Quote:
Originally Posted by ScottJ
This might be the greatest case study for caveman ticket construction ever offered as it turns out to have been the saving grace for this player. If two different serial numbers had been generated, the bonus payout would have been voided.
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The story was interesting, and the wager was offered and paid as intended, but there are more holes in the above paragraph than there ever were in the rules of the jackpot pick-6.
A -
Serial numbers have zero to do with the
Caveman Ticket concept. The cited bet was still a
caveman wager to any extent which we know, regardless of how many hundreds or thousands of
serial numbers were employed.
B - That same player could have had hundreds of different
Serial numbers and still won the jackpot.
C - Nothing about the interesting story you shared endorses the
caveman strategy at all.
RE:
A) If five humans decide to share a giant pick-6 wager entailing a single layout of combinations tallying $12,800 total, with most or all wagering online and splitting the cost @ $2560 each... IF they happen to go 5-deep in one leg, and for the purposes of simplicity, each "single" a different runner in that race so as to easily distribute the shared cost across wagering platforms,
it is still a caveman ticket.
B) You cited "2160" combinations... Had the player somehow pinpointed a 40-cent wager/ticket with a single serial number including
W/W/W/
S,W/W/W
it would not have mattered at all whether he had 1, or 2058 other serial numbers
C) The caveman strategy is perhaps fancied most for its simplicity... and it is poetic that those needing simplicity the most tend to have the largest wagering bankrolls, which match well to the
caveman concept.
Anyone using only logical analysis without need or want for simplicity can determine that the
caveman concept is far in arrears of weighted alternatives.
(of course there's always the guy who employed the caveman strategy to take down the only winning pick-5 on a big day at Belmont for upward of a quarter million, who will be a caveman until the day he dies)
I was glad to read the details you shared...