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Old 11-21-2021, 01:05 PM   #1
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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WHAT AN EASY GAME

WHAT AN EASY GAME- PROVINDING YOU CAN BEAT THE TAKE-OUT

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Old 11-21-2021, 02:26 PM   #2
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Old 11-21-2021, 02:32 PM   #3
formula_2002
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ok
It's what I do
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Old 11-21-2021, 04:06 PM   #4
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"WHAT AN EASY GAME".A dear friend and neighbor gave that phrase to me. He was.a significant member and editor of the New York Times and an associate of Steve Crist. Another dear friend was also a New York Times editor. He went on to be the editor for Steve Crist's Racing Times. One of my horse racing highlights was to have lunch with three at Belmont park many years ago.
I may have mentioned to Crist about one item I read in his many writings for the Times. "1/(odds+1)". It changed my perception of the GAME. I hope it helps yours.
.
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Old 11-22-2021, 08:58 AM   #5
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............



It’s such an easy game but IIRC you posted that you don’t bet

.....hunh............????


.
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Old 11-22-2021, 09:17 AM   #6
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"Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach. And those who can't teach, teach gym." ~ Woody Allen
I would add "...or post statistics."
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Old 11-22-2021, 09:28 AM   #7
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Dr. Anthonyís Smart-Bet Professional Formula!

Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthonyís Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......
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Old 11-22-2021, 11:34 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
............



It’s such an easy game but IIRC you posted that you don’t bet

.....hunh............????


.
Leonard would explain it to Sheldon as "sarcasm "
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Last edited by formula_2002; 11-22-2021 at 11:36 AM.
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Old 11-22-2021, 11:46 AM   #9
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Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthonyís Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......
Paceadvantage offers any one a wonderful platform to demonstrate there systems by posting 500 bets and recapping results with incremental odds and charts.
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Old 11-22-2021, 12:00 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by soflant View Post
Has anyone heard of Dr. Anthonyís Smart-Bet Professional Formula! If so, is it worth getting? It is advertised through rpmhandicappinggiant.com (Dave Powers)1) Provides the player with simple, no nonsense WIN strategy that will guarantee a BUILT-IN FIXED PROFIT. Can be used at the track, the satellite or betting from home.
2) Will show you HOW BETTING ON ONLY FAVORITES AT 9-TO-5 OR HIGHER WILL RESULT IN A SURE-FIRE POSITIVE RETURN ON YOUR INVESTMENT.
Any and all help is appreciated. Thanks.......
With all respect, sir, given the prevalence of seismic shifts in odds even while the race is underway, how could you possibly identify favorites destined to offer 9/5 or higher??
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Old 11-22-2021, 12:02 PM   #11
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I may have mentioned to Crist about one item I read in his many writings for the Times. "1/(odds+1)". It changed my perception of the GAME. I hope it helps yours.
.

Hey Formula.....

Explain to me/us why this changed your perspective....


I know its suppose to be better than ROI.....

But ROI is exactly what your getting that "1/(odds+1)" is just a theory

EX:

Say you have a factor that give you a 1.06 ROI but "1/(odds+1)" give you a .90....Do you abandum that because its destined to fail in theory?

And on the other hand...

Say you have a .89 factor but "1/(odds+1)" gives you a +1.03...
So you continue to hang in till it assumes its positive probable outcome???

thxs

Mike
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Old 11-22-2021, 12:26 PM   #12
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Originally Posted by headhawg View Post
"Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach. And those who can't teach, teach gym." ~ Woody Allen
I would add "...or post statistics."
"And they are the bravest of them all" - Formula_2002
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Old 11-22-2021, 02:08 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99 View Post
Hey Formula.....

Explain to me/us why this changed your perspective....


I know its suppose to be better than ROI.....

But ROI is exactly what your getting that "1/(odds+1)" is just a theory

EX:

Say you have a factor that give you a 1.06 ROI but "1/(odds+1)" give you a .90....Do you abandum that because its destined to fail in theory?

And on the other hand...

Say you have a .89 factor but "1/(odds+1)" gives you a +1.03...
So you continue to hang in till it assumes its positive probable outcome???

thxs

Mike
1/(odds+1) is used to determine the booking percentage of any race or any other odds list.
Look at any results chart listing the all-track odds , sum 1/(odds+1). At a 15% takeout track the sum could be 1.176 or greater.
As shown in the table I posted in the 1st note. It helps me understand what is needed to at least break even.
Say your $1 return on a 2-1 shot at a 15% take-out track was 1.06
Based on my posted table to break even you need to be 117% better than the public.
1.06 x 117.65%= 125%.. that’s how much better you are than the public.
Not a small task. Way beyond my pay grade.


suggested reading: "Horse Sence" By Button Fabrican phd. while we never lunched together we did correspond (back in day via snail mail)
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Last edited by formula_2002; 11-22-2021 at 02:14 PM.
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Old 11-22-2021, 06:08 PM   #14
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.............

Formula..............


You first logged on here with your data crunches in August of 2011

Thatís more than 10 years ago

Whatís your ETA.........would you say?

Maybe another 10 years of crunching data and youíll be ready to make a bet.....?????

(-:/


.
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Old 11-22-2021, 07:02 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
.............

Formula..............


You first logged on here with your data crunches in August of 2011

Thatís more than 10 years ago

Whatís your ETA.........would you say?

Maybe another 10 years of crunching data and youíll be ready to make a bet.....?????

(-:/


.
I started crunching data in 2002.
I think very soon thereafter, I stopped betting.
many many $ down loading results and ALWAYS data from bris.
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