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Old 11-16-2018, 08:50 AM   #1
TheOracle
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Chalks Getting Crushed @AQU -- so far !!!

The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have been getting crushed over the past 2 racing days at Aqueduct!!!

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Old 11-16-2018, 09:24 AM   #2
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Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have only won 5 of their last 22 races let's see if things change today!!!

Here are the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 before scratches at Aqueduct



Let's concentrate on the even money Favorites in Maiden races


Last edited by TheOracle; 11-16-2018 at 09:36 AM.
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Old 11-16-2018, 09:33 AM   #3
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Maiden even money Morning Line Favorites have won 9 of their last 11 at Aqueduct!!



Let's see how these do today!!!

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Old 11-17-2018, 09:47 AM   #4
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Maiden even money Morning Line Favorites have now won 10 of their last 13 at Aqueduct as Brown split a pair yesterday #2 Allured got the win in the 2nd race



However, #4 Its a Lovely Day finished 2nd in the 4th race yesterday but the Exacta was a nice price!!!
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Old 11-17-2018, 10:12 AM   #5
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Brown has not had back to back losses as an even money or less Morning Line Favorite since 2016 at Aqueduct



However, 2 of his 5 losses in this situation were in Allowance Optional Claiming races and today he has and even money MLF in the 3rd race which is an Allowance Optional Claiming race

3rd race
#4 Sunset Ridge

I think he gets beat today!!!

Let's see what happens!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 11-17-2018 at 10:15 AM.
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Old 11-18-2018, 02:21 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Brown has not had back to back losses as an even money or less Morning Line Favorite since 2016 at Aqueduct



However, 2 of his 5 losses in this situation were in Allowance Optional Claiming races and today he has and even money MLF in the 3rd race which is an Allowance Optional Claiming race

3rd race
#4 Sunset Ridge

I think he gets beat today!!!

Let's see what happens!!!
We sniffed out a loss yesterday as #4 Sunset Ridge finished 2nd in the 3rd race for Brown who has been struggling in Allowance Optional Claiming races at Aqueduct when his horses are even money or less in the Morning Line

Interesting to note, Maiden even money Morning Line Favorites have won 10 of their last 13 at Aqueduct



I really like them coming off of a loss as was the case on Friday!!!

There is an even money Morning Line Favorite in the 4th race today which is a Maiden race

4th race
#2 Wise Strike

Let's see if Gargan can get this one to the winners circle today!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 11-18-2018 at 02:22 AM.
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Old 11-18-2018, 09:04 PM   #7
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We sniffed out a loss yesterday as #4 Sunset Ridge finished 2nd in the 3rd race for Brown who has been struggling in Allowance Optional Claiming races at Aqueduct when his horses are even money or less in the Morning Line

Interesting to note, Maiden even money Morning Line Favorites have won 10 of their last 13 at Aqueduct



I really like them coming off of a loss as was the case on Friday!!!

There is an even money Morning Line Favorite in the 4th race today which is a Maiden race

4th race
#2 Wise Strike

Let's see if Gargan can get this one to the winners circle today!!!
#2 Wise Strike disappointed and finished off the board today for Gargan in the 4th race as MLFs less than 3-1 went 3 for 10 today

Let's continue to watch Gargan's barn whenever he has MLFs less than 3-1!!!
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Old 11-23-2018, 11:04 AM   #8
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Maiden Special Weight even money Morning Line Favorites have won 10 of their last 13 at Aqueduct 14 of their last 16 going back to February 21st 2016!!!



They have won 6 in a row since December 30th, 2017 as streaks get close to 10 they seem to break. So let's see if my theory of 10 will hold today

There is an even money Maiden Special Weight Morning Line Favorite in the 1st race today at Aqueduct

1st race
#5 Apello

I think he gets beat today!!!

Let's see what happens!!!
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Old 11-23-2018, 07:19 PM   #9
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Maiden Special Weight even money Morning Line Favorites have won 10 of their last 13 at Aqueduct 14 of their last 16 going back to February 21st 2016!!!



They have won 6 in a row since December 30th, 2017 as streaks get close to 10 they seem to break. So let's see if my theory of 10 will hold today

There is an even money Maiden Special Weight Morning Line Favorite in the 1st race today at Aqueduct

1st race
#5 Apello

I think he gets beat today!!!

Let's see what happens!!!
Theory of 10 struck again today as #5 Apello finished off the board in the 1st race today snapping a streak of 6 wins in a row for even money Maiden Special Weight Morning Line Favorites on the Dirt at Aqueduct!!!
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Old 11-23-2018, 08:45 PM   #10
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Theory of 10 struck again today as #5 Apello finished off the board in the 1st race today snapping a streak of 6 wins in a row for even money Maiden Special Weight Morning Line Favorites on the Dirt at Aqueduct!!!
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#1 Dark Ops was off the board today as the Morning Line even money Favorite. Interesting to note, there were only 2 wins by Morning Lines Favorites less than 3-1 and they went 0 for their last 8 since today's 2nd race.



Both even money MLFs were off the board today!!!

On a brighter note, we sniffed out a profit today as M A Hennig's horse #7 Semper Sententiae finished 2nd paying $19.90 across the board!!!

I usually congratulate on wins but it just goes to show you don't need to pick winners to make money!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
We sniffed out a loss today but chalk players were rewarded as 6 out of 11 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 won today at Aqueduct!!!



A $2 win bet on each cost you $22 and you got $10.60 or a 48% return on your money!!!

Interesting to note, MLFs less than 3-1 made up the initial Pick 3 in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd races you also cashed in on the Daily Double in the 5th and 6th races!!!

This is the best day chalk players have had in a very long while at Aqueduct!!!
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Old 11-28-2018, 10:10 PM   #11
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We sniffed out a loss today but chalk players were rewarded as 6 out of 11 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 won today at Aqueduct!!!



A $2 win bet on each cost you $22 and you got $10.60 or a 48% return on your money!!!

Interesting to note, MLFs less than 3-1 made up the initial Pick 3 in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd races you also cashed in on the Daily Double in the 5th and 6th races!!!

This is the best day chalk players have had in a very long while at Aqueduct!!!
Chalk players had a great day today as 7 out of 11 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 were winners today at Aqueduct!!!



You got a 96% return on your money playing all of them to win today and all 11 hit the board!!!

4 of the 7 winners made up the late Pick 4 a 0.50 straight bet got you $67!!!

It's too bad this can't happen all the time!!!
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Old 12-08-2018, 09:37 AM   #12
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Even money Morning Line Favorites have won 9 of their last 12 in Stakes races on the Dirt going less than 1 Mile at Aqueduct going back to March 1st, 2014



There hasn't been a streak of 3 wins in a row from even money MLF's in sprint Stakes races since January 9th, 2016

Ironically, Asmussen was responsible for breaking up a streak of 6 wins in a row with a Morning Line 1-9 shot back in 2016

He has this even money Morning Line Favorite in a Stakes race on the Dirt going 6 Furlongs at Aqueduct today

5th race
#5 Vertical Oak

Let's see if he can redeem himself and get this one to the winners circle today!!!
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Old 12-08-2018, 10:57 PM   #13
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Even money Morning Line Favorites have won 9 of their last 12 in Stakes races on the Dirt going less than 1 Mile at Aqueduct going back to March 1st, 2014



There hasn't been a streak of 3 wins in a row from even money MLF's in sprint Stakes races since January 9th, 2016

Ironically, Asmussen was responsible for breaking up a streak of 6 wins in a row with a Morning Line 1-9 shot back in 2016

He has this even money Morning Line Favorite in a Stakes race on the Dirt going 6 Furlongs at Aqueduct today

5th race
#5 Vertical Oak

Let's see if he can redeem himself and get this one to the winners circle today!!!
Asmussen redeemed himself today from the debacle in 2016 as his even money Morning Line Favorite won the Stakes race on the Dirt today in the 5th race!!!

#5 Vertical Oak only paid $5.40 across the board but as I always say take it from them before they take it from you!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
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