|
|
01-27-2023, 08:28 AM
|
#1
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: eastern pennsylvania
Posts: 882
|
Does Anyone Play Show Anymore ?
Several years ago a site showbettor.com produced a website where they special
ized in making $200 a day on show bets. As they got into the method they
actually had selections by the day to make you acquired goal. The selections
lasted about 2 months then they totally disappeared. Does anyone make show
bets anymore? The list of rules for the above site were things like 1. 7 horses
or better per race. 2. finished in the money 50% of the time 3. no horse bet
over 5 to 1 . things like that . Can or does anybody bet strictly to show
anymore? Making $200 a day on show betting is the goal. I don't see many
show bettors if any at the OTB I go to. Show betting for profit = ????
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 10:29 AM
|
#2
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,635
|
they are still there selling their 'method'
I will place bets when there is a vulnerable bridge jumper that I see.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 11:33 AM
|
#3
|
Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Lehigh Valley, PA.
Posts: 7,464
|
The best chance you'd have of showing a profit on show bets would be show parlays. It isn't that hard to hit four or five straight show bets. Without parlays, it's very tough because you can hit ten show bets in a row then lose two and your profit is gone.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 12:38 PM
|
#4
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,738
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
The best chance you'd have of showing a profit on show bets would be show parlays. It isn't that hard to hit four or five straight show bets. Without parlays, it's very tough because you can hit ten show bets in a row then lose two and your profit is gone.
|
I love a show parlay on a quiet Friday afternoon/evening, including AUS racing.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 01:51 PM
|
#5
|
Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2022
Location: Southern CA and Las Vegas
Posts: 105
|
Show bets are good for insurance only ... can't make
any profit off of them
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:10 PM
|
#6
|
Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 7,139
|
You only need a two horse parlay to make money in show betting. Find 2 horses per day that will pay 2.40 and 2.60 or above. That's a 50% ROI minimum if it hits. You're done. 95% of players everyday wish they made that ROI because they didn't with their more "respectable" bets while continuing to scoff at show betting.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:11 PM
|
#7
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
|
Even if I spot a favorite who I think will pay $2.60 and that I know to be as good as a $2.20 horse, it still comes back to requiring me to bet a lot to win a little.
That's not a good proposition for me.
If I bet $10, i get $3 profit on a winner.
It's tempting to bet $1000 and win $300, but that is how you put yourself in the hole.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:14 PM
|
#8
|
Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,152
|
If it looks like there's enough money in it, I'm in. I've hit show bets as high as $28.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:17 PM
|
#9
|
crusty old guy
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Snarkytown USA
Posts: 3,917
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Scamper
Show bets are good for insurance only ... can't make
any profit off of them
|
If someone needs an "insurance" bet they don't know how to wager properly.
__________________
"Don't believe everything that you read on the Internet." -- Abraham Lincoln
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:20 PM
|
#10
|
Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Mukwonago, WI
Posts: 3,207
|
Nothing wrong with a nice profit on a parlay even if they both pay 2.80 or whatever. An old racetrack acquaintance who used to bet short priced horses used to say "You can't get that at a bank".
Sure beats losing.
__________________
"I don't always frequent message boards, but when I do, I prefer PaceAdvantage."
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 02:37 PM
|
#11
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 199
|
I’m a former winner of Showvivor at SA. I’ve led late on another occasion. And in the current contest I’m one of 19 people to be perfect through 12 days. So, I’m pretty good at identifying mostly short priced horses who will hit the board and I can string a streak together (I think my winning streak was 24 or 25 days). I’ve obviously considered the merits of show betting. The thing is, in all but the short run, it never outperforms win betting on the same horses. If you’re a novice trying to learn the game while honing your handicapping, betting to win/place (which will also underperform just win betting but not as badly) is the better option. At least what you give up in ROI might be offset somewhat by helping you work through some of the psychological aspects of betting on horses. If you’re a more experienced player who seeks action and has been consistently wasting money betting the more difficult multi-leg wagers, maybe you can make a case for the extended show parlay as a replacement. It can give you the same type of action, you get to pick your own races and you might end up churning more and increase your rebate on some ADWs.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 03:05 PM
|
#12
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by wisconsin
Nothing wrong with a nice profit on a parlay even if they both pay 2.80 or whatever. An old racetrack acquaintance who used to bet short priced horses used to say "You can't get that at a bank".
Sure beats losing.
|
I'm open to this, but would be interesting to try to find a few races
-1st see how well we predict $2.80
2nd - if we pass #1 , then what kind of win odds and odds rank are paying $2.80
3rd - see if i can beat you with Trifectas rather than show.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle r
I’m a former winner of Showvivor at SA. I’ve led late on another occasion. And in the current contest I’m one of 19 people to be perfect through 12 days. So, I’m pretty good at identifying mostly short priced horses who will hit the board and I can string a streak together (I think my winning streak was 24 or 25 days). I’ve obviously considered the merits of show betting. The thing is, in all but the short run, it never outperforms win betting on the same horses. If you’re a novice trying to learn the game while honing your handicapping, betting to win/place (which will also underperform just win betting but not as badly) is the better option. At least what you give up in ROI might be offset somewhat by helping you work through some of the psychological aspects of betting on horses. If you’re a more experienced player who seeks action and has been consistently wasting money betting the more difficult multi-leg wagers, maybe you can make a case for the extended show parlay as a replacement. It can give you the same type of action, you get to pick your own races and you might end up churning more and increase your rebate on some ADWs.
|
Very nice
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 03:09 PM
|
#13
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Beaverdam Virginia
Posts: 12,681
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
The best chance you'd have of showing a profit on show bets would be show parlays. It isn't that hard to hit four or five straight show bets. Without parlays, it's very tough because you can hit ten show bets in a row then lose two and your profit is gone.
|
Are there sites that allows show parlays? Back when I played them it was on track or OTB only, X-Press and TVG did not offer them.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 03:11 PM
|
#14
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Beaverdam Virginia
Posts: 12,681
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle r
I’m a former winner of Showvivor at SA. I’ve led late on another occasion. And in the current contest I’m one of 19 people to be perfect through 12 days. So, I’m pretty good at identifying mostly short priced horses who will hit the board and I can string a streak together (I think my winning streak was 24 or 25 days). I’ve obviously considered the merits of show betting. The thing is, in all but the short run, it never outperforms win betting on the same horses. If you’re a novice trying to learn the game while honing your handicapping, betting to win/place (which will also underperform just win betting but not as badly) is the better option. At least what you give up in ROI might be offset somewhat by helping you work through some of the psychological aspects of betting on horses. If you’re a more experienced player who seeks action and has been consistently wasting money betting the more difficult multi-leg wagers, maybe you can make a case for the extended show parlay as a replacement. It can give you the same type of action, you get to pick your own races and you might end up churning more and increase your rebate on some ADWs.
|
By a 24-25 day streak how many races was that? Back when I played WPS
parlays I just played one day's whole card. Not in a contest I used a punch ticket.
|
|
|
01-27-2023, 03:12 PM
|
#15
|
Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 7,139
|
My main knock with show bets is that sometimes you are more right than wrong. My last 2 show bets paid $8 and just now $7.60 (6th Lrl) but both horses won. They paid $46 and $31.
But if I am being honest with myself, I liked their chances to hit the board, not to win. If I had liked their chances to win I would have bet them to win as well. Many times that is where we give up show betting and chase, and ultimately lose in the long run. I've learned that lesson so I don't get that upset when it happens anymore.
|
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|