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04-10-2010, 09:13 AM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Sat 4/10 ML Longshot Picks
Here goes a C-Note +4...
Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and key Box Exactas
Dover R14............4 w/7,1 ...No Perfect Escape-10/1.....triple qualifiers? once paced a 1:49-3
Freehold R2.........8 w/3,1 ...Duel Master N-12/1...........wild pick, left once and puked, 28-FQ in last
Fraser R9............9 w/7,4 ...Make Me Late-6/1.............trails a contender, trip win?
Hoosier R10.........5 w/4,7 ...Allamerican Union-6/1........Leb pacer goes from $1800 purse to $10000 here
Hoosier R13.........4 w/10,5 ..Frontier General-8/1.........2nd time Lasix, 1st time Widger -- good combo
Northlands R6.......5 w/1,6 ...Almost No More Bs-12/1...good form, (low takeouts here 15.8% win, else 24.8%)
Pocono R11..........8 w/5,2 ...Muscles To Spare-15/1......Triple qual needed start now needs a fast half trot
Woodbine R6........4 w/5,3,2 .Grand Bend Turbo-8/1.......Driver change to Mark Mac
Yonkers R4..........3 w/2,1 ...Mcraes Mate A-10/1...........Crowd ignored at Freehold paid $18 to win from pp7
Let-er-Ride at Hoosier, $5/5 W/P races 10-13
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-10-2010, 10:15 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Special note to my friend Ray. There is a "special event" card at Saratoga Harness today.  It's "special" in that it's 13 races in the afternoon, as opposed to there 13 races on the "regular" evening card. As they used to say back on the old TV show "hill street blues", be careful out there. 
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04-10-2010, 11:20 AM
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#3
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Thx Mel, no auto-bets this time...
I had a hard time coming up with anything other than the Morning Line Picks at STGA
(with 26 races to look at)
Maybe a 514 box in the 2nd race early card? (Nw2 life)
Goodknight Camelot 8/1 ...(Chris Long)
Major Jette 2/1 ..........(Jordan Derue)
Twenty Six Sweep 6/1 .....(Dan Cappello)
Chris and Dan are winning a lot of races...
21% wins last 110 drives and 18% wins last 137 drives
Good Luck with your picks today...
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-10-2010, 11:57 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: north wales, pa
Posts: 3,917
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Ray---On my list for Saratoga afternoon card.
R1 8 Miss Blue Girl Go
R4 5 Commando Jane
R5 3 Rose Villa
R6 4 Daylon Memory
R7 3 Dig The Muscles
R9 4 Yankee Rocketeer
R10 7 Maximum Bet
R11 3 Jenny The Jenie
R12 5 Oye Oye
And the R13 "bridgejump special" 4 R Capital Gains.
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04-10-2010, 08:06 PM
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#5
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 11,435
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Qyuestions
Hop Sing is in tonight. Will he wake up ... ever ?
How did Bet the Town fail to qualify for the Sagamore final ...  .
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04-10-2010, 08:30 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 11,435
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ray2000
Yonkers R4..........3 w/2,1 ...Mcraes Mate A-10/1...........Crowd ignored at Freehold paid $18 to win from pp7[/font]
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This guy went from 5/2 to 2/1 (no change) late. How late ? While he was taking the lead on the final turn !!!  .
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04-10-2010, 09:05 PM
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#7
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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I've been watching hockey so didn't see it, but that stinks all the way to Western PA.
And I don't care even if it was the final odds update after the bell, that's too long a delay and very suspicious.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-10-2010, 09:10 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,757
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by toetoe
This guy went from 5/2 to 2/1 (no change) late. How late ? While he was taking the lead on the final turn !!! . |
don't you know that's the simulcast money?
the late simulcast money i mean,
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04-10-2010, 09:48 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 11,435
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by lamboguy
don't you know that's the simulcast money?
the late simulcast money i mean,
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Okay, I believe ya. I guess I just never saw it; not so late as that, anyway.
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04-10-2010, 10:26 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,757
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i know of a crew of guys that sit around a particular race track and wait for 1-9 shots to break in the harness game and fire $20 trifecta's and $200 exacta's, and they are in a simulcast joint. i don't know how its done, but some guys were able to get into mutual pools of thoroughbred races at the top of the stretch. those guys bet the kentucky derby the year MONARCHOS won, they bet $100,000 to win at the top of the stretch and moved the odds down 6 points with the bet. that took place in a dog track in south dakota. so you should be happy the odds didn't go down to even money because that used to happen almost every single race a few years ago.
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04-11-2010, 05:58 AM
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#11
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Results:
perfect night -$100 ....bye bye C-Note
Dover R14...........234 4 off at 9/2
Freehold R2.........516 8 off at 23/1
Fraser R9...........312 9 off at 7/1
Hoosier R10.........324 5 off at 13/1
Hoosier R13.........785 4 off at 5/2 no win bet
Northlands R6.......436 5 off at 5/1
Pocono R11..........591 8 off at 7/1
Woodbine R6.........635 4 off at 14/1
Yonkers R4..........361 3 off at 2/1 no win bet
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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