Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 12-07-2017, 12:44 PM   #166
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Fairgrounds Race #8:

Fancy Madelyn 9-2


Looked at a lot of races and could only come up with this one. 5 for 6 on the Fairgrounds turf and 9 for 14 at the distance. Drops in class and steady work's since the last. Normally I am at 8-1 or higher so the post time odds here are critical.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-07-2017, 12:52 PM   #167
MONEY
Registered User
 
MONEY's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Houston Tx.
Posts: 3,130
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Fairgrounds Race #8:

Fancy Madelyn 9-2


Looked at a lot of races and could only come up with this one. 5 for 6 on the Fairgrounds turf and 9 for 14 at the distance. Drops in class and steady work's since the last. Normally I am at 8-1 or higher so the post time odds here are critical.
Scratched, It's been raining in Houston for a few days and when it rains here it usually rains in New Orleans.
__________________
Laboratory rats are susceptible to drug addiction, obesity, diabetes, heart disease and cancer.
MONEY is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-07-2017, 01:16 PM   #168
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Thanks Money, we will try it again.

Gulfstream Race #8:


Guidonia 8-1

Big win angle in play here. Over came a little trouble in that race also. Might have learned a little about this girl in the last. There is some suspect speed in this race and think they will try to win from the rear here again.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-08-2017, 12:12 PM   #169
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Aqueduct Race #6:


Candy Promises 8-1

Drops in to claiming competition for the first time. Trainer does well in the claiming races, and this guy has the early speed to be involved early. Last work is fast and out of the gate, looks ready to run.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-08-2017, 01:52 PM   #170
FakeNameChanged
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Aqueduct Race #6:


Candy Promises 8-1

Drops in to claiming competition for the first time. Trainer does well in the claiming races, and this guy has the early speed to be involved early. Last work is fast and out of the gate, looks ready to run.
I like this pick. And 10 works since his last race including (4) 5f's and (1) 6f. Trainer has kept him fit. Looks like one of the more competitive races on this card.
__________________
One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
FakeNameChanged is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-09-2017, 01:22 AM   #171
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Aqueduct Race #2:


Run For James 15-1

Set a lifetime best 2 back, then flopped as the favorite in the last. Can bounce back today, and is the inside speed. Would like this guy a lot more if the race is off the turf and the scrathes, but I also like his breeding for the turf.


Aqueduct Race #4:

Hot Possebility 15-1


First time starter for a trainer that is not the best in this situation. However gets Garcia (I like this guy on young horses) and he will try to put this girl close if not on the lead. And oh yeah, I do see a nice gate work that was 6th best of 131, not to bad.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-10-2017, 01:00 AM   #172
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Woodbine Race #12


Over Sensual 20-1


Jumps from Maiden Claiming to MSW because he is carrying a winning figure at this distance and on this surface. Adds blinkers and gets a top jockey here so 20-1 is not realistic.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-11-2017, 12:40 AM   #173
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Remington Race #5:


Quality Rocket 20-1

Might need a little of a speed bias to get this one home, but at the odds makes sense. Gets Luis Quinonez and the slight cut back in distance could improve enough to win this.

Mahoning Valley Race #7:


Midnight Dance 12-1

Jockey wins at 20% with frontrunners, trainer wins at the same rate with route to sprint runners. At 12-1 it becomes a bet just because of the %'s.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-12-2017, 12:59 PM   #174
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Remington Race #6:


Spanish Avenue 8-1

First time starter for W. B. Calhoun who puts Iram Diego up. Solid last work and catches a weak feild.


Remington Race #9:


L.A. Freeway 10-1


There is some drawbacks with this one but is improving. Has proven ability to run a speed figure that can win this, and looks to be able to be close early.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-13-2017, 01:50 PM   #175
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Gulfstream Race #8:


King Power 6-1


Again, not to complicated here. Catch me if you can.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-14-2017, 01:18 PM   #176
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Aqueduct Race #8:


Mineralogy 10-1


Best races so far have been in sprints on a fast track. Speed figure improved in last, and was followed by a short break with steady works. 3 yr old can still improve and his figures in fast track sprints are already competitive.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-14-2017, 03:59 PM   #177
Lemon Drop Husker
Veteran
 
Lemon Drop Husker's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Aqueduct Race #8:


Mineralogy 10-1


Best races so far have been in sprints on a fast track. Speed figure improved in last, and was followed by a short break with steady works. 3 yr old can still improve and his figures in fast track sprints are already competitive.
Dang Jay, this is one ugly field.

makes some sense as his best races have come at Aqueduct in colder weather along with Manny aboard.

Whoever gets agressive here and gets the lead could easily wire this ragtag field. I can certainly bet against the .
Lemon Drop Husker is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-14-2017, 04:07 PM   #178
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker View Post
Dang Jay, this is one ugly field.

makes some sense as his best races have come at Aqueduct in colder weather along with Manny aboard.

Whoever gets agressive here and gets the lead could easily wire this ragtag field. I can certainly bet against the .
Almost as ugly as I am.
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-14-2017, 04:10 PM   #179
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
And speaking of ugly, 5-2...
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-14-2017, 04:17 PM   #180
Lemon Drop Husker
Veteran
 
Lemon Drop Husker's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
And speaking of ugly, 5-2...
Ha.

at 4/1 is a little interesting and the is getting some play. Tough to take the 2 outside horses today.
Lemon Drop Husker is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:05 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.