The problem is that the late surge of money is more often on the hot horse that wins. So for the average schmuck that bets a bit earlier than "last nanosecond" and has a winner, he/she sees an odds drop compared to when their wager was placed. For every winner where we see the odds drop, how often to we see the odds go up? I'd say about a 5 to 1 ratio, at least.
The conversation on this topic is usually about the whales chopping into the "overlays" at the end or past posting, but I believe it's the larger prime wagers coming in as well.
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