Quote:
Originally Posted by airford1
The casual player doesn't have to put in the work to be on a almost even par with the studied player
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LOL - nothing could be more upside down and wrong.
The
studied player walks into the track to play a game where the handle can be anticipated to exact a 16-20% toll on each of his wagers.
The
casual player presently walks into the track to play the same game while facing an equation that exacts a 30% toll on his wagers (much like the
idiot score on a true/false test).
(*** see another thread at this website where said
studied players are
finally awakened to the reality of that -30-ish percent norms are most typical for the new and casual players).
Racing could easily begin to repair itself by striving to make your misguided prophecy a reality, but track management has been so narrow-minded for so long that they just keep doing what they've done wrong for decades while failing miserably at utilizing and optimizing their edge over other games of chance.
Casino games and the state lottery don't have the same flaw which has been known to racing all along. The
"studied player" and the
"casual player" each play the same game with the same equations in those scenarios, and as such those games have far more vast followings.
The guy at the gas station knows that he has exactly the same odds as you do when he steps up to purchase his Powerball ticket, and he keeps playing. The
casual player at the track doesn't take long to figure out that he's at a massive disadvantage upon arrival, and he typically never returns.
Racing continues to do zero for that
casual player and the results are
crowds with fewer and fewer
casual players every week.
It's a simple equation and a simple solution, but nobody cares...