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10-16-2019, 01:11 PM
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#5611
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Anyone playing Indy today?
Sorry--no 10th or 11th: both quarter horses
Good Luck,
-NCG
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10-18-2019, 04:34 PM
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#5612
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Meadowlands Race #4
Good Looking horse in the 4th @ Meadowlands today. Ranks high on turf, top trainer, top Platinum Power by daylight, top speed, top early and top late.
No guarantees, but anywhere near that ML-- Peppi's worth a couple ducats. These are the horses you look for in Platinum.
Good Luck,
-NCG
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 10-20-2019 at 04:56 PM.
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10-18-2019, 05:45 PM
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#5613
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Damn, wish I'd seen this earlier. Nailed it Greg, didn't get quite that ML price but not bad, paid $9.40/$4.80/$4.80. Watched replay, Peppi went to the lead early, pulled off and won easy. Nice call 
Last edited by PaceAdvantage; 10-20-2019 at 04:56 PM.
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10-18-2019, 08:01 PM
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#5614
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Yeah Tor....be nice if they all ran like they were "supposed to"
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10-20-2019, 05:48 PM
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#5615
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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This particular Pace-View user is really raking it in--I get email from this gentleman couple times a month. I encourage users to let me know when they win big:
"Keenland--Top E1 E2 horse 4th Race, KITCHI from the Best 5 program, the #10, paid $41."
Although Keenland isn't one of my favorite tracks--I do like the TOP E-1 E-2 play. Even if he folded up shop soon after--he did have the lead for half the race, which bears noting.
-NCG
Last edited by NorCalGreg; 10-20-2019 at 05:55 PM.
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10-23-2019, 09:52 AM
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#5616
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 24
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Back on
Hi all, Back on here after a couple of years hiatus. Thanks to Greg for getting me setup again.
Anyone seeing anything big today?
Any tracks that I should stay away from?
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10-23-2019, 11:02 AM
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#5617
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 24
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Betting races with first time racers
So I am looking at Keeneland today and I see a few races with never before raced horses. Is the consensus to stay away from those races or just eliminate any never before raced horses.
Keeneland Race 4 has 5 of these horses.
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10-23-2019, 03:45 PM
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#5618
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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1st Timers
I don't happen to be one of them--but there are some guys that do well ONLY playing first-time starters using pedigree stats, connections, surface, etc.
Oh well...to each his own...I have no interest in Pedigree at all.
I'm mainly interested in cheap claimers--by the time they get to that level, pedigree is of no importance.
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10-23-2019, 07:56 PM
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#5619
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 24
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Claimers
Greg do you penalize a horse who is good on the platinum program but is stepping up in class
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10-23-2019, 11:36 PM
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#5620
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 31
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top e1, e2 play
greg: if a horse is top e1, e2 is there a needed point differential to the next horse or is just 1 point difference for both tops e1, and e2 enough? thanks.
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10-24-2019, 04:17 AM
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#5621
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spinner
Greg do you penalize a horse who is good on the platinum program but is stepping up in class
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Not at all...if the price is right--and the horse appears to have a shot. Sometimes I get downright giddy when a horse is just being ignored for that reason.
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10-24-2019, 04:48 AM
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#5622
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jim michalak
greg: if a horse is top e1, e2 is there a needed point differential to the next horse or is just 1 point difference for both tops e1, and e2 enough? thanks.
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Naw..it's gotta be more than that, Jim. That whole idea of a "pace-point" differential is flawed. Better to look for a big gap in Power Numbers, or a class gap.
I use today's purse to rate class...instead of conditions, etc.
Remember, most of the entries today didn't race each other last time, the pace scenario was probably completely different. It may be favorable today, may be worse. You'll see a lot of speedballs run an E-1 over 100 and finish last. Once in a while, that speed will hold up depending on who else is in the race....in which case just about every bettor will notice and hammer that horse.
***Penn isn't my favorite track--but there are decent horses with good ratings and morning lines, going today. Exactas, Trifectas, or maybe a decent Pick-3 would make my day 
Good Luck,
-NCG
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10-24-2019, 10:06 AM
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#5623
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 24
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Speaking of tracks
What are your thoughts on these tracks for your handicapping system.
Belmont
Dayton
Hoosier
Yonkers
Remington
Good, OK or stay away from?
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10-24-2019, 06:41 PM
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#5624
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 24
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Jut hit the Exactor in 2nd race at Penn with 1 Plains Warrior (top pick on Paceview) and # 3 Bluegrass Posse ( also a top pick on my Paceview)
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10-25-2019, 01:51 AM
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#5625
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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EXOTIC TIP SHEET
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spinner
Jut hit the Exactor in 2nd race at Penn with 1 Plains Warrior (top pick on Paceview) and # 3 Bluegrass Posse ( also a top pick on my Paceview)
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Nice!
Once again Mahoning is back...let's make some money this meet.
No big prices on the Hot List, but there's potential. When you see a horse tops on Power Number & Prime Power--don't get your hopes up too high, but if he goes off at 3-1 or better, jump on him.
JOIN THE PARTY 3-1
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE (think I saw that movie) @ 4-1
Even the 12-1 shot TROPICAL CYCLONE on the comp report shows decent numbers.
Good Luck
-NCG
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