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03-09-2014, 11:33 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Research Papers
I'm always looking for good stuff to read. If you've come across anything financial related, feel free to post it, here:
Here's one I found informative and interesting:
http://web.mit.edu/alo/www/Papers/august07.pdf
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“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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03-10-2014, 07:40 AM
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#2
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Racing Form Detective
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
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Thank you for posting this. I am maybe about a fifth the way through and find it fascinating. At this point most of us are Quant handicappers (whether we admit it or not) and we need to reminded from time that our methods have holes in them that are easily seen. 25 SD events do happen.
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Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
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03-11-2014, 02:04 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 531
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Most of the Quants were over leveraged and operated under the impression they had found the key to the vault. A "Black Swan" event was not in their vocabulary. Some great books out there explaining their downfall.
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03-12-2014, 07:45 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jfdinneen
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Good one. Thanks.
That said, I believe the Author misses the point. A stop loss can often serve as an insurance policy which can protect you from a devastating loss from a crash as was the case in 2008.
Of course, not having insurance can often save you money, but, it doesn't change the fact that you put yourself in a high risk position.
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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04-01-2014, 12:09 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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This is a good one. IMO, Position Sizing gets way too little attention, compared to stock picking.
http://turtletrader.com/position_sizing.pdf
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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04-01-2014, 02:21 AM
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#7
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,624
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Position sizing is a no brainer. Most retail traders take on WAY TOO big of a position for their account size. I know I'm guilty of it...
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04-01-2014, 11:47 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Position sizing is a no brainer. Most retail traders take on WAY TOO big of a position for their account size. I know I'm guilty of it...
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Position Sizing is the one area where you can be perfect and bat 1.000.
In financial markets or horseracing it's unavoidable to make bad decisions with regard to timing or stock/horse selection, but, if your rule is that you only risk X% of your bankroll on a stock/race, there's no excuse other than mental weakness to not do so.
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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04-01-2014, 08:34 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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BadCompany
I think reviewing doctoral and master dissertations is a good idea. I remember University libraries keeping these on file. Is that what you're doing? Are they available on-line? My experience is way before the internet.
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04-02-2014, 01:32 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
BadCompany
I think reviewing doctoral and master dissertations is a good idea. I remember University libraries keeping these on file. Is that what you're doing? Are they available on-line? My experience is way before the internet.
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I usually just type in a keyword like "Position Sizing" and see what comes up.
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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04-02-2014, 01:43 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,144
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POSITION SIZING
Has anyone tried kelly criterion, I know at one time it was extremely popular in horse racing?
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04-02-2014, 02:28 PM
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#12
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by badcompany
I usually just type in a keyword like "Position Sizing" and see what comes up.
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You should see if University libraries have the dissertations avail on-line. If they do, I would think Univ. of Chicago, Harvard, Stanford, UCLA, or Wharton would be a gold mine for you. If not avail., you should take a visit to your local University and see what they have.
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04-02-2014, 05:13 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
You should see if University libraries have the dissertations avail on-line. If they do, I would think Univ. of Chicago, Harvard, Stanford, UCLA, or Wharton would be a gold mine for you. If not avail., you should take a visit to your local University and see what they have.
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Good idea, thanks.
Got this one from Wharton
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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04-02-2014, 05:17 PM
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#14
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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I don't get it. Is it on-line? The heading indicates Stanford.edu.
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04-02-2014, 05:55 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 3,826
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I don't get it. Is it on-line? The heading indicates Stanford.edu.
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http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/faculty...blications.cfm
__________________
“Life does not ask what we want. It presents us with options”
― Thomas Sowell
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