Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 07-06-2015, 02:57 PM   #31
Mr Saratoga
Registered User
 
Mr Saratoga's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 46
I'm sure CCB will find the right spot for her, he has said that she's the best turf filly he ever trained.
Mr Saratoga is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 03:06 PM   #32
classhandicapper
Registered User
 
classhandicapper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,597
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I don't even know what to say any longer. I'm at a loss as to how tracks could do this for one, and even worse report bullcrap data. I don't even know who is at fault. Is it NYRA? Is it Equibase? The same exact thing just happened on Belmont Stakes day.

Yes, for big races most of us see it and adjust accordingly, but how can anyone possibly believe what is put in the PPs for your average race when the big races aren't right?
It's hard enough to make accurate figures without all these unnecessary complications. I don't have the time to check all the run ups, rail settings, wind directions, fat fingers (plus everything else that goes into it) and still have time to handicap. They just don't get it.

I'm back to classing horses with my own ratings. I just make sure the horse is not a slug on speed figures relative to the competition and leave it at that.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"

Last edited by classhandicapper; 07-06-2015 at 03:12 PM.
classhandicapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 03:32 PM   #33
Some_One
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 1,911
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
They rarely run the distance, can't see it would make much difference.

I just counted, from the gate to the very beginning of the purple flowers that say "New York":

Belmont Derby 19 lengths of rail
Belmont Oaks 27 lengths of rail (tough angle but this is close)

What are the lengths of rail, 10 feet? If close that is a pretty big difference.
Correct, it was 32 ft vs 42 ft on the charts
Some_One is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 03:38 PM   #34
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,825
Quote:
Originally Posted by Some_One
Correct, it was 32 ft vs 42 ft on the charts
It was 42 for both, so it was changed, but I think it will get changed again per Equibase. It isn't close to a 10 foot difference and they are now aware of the issue.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 03:50 PM   #35
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,744
OH, I see...one of those "about" distances.
Would be nice if the alleged racing writers at the Post would cover stuff like this. Would be nicer if the head guy at NYRA got involved with serving his customers.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 04:30 PM   #36
Some_One
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 1,911
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
It was 42 for both, so it was changed, but I think it will get changed again per Equibase. It isn't close to a 10 foot difference and they are now aware of the issue.
Strange, I was pretty sure it was 32 ft and 42 ft when I checked this morning, just checked and it's now 42 ft for the boys and 84 ft for the girls
Some_One is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 04:32 PM   #37
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,825
Quote:
Originally Posted by Some_One
Strange, I was pretty sure it was 32 ft and 42 ft when I checked this morning, just checked and it's now 42 ft for the boys and 84 ft for the girls

It probably was this morning. I checked it Saturday and both were listed at 42.

I'm not sure 84 is correct either, but at this point I don't really care any longer. I just do the best I can figure wise and move on. Those rails sections look longer than than 5 feet to me which is what they would be if the difference were 40.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 04:50 PM   #38
raybo
EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
 
raybo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
It probably was this morning. I checked it Saturday and both were listed at 42.

I'm not sure 84 is correct either, but at this point I don't really care any longer. I just do the best I can figure wise and move on. Those rails sections look longer than than 5 feet to me which is what they would be if the difference were 40.
I'm fairly sure the sections are at least 8' long. But, many commercial (non-racing) fencing sections are 10' long.
__________________
Ray
Horseracing's like the stock market except you don't have to wait as long to go broke.

Excel Spreadsheet Handicapping Forum

Charter Member: Horseplayers Association of North America
raybo is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 06:01 PM   #39
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,825
Quote:
Originally Posted by raybo
I'm fairly sure the sections are at least 8' long. But, many commercial (non-racing) fencing sections are 10' long.
I'm guessing 10' because it looks like a running horse fits in between them.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 06:13 PM   #40
Saratoga_Mike
Veteran
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 9,893
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
Twice, on the second biggest day of the meet?
Leave the freaking gate there and run the two races back to back.
What other reason could there be? And it isn't b/c they're dumb.
Saratoga_Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 06:18 PM   #41
Saratoga_Mike
Veteran
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 9,893
"Gulfstream may change the run-ups from race to race, so that the starting gate causes less wear and tear on the turf course, making race-to-race comparisons meaningless, too." Andy Beyer, DRF, March 2014
Saratoga_Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 09:17 PM   #42
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,744
Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike
What other reason could there be? And it isn't b/c they're dumb.
It is a stupid reason and maybe not dumb, but just don't care. Which is worse. Thje point is, capable people dedicated to their customer find ways to get thing down the right way. Has a race track ever done that?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 09:21 PM   #43
raybo
EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
 
raybo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
It is a stupid reason and maybe not dumb, but just don't care. Which is worse. Thje point is, capable people dedicated to their customer find ways to get thing down the right way. Has a race track ever done that?
Is it possible that their "customer" is not who they're dedicated to? Or, is their "customer", maybe, someone other than the bettors?

Really, when was the last time a track thought that the bettors deserved anything other than a fleecing, snide remarks, and swift kicks in the ass (with the parting comment "If you don't like it then get the hell out")?
__________________
Ray
Horseracing's like the stock market except you don't have to wait as long to go broke.

Excel Spreadsheet Handicapping Forum

Charter Member: Horseplayers Association of North America

Last edited by raybo; 07-06-2015 at 09:24 PM.
raybo is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 09:25 PM   #44
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,744
I have no doubt that they have no clue who the customer is.
I seriously doubt they know they are running races that people bet on.

College swimming has more technology and awareness than any track in the country. Even when they spend all that money on Takus, they bastardize the output to fit the model they set up in 1885.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-06-2015, 09:30 PM   #45
raybo
EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
 
raybo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
I have no doubt that they have no clue who the customer is.
I seriously doubt they know they are running races that people bet on.

College swimming has more technology and awareness than any track in the country. Even when they spend all that money on Takus, they bastardize the output to fit the model they set up in 1885.
That about covers it!
__________________
Ray
Horseracing's like the stock market except you don't have to wait as long to go broke.

Excel Spreadsheet Handicapping Forum

Charter Member: Horseplayers Association of North America
raybo is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.