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09-13-2018, 05:51 AM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Best Bet for Thursday
Dayton R6.....#5 Ahdoughnolum-10/1 ....Ater, Kyle
HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $12,500 W/ALLOWANCES
JY.SMITH LISTED 3,6 D.NOBLE LISTED 8,9
Horse, whose name I cannot pronouce, got caught in a break-neck quarter (25-4) on first start after claim.
Next start drew bad still finished 4 L back. Kyle consistantly in top 5 drivers here and post 5 is the sweet spot.
Last year Dayton was my best ROI track, hope it continues....
Key Box Exacta...5/8,1,4
BTW
Anybody familiar with this site? (deadheat.ca)
https://deadheat.ca/horse?name=Ahdoughnolum&type=h
Seems to be free.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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09-13-2018, 12:08 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 45th parallel
Posts: 2,178
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__________________
Best Don
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09-13-2018, 12:21 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 45th parallel
Posts: 2,178
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Ray,
Despite his success Kyle Ater has cost me a ton of money. He does have some top horses, and frequently has two head in the upper ranks. (Generally Barker drives the other).
Generally, Ater sits in too long and simply waits for holes to open up. Not the best move when two of the Southern Ohio tracks are absent passing lanes.
__________________
Best Don
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09-13-2018, 12:27 PM
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#4
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wilderness
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Don
SVM Regression to Predict Harness Races was the method Robert P. Schumaker used to develop the Northfield bot.
I think it's still in operation.
Apparently Dominic Plouffee (github and deadheat) is using SVM also.
Thanks for the link, it will take some time to digest.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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09-13-2018, 12:58 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 45th parallel
Posts: 2,178
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"it will take some time to digest."
Ray,
It's all Greek to me, of Geek if you prefer LOL
__________________
Best Don
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09-14-2018, 04:49 AM
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#6
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Results:
Ahdoughnolum got 3rd $6.60 to show
Don:
You were right-on with Ater remarks, Horrible drive, got stuck behind a wall. The triple wide horses did Ok.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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09-14-2018, 07:38 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 45th parallel
Posts: 2,178
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Ray,
He's cost me a bunch, even when I've merely included him for in-the-money exotics.
Forget about catch drives, does best with his own stock.
He has a couple in tonight that look decent but . . . .
__________________
Best Don
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