*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[green80]

no big ability winners thru the 4th at RPX, but a couple of nice ones for the exotics players

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by jim michalak

top ability # had 3 chalky winners ranging from $3.50-$3.80 and also had winners in race #4 lubash at $14.40 and race #10 dot matrix at $9.00 at belmont today.

Jimmmmmmmm! Welcome--glad you could join us. Thanks for that Belmont heads up---if you happen to notice anything---for example Top Ability w/ Top Bris Speed seems to win often--let us know...we can all make some money

In case anyone wasn't aware--TOP POWER + TOP ABILITY is what you get with that button on the bottom. The qualifier has to top both categories.

Yes...in the same race

The button labeled "Ability Power". Didn't take long to think that name up.

[NorCalGreg]

Something I was testing out today--results are good so far:

Click the #1 POWER....then sort those. Take the top half--If the card has 10 races, your top 5 are plays. If 9 races--then play the top-4....and so on.

Just a different way to get Best Bets. I would kick out any under 2-1, but don't add in the next in line to take the tossed horse's place.

I have RPX here---I didn't know Moon Hopper had won--the race went off while I was typing.

That one and HE KNOWS BETTER in the 9th race--would be your picks. The other 2 get tossed due to low ML.

Try this out and let me know if your results are as good as what I got today
-NCG

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[green80]

I think you mean the 4th and 6 race horses are your bets. Your 9th race horse is <2/1

[jim michalak]

the $78.00+ winner of that race with the 2k tri, cats landing also had the 2nd highest ability power only 2 points off the #1 ability power

[green80]

It's a movement, we need a new tab, 1st and 2nd ability over 6/1

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

It's a movement, we need a new tab, 1st and 2nd ability over 6/1

Was just talking about that very thing with Steve....getting rid of underperforming spot plays--and adding ability power #1 #2 just as POWER is now.

[green80]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Was just talking about that very thing with Steve....getting rid of underperforming spot plays--and adding ability power #1 #2 just as POWER is now.

When the top ability horse is also the top power, the results are mostly chalk. I looked at a string of top power/ top ability winners and I think the highest payoff I had was around a 6.00 horse. When top ability is not the top power is where these big payoffs are coming in. I have just been betting the top ability when it is over a certain odds level, say 6/1. I usually get 3 or 4 plays per track/day and a nice on comes in every day or two.

[NorCalGreg]

that will have to wait for an upgrade (free)...I also need to know anything else we need "fixed' on PLATINUM.

One user wondered why BL (beaten lengths) is listed in the spot play reports---that'll be fixed. Another wants T/J% split up like it used to be. If anyone else wants to see that--we can do that.

Let me know, please...I'm not talking right now---sometime later on.

-NCG

[green80]

while we are on the ability rating topic,

Today I picked 2 tracks, CD and BEL and bet the top ability horse in every race ,without any filters, the results are as follows:



Churchill

1st Wilbo 3.40

5th Neak up on ya 16.80

8th wild shot 7.40

9th Rivers run deep 5.20 --- Bet 20.00 Return 32.80

at Belmont

2nd princessof thieves 11.20

3rd Pawleys express 3.80

5th Electrified 4.60 ---- Bet 18.00 Return 19.60

[formula_2002]

mnr race 7 , I might have a play here. what does PV have to say about this race?

[green80]

Originally Posted by formula_2002

mnr race 7 , I might have a play here. what does PV have to say about this race?

#3 Plumbago is top power & top ability

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

#3 Plumbago is top power & top ability

FTS...trainer shows 1 entered in two years. He showed some good works--that might explain why the winner wasn't 20-1.

I'll go with the longshot BOODOCK BIZ in this 8th race. I realize it's a short sprint--but this race is way top-heavy early.

At least I'll get my money's worth--he's 30-1 right now.

[NorCalGreg]

Well there went my one bet of the day---top-heavy early--and the 7/5 E-7 takes it.... dropping off a win.

I'll call it a night--later

-NCG

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by green80

#3 Plumbago is top power & top ability

it came up with a factor of corrected to 97. needs to be >=200 for a play.