In the relatively near future - certainly before the Breeder's Cup - I will be releasing HSH version 9.
The featured "new technology" that will be released is "UNIQUE PAST PERFORMANCES."
What if you had a handicapping method or system that was based upon information that gave YOU a truly unique view of each horse's capabilities?
Please do not confuse this technology with anything currently available. This is NOT simply filtering existing pacelines to show only what you want to see. Neither is it simply adding rows or columns.
We worked long and hard to figure this out.
It began with several whiteboard sessions where we looked at
what was wrong with our attack on the game. We reached several highly negative conclusions in those sessions. Among those were:
- Everyone has the same information.
- There is not enough data for each horse.
- The paceline approach is too time sensitive.
- There are too many facets of the game missing from the current paceline system.
- The entire system is too speed-rating-sensitive.
- The entire value-based process is too tote-change-sensitive.
There are other problems that we came up with, but these were enough for us to get to thinking about potential solutions. As we whiteboarded for those solutions, attempting to think out of the box, we came to the conclusion that this was the biggest issue of all:
Everyone has the same information.
Almost as a joke, we decided that solving this one would be enough to give EVERY one of our users an advantage that the rest of the world would be hard-pressed to find.
I recall when I wrote "UNIQUE PAST PERFORMANCES" on the board as a target, followed by the word "HOW?"
We stared at it for awhile. Laughed at how ridiculous it all sounded, and then, just as we were going to move on to other potential solutions, my wife, Beth, says, "Wait... Could you... ??" and the idea was born.
Pretty soon we were taking it seriously. After 2 or 3 more whiteboard sessions, I got a couple of other people involved by asking questions of people I respect in racing. Delta Lover was one of those people, although he might not have realized it at the time. I bounced a couple of ideas off him, which led to even more ideas.
Ultimately, my small team finalized the process which, in my opinion, solves
ALL the major problems that handicappers face:
- Proliferation of common information preventing the gain of an informational advantage without copious amounts of higher math.
- Dependency on tiny, narrow (almost meaningless) samples of data (i.e. pacelines) to build studies from.
- Too great a dependency upon the Final Odds (which do not truly exist for people wagering in the real world) to determine value.
- Inability to build a reasonably accurate and testable probability for each horse without a stable of deep mathematicians supporting you (i.e. Whales).
Is this a TEASER? You bet it is! I am trying to tease my past customers into coming back.
There are several hundred of you out there who purchased HSH and are not currently using it. I want you to come back!
Be aware that if you have ever been a registered HSH user you will be entitled to upgrade to version 9 for a nominal upgrade fee. (Nominal is synonymous with SMALL; very small.) It does not matter how far back you were a user! Once a registered user, always entitled to come back.
Note: Current or recent active users will not face any upgrade fee.
Anyone who read this far probably wants more details. I am not willing to divulge much right now but I will tell you more when you are ready to come back as a customer.
I also suggest that you come back BEFORE HSH v9 is released because you are going to want several months of data to play with this effectively. (Obviously, when it comes to data, more is always better than less.)
If you are ready to come back now, the pre-release upgrade fee is only $59. After the official release it will be at least $89.
Just call the office to get the upgrade process started. 775.853.1234.
Please note: When you call, it is highly unlikely that you will be able to speak to me directly. Beth will be able to handle the questions pertinent to your return. Once you come back, you will be invited to our upcoming private workshops where you can learn more.