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07-05-2018, 06:26 PM
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#1
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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I'm going to UNLOAD on Mendelssohn
on Saturday.
What do you think?
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07-05-2018, 08:12 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,549
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No. Save the $2 for a better spot.
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Live to play another day.
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07-05-2018, 08:36 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: west view, pa. now Lancaster, Ca.
Posts: 3,382
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yea, listen to Mozart
__________________
Buy Sam a drink and get His dog one Too--->mlang
and now in Lancaster, CA.
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07-05-2018, 09:44 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,594
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ldiatone
yea, listen to Mozart
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07-05-2018, 11:06 PM
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#5
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Buckeye
on Saturday.
What do you think?
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I wonder what your reasoning is.
And I wish you luck.
And I wonder why the hell the NYRA linemaker made Rugbyman 2/1 and Noble Indy a higher 7/2?? Looks like they were handicapping their opinion instead of the public. -Betting against Noble Indy, perhaps with a horse like Rugbyman was one of the reasons to play the Dwyer. Now you've got social proof working the wrong way against a popular underlay...
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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07-05-2018, 11:13 PM
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#6
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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And he made Catholic Boy 4th choice in the Belmont Derby ml ?? 
The morning line is supposed to set the table.
You don't ****ing correct for underlays.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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07-05-2018, 11:14 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2018
Posts: 53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
I wonder what your reasoning is.
And I wish you luck.
And I wonder why the hell the NYRA linemaker made Rugbyman 2/1 and Noble Indy a higher 7/2?? Looks like they were handicapping their opinion instead of the public. -Betting against Noble Indy, perhaps with a horse like Rugbyman was one of the reasons to play the Dwyer. Now you've got social proof working the wrong way against a popular underlay...
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NYRA linemaker is David Aragona now for what it is worth. He took over during this winter if I remember correctly. I have noticed since then that he isn't afraid to make horses below 1-1 on the ML at AQU/BEL/SAR. Seems as if he isn't a conventional ML maker.
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07-05-2018, 11:36 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AJanks
NYRA linemaker is David Aragona now for what it is worth. He took over during this winter if I remember correctly. I have noticed since then that he isn't afraid to make horses below 1-1 on the ML at AQU/BEL/SAR. Seems as if he isn't a conventional ML maker.
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If it's really David Aragona I take back some of the harshness of my criticism. He is a smart guy, who I respect.
Not exactly the morning line I was hoping for when I looked at the form after seeing this thread, but I'm sure he knows how to make a line, and has had good mentors, and I'm sure he has a reasoning behind how he did what he did. 
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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07-06-2018, 02:23 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
I wonder what your reasoning is.
And I wish you luck.
And I wonder why the hell the NYRA linemaker made Rugbyman 2/1 and Noble Indy a higher 7/2?? Looks like they were handicapping their opinion instead of the public. -Betting against Noble Indy, perhaps with a horse like Rugbyman was one of the reasons to play the Dwyer. Now you've got social proof working the wrong way against a popular underlay...
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Since June 9th the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have been winning at a 50% rate in Stakes races on both Dirt and Turf!!!
I will be keeping a close watch on the linemaker's Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 in Stakes races tomorrow!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 07-06-2018 at 02:28 PM.
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07-06-2018, 03:08 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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I have also noticed a strange phenomenon where the linemaker's Morning Line Favorites ends in 5 and Brown is the Trainer on the Turf at Belmont
The last 16 times it happened Brown's horse finished 2nd 10 times, that's quite a number of Exacta's with his horse underneath!!!
I am not sure of the Exacta payouts but I would imagine they were very profitable!!!
He has a place parlay of 10 in a row in this situation if I didn't know any better I would say he's doing it on purpose!!!
At any rate, let's also keep eye on the 5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) on the Turf whenever Brown is the Trainer at Belmont!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 07-06-2018 at 03:13 PM.
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07-06-2018, 06:24 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,208
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Mendelssohn's only proof of being proficient on dirt was the golden rail effort in Dubai, where the jockey urged him to the front.
He could win and live up to the hype, but he's hard to trust.
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07-06-2018, 06:25 PM
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#12
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Smarty Pants
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: Every Vote Counts
Posts: 3,160
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
And he made Catholic Boy 4th choice in the Belmont Derby ml ??
The morning line is supposed to set the table.
You don't ****ing correct for underlays. |
I hit Catholic Boy, so no disagreement there . . .
My brother claims Justify will never ever lose again because he's that good!
I suffer from JDS-- Justify Derangement Syndrome.
Last edited by Buckeye; 07-06-2018 at 06:26 PM.
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07-06-2018, 07:16 PM
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#13
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
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Mendelssohn is a good horse. I'm with Letswastemoney in that I don't know how good.
Maybe this race is a cakewalk for him. No world-beaters in the field.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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07-06-2018, 07:26 PM
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#14
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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Not impressed with this field at all
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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07-06-2018, 08:28 PM
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#15
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Beat up 💪
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Beach life in Fort Lauderdale
Posts: 11,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Mendelssohn's only proof of being proficient on dirt was the golden rail effort in Dubai, where the jockey urged him to the front.
He could win and live up to the hype, but he's hard to trust.
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I'm off . He is an Ungelded Funnycide.
He was a 50-1 nobody who ran 2nd to US Navy Flag in the 1st G1 Darley Dewhurst. US Navy Flag is since 0-5 and done nothing. He got a trip from God in BC JuvTurf. Freaked in Dubia and thats that.
Its Rugbyman. He spotted the field 3 lengths in the Easygoer. Ran wide as well.
The winner and 2nd place finisher from his first race, both came back and won next out.
They are putting Blinkers on to keep him focused. I have Rugyman by 3 lengths over anybody in here.
I predict Seahenge pass's Mendelssohn tommorrow.
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