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Originally Posted by green80
You should have had Mosta Flyin $47.60 in the 6th at RPX playing ability figs.
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Thanks guys....can you give PV users a little more info, greenie? What's the best use for the number...optimal point gaps...anything to pare down the wagers and target the winners? You've become the ABILITY expert, so by default this falls on your shoulders--PV NATION desperately needs this info!!
...or whenever you get around to it
About the EXOTIC program...me personally I go two-deep on my doubles, triples, p-4's...GENERALLY. I've heard from several users---JoeK comes to mind, plus Bernie and others--that use a 3rd and 4th choice regularly in verticals.
There is always an "extra" horse in every exotic---for this reason. A trifecta will have 4 horses listed---that is too many to flat out box, it's a waste of money. The trick is to eliminate one if you can.
Always keep the highest price--and toss one of the others--you're playing exotics to possibly crush that mofo--if you can, so leave the longshot in there. If there isn't one--why play it? Same with horizontals.
Had some interesting data come back from the "data central" LOL. A gentleman I call "G-man" did a study of all races this year-- at GPX of all places--like the worst track for PV.
EVERYTHING WAS A LOSER.............except POWER. Stand-alone TOP POWER was right around .99 ROI. All the testing...it lost a flat-bet $8 total. He didn't include maidens or 2yo.
#2 POWER was actually a winner...without checking, I think in his relatively
small sample showed a $1.30 ROI.
Remember too--this is Gulfstream. I already knew everything was a loser---we're talking spot plays, also EARLY POWER/LATE POWER etc, as stand-
alone.
He also checked #3 POWER...not good. The Power number was designed to pick winners only--so that isn't surprising. They (power-3) finish ITM far more often than win.
Another data guy confirms Power 1 ---and Power 2, when used in certain ways--are profitable. But you can say the same thing for PRIME POWER.
When the two conflict---go with POWER NUMBER. Too many bettors have PRIME.
One other thing...I think a "SINGLES" button would be good for the Exotic program--as well as a "SHOW" button--for show parlays, maybe.
We already have the "singles" methods---we need to come up with a good programmable show method.
We aren't trying to revolutionize wagering--just make a fun, usable, and profitable program.
I'm thinking of a "BIAS DETECTOR" button. Anytime the EARLY POWER wins--it will flash "POS SPEED BIAS DETECTED". Just the opposite for LATE.
I'm kidding, of course.
-NCG
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