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Old 03-28-2015, 01:17 AM   #16
Some_One
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Originally Posted by bgbootha
No, LOL. But I can see how that is worded weird.

When the Favorite wins....the Average Payout is $5.85. The $15 figure is the total average winner for all the races.
Ahh ok, and the win percentage might not be the horse you have listed correct (if someone else went off as fav)?

One more question if you don't mind, looking back, on the 22nd, in the TuP8, the horse you listed was a scratch, is that race included in your results?

Last edited by Some_One; 03-28-2015 at 01:23 AM.
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Old 03-28-2015, 02:25 PM   #17
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Originally Posted by Some_One
Ahh ok, and the win percentage might not be the horse you have listed correct (if someone else went off as fav)?

One more question if you don't mind, looking back, on the 22nd, in the TuP8, the horse you listed was a scratch, is that race included in your results?
No the races in which the ML favorite is a scratch are NOT included at all, I erase those from the Database.

If the PT favorite differs from the ML favorite then that is correct, it may not be the same horse as listed.
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Old 04-28-2015, 12:40 AM   #18
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Took a break from posting these for a few weeks. We have re-worked the formula and have had even better success.

There will be less than before but it's a higher quality data set.

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Old 04-28-2015, 10:25 AM   #19
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Glad to see this back. Love this thread. Thank you for posting.
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Old 04-28-2015, 10:45 AM   #20
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Glad to see this back. Love this thread. Thank you for posting.
Thanks, we were getting some false flags and had to figure a few things out..but I am more confident than ever in these.
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Old 04-28-2015, 10:20 PM   #21
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All three of today's False Favorites failed to hit the board and the winner of each race paid >$11.00!

Thats the way its supposed to work.

Here are tomorrows!
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Old 04-28-2015, 11:35 PM   #22
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Nice job!

Thanks for posting.
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Old 04-30-2015, 10:10 AM   #23
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Old 04-30-2015, 10:52 AM   #24
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Belmont 7th, #1- Awesome News, is a MTO horse. This should not have been identified as a false favorite....
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Old 04-30-2015, 12:15 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
Belmont 7th, #1- Awesome News, is a MTO horse. This should not have been identified as a false favorite....
Yeah some pop up like that, its all in the math. He was listed as 3/2 ML favorite
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Old 05-01-2015, 10:19 AM   #26
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Old 05-01-2015, 07:17 PM   #27
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Derby Day FFR

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Old 05-01-2015, 09:57 PM   #28
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interesting....thanks for doing this...quick comment as well...

false favs at CD on 5/1 worked pretty good....notice there are NONE for 5/2 at CD...interesting indeed...
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Old 05-02-2015, 12:02 AM   #29
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Carve in the 4th was close...but nothing else qualified for the 2nd.
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Old 05-03-2015, 12:09 PM   #30
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