Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 3 votes, 5.00 average.
Old 05-08-2015, 12:21 AM   #1
Valuist
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
Its amazing how many want to rip Beyer

I had googled an article about poking holes in baseball sabermetrics, but to my surprise, the article starts off with a diatribe ripping, who else? Andrew Beyer.
Kind of funny how this criticism basically says that Beyer says bet the highest Beyer. No mention of trips, of which he wrote a whole book on, explaining how figures are determined by trips. No mention of anything else. Again, this writer should stick to baseball.


http://www.hardballtimes.com/death-to-sabermetrics/
Valuist is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 12:32 AM   #2
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,556
When did Beyer claim that "he could tell you with a 100% certainty which horse will win each race"? Shouldn't someone actually READ the book before he starts trashing its author?
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 12:51 AM   #3
PhantomOnTour
C'est Tout
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
Was the article written tongue-in-cheek?
It's dated April Fool's Day 2011
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
PhantomOnTour is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 01:21 AM   #4
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Was the article written tongue-in-cheek?
It's dated April Fool's Day 2011
I'd say so. Pretty sure that is a cohort of FanGraphs and most of their editorializing is rooted in sabermetric analysis.
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 01:56 AM   #5
dnlgfnk
Registered User
 
dnlgfnk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: St. Louis suburb
Posts: 1,761
For sure. The combox gets it about April Fools'.

Yet, there are some truths to the satire. Rather than draft Hanley Ramirez as I would have in the second round (tough "trip" last year with injuries, weaker LA lineup...speculated "easier trip" this year with the Green Monster bandbox), I went with Robby Cano's FanGraphs projected offensive WAR of 14.1.

Still waiting into May on his 2nd hr...
__________________
"I like to come here (Saratoga) every year to visit my money." ---Joe E. Lewis

Last edited by dnlgfnk; 05-08-2015 at 02:03 AM.
dnlgfnk is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 06:56 AM   #6
DeltaLover
Registered user
 
DeltaLover's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: FALIRIKON DELTA
Posts: 4,439
The writer of the article is clueless when it comes to speed figures and has no idea of Beyer's theories. Although I think that his figures are dated and better alternatives exist today, AB is one of the monumental figures of American Handicappers and his writings presented some of the most innovative and influential ideas around... Don't bother with this article, at least not with any of its references to horse racing, since the author does not seem to know much about it.
__________________
whereof one cannot speak thereof one must be silent
Ludwig Wittgenstein
DeltaLover is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 12:15 PM   #7
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by DeltaLover
The writer of the article is clueless when it comes to speed figures and has no idea of Beyer's theories. Although I think that his figures are dated and better alternatives exist today, AB is one of the monumental figures of American Handicappers and his writings presented some of the most innovative and influential ideas around... Don't bother with this article, at least not with any of its references to horse racing, since the author does not seem to know much about it.
I'm pretty sure this was pure satire, including the part about Beyer.

Quote:
For all these reasons, and many more, we should stop using Sabermetrics as of this date, April 1, 2011.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 12:21 PM   #8
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,556
If the readers are unsure whether a piece is satire or not...then the writer needs help with his craft.
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 12:27 PM   #9
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,867
Or the readers need help with their comprehension.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 01:18 PM   #10
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,556
That too...
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 03:06 PM   #11
Stillriledup
Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
When i hear the word "rip" i think of Cubs manager Lee Elia and his famous rant (you can hear it on youtube if you've never heard it before) and he uses "rip them bleepedy bleeps".

As far as Beyer getting "ripped" i never realized Andy had a lot of detractors, what's not to love?
Stillriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 03:13 PM   #12
thaskalos
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,556
If Beyer had a fan club, then I would be its president. The man is a bona fide legend...and the greatest ambassador that our game ever had. If there was no Andy Beyer...then there would be an urgent need to invent one.
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
thaskalos is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 03:22 PM   #13
Saratoga_Mike
Veteran
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 9,893
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stillriledup
When i hear the word "rip" i think of Cubs manager Lee Elia and his famous rant (you can hear it on youtube if you've never heard it before) and he uses "rip them bleepedy bleeps".

As far as Beyer getting "ripped" i never realized Andy had a lot of detractors, what's not to love?
While his number of detractors are far fewer than yours, they're still out there SRU.
Saratoga_Mike is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 03:25 PM   #14
Stillriledup
Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
If Beyer had a fan club, then I would be its president. The man is a bona fide legend...and the greatest ambassador that our game ever had. If there was no Andy Beyer...then there would be an urgent need to invent one.
I know what you are saying. There's nothing not to like about him.

[YT="The Man"]Cud3mLtldjs[/YT]
Stillriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 05-08-2015, 04:37 PM   #15
lansdale
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,506
Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
I had googled an article about poking holes in baseball sabermetrics, but to my surprise, the article starts off with a diatribe ripping, who else? Andrew Beyer.
Kind of funny how this criticism basically says that Beyer says bet the highest Beyer. No mention of trips, of which he wrote a whole book on, explaining how figures are determined by trips. No mention of anything else. Again, this writer should stick to baseball.


http://www.hardballtimes.com/death-to-sabermetrics/
Clearly a lame attempt at satire by a young 'moneyball' guy supposedly mimicking the voice of the aging fans who have ridiculed his approach to the game. I think the giveaway is the quote from a man who was set straight Joe McCarthy in 1936. Those still in doubt should take a look at the home page.
lansdale is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:41 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.