bet on each, and - X-box.

6th Race BAYOTT 15-1 LOOKS SO READY TO WIN--but now in the barn of a 1 for 98 trainer, can't pull the trigger--
what the heck $2 w/p so I won't break down and cry if he pulls the miracle upset. Also keying up the / w , in that race.



**GULFSTREAM

1ST BOLD SUMMIT 7/2

4TH HOWLIN MAD SNITH 8-1

10TH INDIAN GUIDE 3-1

**MAHONING

4th FINAL ANSWER 6-1

3RD TRIFECTA KEY /W , ,

**TURF PARADISE

1ST INSCRIPTION 30-1 W/P

2ND FULLSHOT 7/2 ** DD -

7TH KOZANI 8-1

8TH EXCLUDE 3-1 ** LATE DD -


have a good day

NCG
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Old 03-16-2016, 10:55 AM   #163
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*HTW

---Alfar

Notes --B. Servis main guy rosado aboard for the Maiden upset
Activity type 10-1 ML
Activity date 03-16-2016
Track Penn National
Surface Dirt
Distance 1 Mile
Race number 5
Purse $33,300
Race type Maiden Special Weight
Post position 3
Jockey Rosado R J
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Old 03-17-2016, 01:10 AM   #164
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Winger
Current Bankroll: $192.70 (-$7.30 - 83 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
MVR-7 Wild Skye (15/1)
TAM-4 MyBrotherJohnnyA (15/1)
TAM-8 BroncoJoeNVinny (6/1)
WRD-9 Chifforobe (3/1)

==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-2 Davids Prince (7/2) 1st... 5.40
GPX-1 Bold Summit (7/2)
TAM-4 Overstand (10/1)
TAM-10 Private Spot (5/1)
WRD-9 Chifforobe (3/1)

Nothing exciting today.
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Old 03-17-2016, 01:37 AM   #165
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Going to start my off the claim angle again, with some improvements.

Current Bankroll: $172.70 (-$27.30 - 87 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
GGX-2 Kuuipo (8/1)
PEN-4 Isolation Road (9/2)
PEN-8 Natal (3/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
None Today

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


FGX-2 Reality is Great (9/2)
GPX-9 Scoff (4/1)
OPX-1 Laugh At Life (5/1)
OPX-7 Como Se Llama (12/1)
PEN-4 Last Heartbreaker (3/1)
PEN-5 Star of Magic (6/1)
PEN-8 Natal (3/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed

figure.

GPX-9 Scoff (4/1)
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