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04-14-2023, 03:11 PM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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2023 Mohawk Run, Can Post 6 make me $$ ?
Do a little record keeping here on Wagering the 6 Hole at Mohawk
when my Spreadsheet program picks the 6 to Win and Morning Line is greater than 4/1. (No Maidens)
Bets will be 2% of Capital (rounded) starting with a $500 nut, Win bets only.
Slow start tonight because it looks like a chalky parade.
One bet, $10 Win on Meadowbranch Noble Race 5
GOOD LUCK ALL
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 1 5 2 Century Jaguar Ml 9-2
R2 2 5 4 Controlthedistance Ml 5-1
R3 5 6 1 Devils Archf Ml 2-1
R4 3 5 6 Silver Label L Ml 2-1
R5 6 5 3 Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 5-1
R6 4 8 6 Adare Castle Ml 2-1
R7 3 9 2 Myoutsidevoice Ml 5-1
R8 6 3 5 Speaker Of Peace Ml 4-1
R9 6 4 2 Red Coin Ml 7-2
R10 3 6 5 Rosies War Bonds L Ml 7-2
R11 2 6 5 Shes Got It All Ml 3-1
R12 8 6 5 Bad Rossa L Ml 3-1
R13 6 1 7 Stonebridge Drama L Ml 7-2
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-14-2023, 04:32 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,273
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
Do a little record keeping here on Wagering the 6 Hole at Mohawk
when my Spreadsheet program picks the 6 to Win and Morning Line is greater than 4/1. (No Maidens)
Bets will be 2% of Capital (rounded) starting with a $500 nut, Win bets only.
Slow start tonight because it looks like a chalky parade.
One bet, $10 Win on Meadowbranch Noble Race 5
GOOD LUCK ALL
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 1 5 2 Century Jaguar Ml 9-2
R2 2 5 4 Controlthedistance Ml 5-1
R3 5 6 1 Devils Archf Ml 2-1
R4 3 5 6 Silver Label L Ml 2-1
R5 6 5 3 Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 5-1
R6 4 8 6 Adare Castle Ml 2-1
R7 3 9 2 Myoutsidevoice Ml 5-1
R8 6 3 5 Speaker Of Peace Ml 4-1
R9 6 4 2 Red Coin Ml 7-2
R10 3 6 5 Rosies War Bonds L Ml 7-2
R11 2 6 5 Shes Got It All Ml 3-1
R12 8 6 5 Bad Rossa L Ml 3-1
R13 6 1 7 Stonebridge Drama L Ml 7-2
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I do hope this doesn't turn into the proverbial kiss of death.
I like your pick in Race 5 #6 Meadowbranch Noble. Three back he came in 2nd which was fine. Two back he was tearing into the Mohawk track with a 27 sec 1st qtr with a 55.2 half which can kill any trotter with the stoutest of hearts. The question you have to ask yourself is this: Would you still bet this horse if he had post position 3, 4 or a 5 for example. If the answer is yes then with the added bonus of the 6 hole he becomes a best bet situation. Also Auciello is bringing him back with just 4 days rest, which is a good thing as the trainer wants to put one over quickly.
Goodluck Ray.
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04-14-2023, 06:11 PM
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#3
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Best of Luck back to you, SB. Let's hope for acceptable odds, maybe high priced favorite.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-15-2023, 05:16 AM
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#4
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Friday's results
Cash bet $10 in R5 lost, new Cap $490
Code:
Returns on $2
Race Win Place
Race1 ----- -----
Race2 ----- -----
Race3 $3.80 $2.90
Race4 ----- -----
Race5 ----- $3.00
Race6 $5.60 $2.90
Race7 ----- -----
Race8 ----- -----
Race9 ----- -----
Race10 ----- -----
Race11 $15.40 $6.90 ...3/1 Morning Line????
Race12 ----- $4.10
Race13 ----- $4.20
$24.80 $24.00
Saturday Apr 15 Spreadsheet Picks
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 3 6 5 So Much More Ml 6-5
R2 4 3 - Northern Cardinal Ml 6-1
R3 6 2 5 Dreamfair Arnie B L Ml 8-1
R4 4 6 5 Dontpokethedragon L Ml 7-2
R5 6 8 1 Hp Momentum Ml 4-1
R6 6 1 5 Roll With The Flow Ml 3-1
R7 2 6 5 Profundo Ml 6-1
R8 2 6 9 Redwood Hanover Ml 3-1
R9 5 2 1 Nautical Hanover L Ml 3-1
R10 7 5 6 Codename Cigar Box L Ml 3-1
R11 6 4 5 Ms Quick Sand Ml 7-2
R12 6 3 5 Real Willey L Ml 8-1
R13 5 6 9 Jj Tommy L Ml 5-2
$10 system Win bets in Races 3 & 12, Dreamfair Arnie & Real Willey
GOOD LUCK ALL
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-16-2023, 05:45 AM
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#5
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Saturday's results, lotsa winners but not in Race 3 or 12
New Capital $470
Code:
Returns on $2
Race Win Place 2$DD
Race1 $2.50 $2.10 n/a
Race2 ----- ----- -----
Race3 ----- ----- -----
Race4 ----- $4.00 -----
Race5 $9.60 $4.70 -----
Race6 $7.20 $3.60 $44.50
Race7 ----- ----- -----
Race8 $4.40 $2.60 -----
Race9 $5.10 $3.10 $12.70
Race10 $5.40 $3.40 $11.90
Race11 $4.00 $3.30 $12.20
Race12 ----- ----- -----
Race13 ----- ----- -----
$38.20 $26.80 $81.30
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-17-2023, 09:22 AM
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#6
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Monday 4/17 Selections
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1* 6 5 1 Busy Making Moni Ml 5-1
R2 6 7 2 Bettor Notbitter A L Ml 5-2
R3 6 4 5 Franks Angelf Ml 10-1
R4* 6 5 8 Outlaw Aceofspades L Ml 15-1
R5 6 5 10 Hp Royal Theof L Ml 4-1
R6* 6 1 5 Dance Machine Ml 6-1
R7 4 6 7 Shestheluckyone L Ml 5-1
R8 5 4 6 Hervey Hanover L Ml 7-2
R9 4 5 6 Derf Hanoverf L Ml 10-1
R10 5 6 4 Julerica L Ml 9-2
R11* 6 8 2 Heresthatmanagain Ml 10-1
R12* 6 2 9 Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 10-1
$9 Win bets in Races 1,4,6,11 and 12
5 System wagers, They're trying to bust me early this run...
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-18-2023, 07:16 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 7,160
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
Monday 4/17 Selections
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1* 6 5 1 Busy Making Moni Ml 5-1
R2 6 7 2 Bettor Notbitter A L Ml 5-2
R3 6 4 5 Franks Angelf Ml 10-1
R4* 6 5 8 Outlaw Aceofspades L Ml 15-1
R5 6 5 10 Hp Royal Theof L Ml 4-1
R6* 6 1 5 Dance Machine Ml 6-1
R7 4 6 7 Shestheluckyone L Ml 5-1
R8 5 4 6 Hervey Hanover L Ml 7-2
R9 4 5 6 Derf Hanoverf L Ml 10-1
R10 5 6 4 Julerica L Ml 9-2
R11* 6 8 2 Heresthatmanagain Ml 10-1
R12* 6 2 9 Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 10-1
$9 Win bets in Races 1,4,6,11 and 12
5 System wagers, They're trying to bust me early this run...
Good Luck All
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A $2 win/place wager on the for all 12 races would have returned $57.90 on a $48 wager.
Good luck
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04-18-2023, 09:38 AM
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#8
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Yep, Dance Machine almost got there at 15/1 in R6
And as shown below for R7, my program had the 4 inching out the 6...Damn
674 paid nice Ex & Tri
but Horrible start, lost all 5 races
-$45, new cap $425
Code:
Returns on $2
Race Win Place
Race1 ----- -----
Race2 $2.50 $2.20
Race3 ----- -----
Race4 ----- -----
Race5 $5.40 $4.00
Race6 ----- $10.40
Race7 ----- -----
Race8 ----- $3.80
Race9 ----- -----
Race10 ----- -----
Race11 ----- -----
Race12 ----- -----
$7.90 $20.40
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-20-2023, 09:33 AM
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#9
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Selections for Thursday Apr 20
New Cap $425, New Bet Size (round 2%) = $9
Betting L Roy in R2 & R3 on Fox Valley Ontario & MVN
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 9 8 -- Fox Valley Ontario Ml 7-2
R2 6 8 5 Greystone Treasure Ml 6-1
R3 6 5 4 MVN Ml 8-1
R4 1 4 3 Indra Ml 10-1
R5 Skip
R6 2 5 1 Two Across Marion Ml 6-1
R7 2 -- -- Doncorleonef Ml 15-1
R8 6 5 1 Thundering Jim L Ml 3-1
R9 2 6 5 What An Angelf Ml 10-1
R10 4 5 7 Blue Glamber Ml 5-2
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-20-2023, 12:03 PM
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#10
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Just saw my dumb mistake
Race 2 is Greystone Treasure not Fox Valley Ontario
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-21-2023, 06:59 AM
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#11
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Thursday had a NO winners -$18
New cap $407 new bet size $8
Friday's selections, *system betting in R2 & R10
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 4 6 8 Come Roll With Me L Ml 7-2
R2* 6 5 2 Velvet Stinger L Ml 10-1
R3 6 5 8 Brookdale Johnny Ml 5-1
R4 4 5 6 Abruzzo Ml 7-2
R5 6 10 5 Dance With Tabby Ml 3-1
R6 2 8 7 Twin B Archief Ml 5-2
R7 6 5 4 Western Wish L Ml 7-2
R8 6 1 4 Boom Town Boy Ml 4-1
R9 2 6 7 Bad Rossa L Ml 4-1
R10* 6 5 9 Shes Got It All Ml 5-1
R11 7 6 5 Victor Invictus Ml 15-1
R12 6 5 1 Sunday Afternoon L Ml 3-1
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-22-2023, 06:45 AM
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#12
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Again a day with NO winners in my 6 hole system.
New Cap $391, Bet size $8
Code:
Friday's Returns on $2
Race Win Place
Race1 $10.50 $4.50
Race2 ----- -----
Race3 ----- -----
Race4 ----- -----
Race5 ----- -----
Race6 ----- -----
Race7 ----- $3.50
Race8 ----- -----
Race9 $7.60 $3.70
Race10 ----- -----
Race11 ----- -----
Race12 ----- $3.00
$18.10 $14.70
Saturdays Selections
Betting Races 2,4,5 and 12, $8 to win
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 7 1 5 Match Meif You Can Ml 5-1
R2* 6 2 5 Call Me It Ml 8-1
R3 5 8 4 Lady Jess Ml 6-1
R4* 6 5 4 Armor Seelster Ml 15-1
R5* 6 1 5 Jabberwocky Ml 10-1
R6 7 5 1 Crystal Ballerf Ml 10-1
R7 6 5 2 Brue Hanover Ml 7-2
R8 5 3 6 Bar Down Jim Ml 10-1
R9 5 6 3 Points North L Ml 8-1
R10 1 6 9 Hail Christian N Ml 5-1
R11 5 6 3 Hp Momentum Ml 5-2
R12* 6 3 7 Tango Seelster Ml 6-1
R13 5 6 3 Codename Cigar Box L Ml 5-2
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-24-2023, 09:15 AM
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#13
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Saturday lost all 4 system bets -$32,
New Cap $359, New Bet size $7
Monday's Selections
Betting Races 1,3,6 and 10 ($7 Win only)
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1* 6 3 5 Shes Beer Leaguef Ml 8-1
R2 4 5 2 Military Secret L Ml 5-2
R3* 6 1 2 P L Opportunity L Ml 6-1
R4 5 6 1 Rockin N Talkin L Ml 3-1
R5 6 7 2 Flashy Dude L Ml 3-1
R6* 6 5 3 Meadowbranch Noblef Lml 6-1
R7 4 6 8 Final Cheeserecipe L Ml 5-1
R8 6 7 5 Skylar L Ml 4-1
R9 7 6 5 Pikachu Hanover L Ml 8-1
R10* 6 3 5 Legal Bettor Ml 6-1
R11 10 5 6 Control The Power L Ml 5-1
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-25-2023, 05:46 AM
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#14
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Monday Results
Finally a Winner after 19 straight losses...
Still lost $2.10 on the 4 bets
New Cap $356.90, Bet size at $7
Code:
Returns on $2
Race Win Place
Race1 ----- -----
Race2 ----- -----
Race3 ----- $3.10
Race4 ----- $3.30
Race5 $3.80 $3.40
Race6 ----- -----
Race7 ----- -----
Race8 ----- -----
Race9 ----- -----
Race10 $7.40 $4.50
Race11 ----- -----
$11.20 $10.90
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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04-27-2023, 07:55 AM
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#15
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Selections for Thursday Apr 27
System bets, $7 Win in Races 9 and 10 ...Last Page First and Rockinwithcustard
Code:
Race P1 P2 P3 Name Morning Line
R1 skip
R2 5 6 7 Thundering Jim L Ml 5-2
R3 6 3 5 Cleveland Massimof L Ml 7-2
R4 5 - - Lite The Candlesf Ml 5-2
R5 3 6 2 Miss Canada Ml 10-1
R6 7 5 6 No Turning Back L Ml 5-2
R7 6 - - Sayonara Angelf L Ml 10-1
R8 1 6 2 Sweet Detrminationf Ml 3-1
R9 6 7 8 Last Page First Ml 6-1
R10 6 3 5 Rockinwithcustard L Ml 9-2
Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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