Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Contests + Other Interesting Racing Topics > Harness Racing


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 07-08-2014, 07:19 PM   #1
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Willphorse Analysis

Going to post a few selections here tonight. I will continue this thread for some time, in hopes to gain a little bit of interest from others. This will shed some light on a path that I have taken for quite some time now. Those that have been on this board awhile may have noticed my absence for some time now. I have been back and forth a few times, but have really struck a 'golden road' for a bit, and really wanted to focus on that a bit. As this thread continues, I will also continue to shed some light on this path. Any questions, please ask away!


Mohawk July 8th

R1- 1 Rightinthekisser

R3- 3 Thinkofagameplan

R4- 1 Swiss Bank Hanover

R6- 5 Big Moment

R8- 1 Make Some Luck

R9- 6 Top Class Act
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-08-2014, 07:38 PM   #2
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
R1- Rightinthekisser- Barn change. Ships north from Vernon. This looked like the right spot with the barn change. Waples takes the drive while drawing the rail.

What happened?

Rail trip, shuffled, pulled top of stretch and just didn't have enough to catch top 3. This looked like a typical 'see what he has' trip. This 2 yr old colt had to race in traffic and had some dirt kicked in his face. Expect much better next out!
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-08-2014, 07:44 PM   #3
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Race 2- 1 Star Cover

I did not see this as a bet until I glanced after R1.

Draws the rail. Was well thought of in first lifetime start at Mohawk, leaving for the lead, tucking pocket, then fading in stretch after a tough trip. Shipped into a NW4000L race where this 2YO was absolutely outclassed! To see him bet to 16-1 in that type of race really showed something! Ships back to Mohawk. If he improves on the 1:56.4 mile, he will be right there at great odds. Rail helps!
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-08-2014, 07:55 PM   #4
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Was blocked in, pinched into stretch. Favorite was run away winner.

So far, plays are 0-2
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-08-2014, 08:25 PM   #5
Ray2000
Apple 2GS Wiz
 
Ray2000's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
Good luck Will, .....We've missed your picks.


I'll throw in one here

Race 4
I'm thinking the 4 and 5 are going to fight early, and if one more gets in the fray (hopefully not the 1) then the 10 has the shot.

Looking for Grand Rewards 10/1 to go off at 4/1, Chad Rozema has him picked, damnit
__________________
.
.
.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
Ray2000 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 05:14 AM   #6
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
1 Winner all night, Race 8 paid $6.70-$3.40

Rough beginning, but better things to come for sure!
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 06:11 AM   #7
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Harrahs Philadelphia July 9th

R1- 4 Real Illusion
R2- 3 Together Again N
R4- 2 Filly Buster
R6- 3 Il Mago
R8- 4 Paystobea Meangirl
R9- 2 My Girl Friend
R10- My Love Bi
R11- 3 Post Time Terror
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 11:25 AM   #8
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
Harrahs Philadelphia July 9th

R1- 4 Real Illusion
R2- 3 Together Again N
R4- 2 Filly Buster
R6- 3 Il Mago
R8- 4 Paystobea Meangirl
R9- 2 My Girl Friend
R10- My Love Bi
R11- 3 Post Time Terror
I will elaborate a bit. All of the selections that have raced, I'm looking at the class, what the odds were, and the trip the horse received. This can tell a great deal about intentions, as well as how the horse is feeling.

The horses that are making their first start of the year, qualifiers tell a lot. I look to see a large improvement between qualifiers!
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 02:39 PM   #9
mrroyboy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 1,915
Welcome back Will
mrroyboy is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 03:55 PM   #10
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
Harrahs Philadelphia July 9th

R1- 4 Real Illusion
R2- 3 Together Again N
R4- 2 Filly Buster
R6- 3 Il Mago
R8- 4 Paystobea Meangirl
R9- 2 My Girl Friend
R10- My Love Bi
R11- 3 Post Time Terror
R1- Winner $2.40-$2.10
R2- Showed
R4- Winner $3.60-$2.40
R6- Placed $2.80
R8- Winner $9.20-$6.40
R10- Winner $32.20-$18.40
R11- Out

7-4-1-1....Total $79.50.... +$51.50
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 04:00 PM   #11
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
R1- Winner $2.40-$2.10
R2- Showed
R4- Winner $3.60-$2.40
R6- Placed $2.80
R8- Winner $9.20-$6.40
R10- Winner $32.20-$18.40
R11- Out

7-4-1-1....Total $79.50.... +$51.50
i would say that is one good day at the office!
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 04:18 PM   #12
cmp92
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Buffalo
Posts: 752
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
R1- Winner $2.40-$2.10
R2- Showed
R4- Winner $3.60-$2.40
R6- Placed $2.80
R8- Winner $9.20-$6.40
R10- Winner $32.20-$18.40
R11- Out

7-4-1-1....Total $79.50.... +$51.50
Way to score in Race 10 against Sevruga
cmp92 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 04:51 PM   #13
Sea Biscuit
Registered User
 
Sea Biscuit's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,176
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
R1- Winner $2.40-$2.10
R2- Showed
R4- Winner $3.60-$2.40
R6- Placed $2.80
R8- Winner $9.20-$6.40
R10- Winner $32.20-$18.40
R11- Out

7-4-1-1....Total $79.50.... +$51.50
Nice longshot WillP.
Sea Biscuit is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 04:52 PM   #14
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
i would say that is one good day at the office!

Thank you gentleman.

I'll throw some out for Pocono tonight as well. For those interested, again, look at the classes, odds of horse in the past race or 2 and the trip the horse had. You will start to see patterns!


Pocono July 9th

R2- 1 Cypress Hill Suds
R4- 4 Bliztra
R5- 3 DC's Piggy Bank
R6- 1 R Journey Together
R7- 3 Great Emancipator
R9- 4 Broadway's Fortune
R10- 4 Secluded Beach
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 07-09-2014, 09:29 PM   #15
willphorse
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1,320
Quote:
Originally Posted by willphorse
Thank you gentleman.

I'll throw some out for Pocono tonight as well. For those interested, again, look at the classes, odds of horse in the past race or 2 and the trip the horse had. You will start to see patterns!


Pocono July 9th

R2- 1 Cypress Hill Suds
R4- 4 Bliztra
R5- 3 DC's Piggy Bank
R6- 1 R Journey Together
R7- 3 Great Emancipator
R9- 4 Broadway's Fortune
R10- 4 Secluded Beach
Good results, but most were extremely chalky. Nevertheless, staying consistent is the key. The prices and profit will follow.

R2- Placed $2.20
R4- Winner $2.10-$2.10
R5- Out
R6- Showed
R7- Showed
R9- Placed $6.00
R10- Winner $3.00-$2.10

7-2-2-2... $17.50.... -$10.50
willphorse is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:20 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.