I'd take a look at the result charts from last 2 races & see if he were facing either superior early speed or a probable speed duel (3-5 E horses). If that's the case, the trainer may have instructed the joc to lay off the pace & try to come on in the stretch. This usually only works if you have a horse that can be rated & a talented jockey.
I'd also look at his break position. If he broke first or second & then was put on hold by the joc, I'd be inclined to assume he's OK. If if broke poorly & showed no early speed, my sense would be he was off form unless he did come on to win or finish within two lengths of the winner.
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