Saturday Long Shots

[Aner]

Picks for 7/4/15

Bel 3-----#1 InSpeight Ofitall
Bel 5-----#4 Thomas Hill
Bel 7-----#7 Smart Transition
Bel 10----#1 Pine Needles
Bel 11----#8 Moonlight Song-------------------scratched

WO 3------#10 Golden Blue Echo
WO 4------#7 Vinolicious
WO 5------#9 Amria's Pride-------------------scratched
WO 8------#3 Bear No Joke
WO 10-----#12 Silent Auction

GP 1------#1 New York Jackie-----------------43.60, 15.80
GP 5------#6 Emerald Citadelle---------------XXXX, 11.20
GP 6------#8 My High Roller
GP 7------#7 Rocket Boulevard
GP 8------#3 Princess Fiona
GP 9------#3 Jill's Reflection
GP 10-----#10 Expected Meeting------------XXXX, 8.20

Lrl 1------#3 Colton's Honor
Lrl 2------#2 Proper Heiress-------------------scratched
Lrl 3------#2 Behind the Times
Lrl 4------#4 Onthewhistle
Lrl 7------#1 Scrapple--------------------------scratched
Lrl 8------#11 I. E. Flash-----------------------scratched
Lrl 8------#13 Cap'n Raymond-----------------scratched

Mth 2------#1 Powered by the Sun
Mth 7------#2 S. S. Minnow-------------------scratched
Mth 8------#3 Mid Ocean
Mth 10-----#6 Precious Mem

AP 1------#1 Half Foxy
AP 8------#7 Hashtag Giddy Up----------------scratched

LRC 4-----#6 Warrior Thatcher

OTP 5-----#6 Bodrum
OTP 6-----#2 Handful of Pearls
OTP 8-----#8 Fantastic Atticus
OTP 10----#9 Wild At Best--------------------XXXX, 13.20

For the day:

win = 1/27
bet = $54
back= $43.60
loss= $10.40--------for the year =($105.50 gain)

place = 4/27
bet = $54
back = $48.40
loss = $5.60----------for the year =($109.60 loss)

[Aner]

Picks for 7/18/15

GP 1------#11 Picketts Corner
GP 3------#11 Sweet Paola
GP 5------#7 This is She
GP 6------#1 Sweet Khaleesi
GP 7------#2 Readytodothis
GP 10-----#6 Singanothersong

Del 1------#2 Noble Abode
Del 3------#5 Pick the Double
Del 4------#10 Gotta Redhot Shot
Del 5------#10 Score Cat
Del 7------#7 Weekend Express
Del 9------#13 Balino
Del 11-----#7 Souper Lucky

Bel 4------#10 John Silver
Bel 5------#4 Britannia's Meat
Bel 7------#3 Dendrite
Bel 8------#5 Round
Bel 9------#6 Champagne Ruby
Bel 10-----#12 Super City

ELP 4-----#8 Miss Deweese Inlet
ELP 7-----#1 Starship Zeus
ELP 9-----#7 Wake Up and Go

Dmr 5-----#3 Yodachrome
Dmr 8-----#4 Theatre Star
Dmr 9-----#2 Discatsonthesquare
Dmr 10----#8 Cardiac

EVD 1------#1 Bayouland Kelly
EVD 5------#4 Catwalk Commando

[ultracapper]

What I find interesting is the disparity between win and place payoffs in the 11-1 to 19-1 range. It's such a huge difference that the math is telling me in that range you would need a place hit rate 3 times the win hit rate to keep up. I would look at this and probably kill the place bets on anything below 20-1. There are enough big place payoffs in the 20-1 and higher range to make it worth the gambler's while, but the place payoffs on the 19-1 and shorter are too paltry to keep pace. The player is getting killed on that bet.

This is great fun to watch.

[Tor Ekman]

Gulfstream Park race 11 - Dark and Dusty w/p

[Aner]

Picks for 7/18/15

GP 1------#11 Picketts Corner
GP 3------#11 Sweet Paola
GP 5------#7 This is She
GP 6------#1 Sweet Khaleesi---------------XXXX, 13.80
GP 7------#2 Readytodothis
GP 10-----#6 Singanothersong

Del 1------#2 Noble Abode------------------scratched
Del 3------#5 Pick the Double--------------18.00, 9.00
Del 4------#10 Gotta Redhot Shot
Del 5------#10 Score Cat
Del 7------#7 Weekend Express------------scratched
Del 9------#13 Balino-----------------------scratched
Del 11-----#7 Souper Lucky----------------scratched

Bel 4------#10 John Silver
Bel 5------#4 Britannia's Meat
Bel 7------#3 Dendrite
Bel 8------#5 Round
Bel 9------#6 Champagne Ruby
Bel 10-----#12 Super City

ELP 4-----#8 Miss Deweese Inlet
ELP 7-----#1 Starship Zeus----------------XXXX, 8.00
ELP 9-----#7 Wake Up and Go--------------scratched

Dmr 5-----#3 Yodachrome
Dmr 8-----#4 Theatre Star
Dmr 9-----#2 Discatsonthesquare--------XXXX, 6.40
Dmr 10----#8 Cardiac

EVD 1------#1 Bayouland Kelly
EVD 5------#4 Catwalk Commando

For the day:

win = 1/23
bet = $46
back= $18
loss= $28--------for the year =($77.50 gain)

place = 4/23
bet = $46
back = $37.20
loss = $8.80----------for the year =($118.40 loss)

[Aner]

Picks for 7/25/15

WO 1------#4 Bear's Romeo
WO 3------#10 Willow Bob
WO 4------#3 A Masculine Child
WO 5------#7 Summer Ovation
WO 6------#11 Dulce Majestica
WO 7------#2 Athenian Guard
WO 9------#5 Best Bard
WO 10-----#8 March to My Tune

GP 1------#2 Moonlite Matinee
GP 3------#9 Magic Jackson
GP 4------#4 D N A Approved
GP 5------#4 Purincat
GP 6------#1 Nun Tonight
GP 10-----#7 Jill's Reflection

Sar 2-----#9 Big Island Boy
Sar 5-----#8 Silvertown
Sar 7-----#4 Midnight Dream
Sar 8-----#11 Barrel of Love
Sar 9-----#2 Save the Drama
Sar 11----#2 Sailmate

Elp 4------#6 So Many Dreams
Elp 5------#8 Go Duke Go
Elp 6------#7 Afleet Jay
Elp 8------#9 Spring Again

Dmr 4-----#2 Curly Road
Dmr 7-----#12 Margot Machance
Dmr 10----#8 Sweeter Thancandy

[Aner]

Picks for 7/25/15

WO 1------#4 Bear's Romeo--------------------------24.00, 10.20
WO 3------#10 Willow Bob
WO 4------#3 A Masculine Child
WO 5------#7 Summer Ovation
WO 6------#11 Dulce Majestica
WO 7------#2 Athenian Guard
WO 9------#5 Best Bard
WO 10-----#8 March to My Tune

GP 1------#2 Moonlite Matinee-----------------------8.20, 4.60
GP 3------#9 Magic Jackson
GP 4------#4 D N A Approved
GP 5------#4 Purincat
GP 6------#1 Nun Tonight
GP 10-----#7 Jill's Reflection

Sar 2-----#9 Big Island Boy
Sar 5-----#8 Silvertown
Sar 7-----#4 Midnight Dream
Sar 8-----#11 Barrel of Love
Sar 9-----#2 Save the Drama
Sar 11----#2 Sailmate

Elp 4------#6 So Many Dreams-------------------------25.20, 12.20
Elp 5------#8 Go Duke Go-------------------------------scratched
Elp 6------#7 Afleet Jay
Elp 8------#9 Spring Again------------------------------scratched

Dmr 4-----#2 Curly Road
Dmr 7-----#12 Margot Machance
Dmr 10----#8 Sweeter Thancandy

For the day:

win = 3/25
bet = $50
back= $57.40
gain= $7.40-------for the year =($84.90 gain)

place = 3/25
bet = $50
back = $27
loss = $23----------for the year =($141.40 loss)

[Aner]

Picks for 8/1/15

GP 2------#4 Lil Miss Smarty K
GP 3------#4 Sora
GP 6------#4 Love Like Mine
GP 9------#5 Dawn Patrol
GP 10-----#2 Take Time to Pray

Sar 2------#6 Conquest Nitro
Sar 3------#1 Waco
Sar 4------#9 Trensita
Sar 5------#2 Bluegrass Singer
Sar 6------#5 Rock Eagle
Sar 7------#12 Macagone
Sar 9------#5 Morning Calm

Elp 1------#7 Oxnard
Elp 3------#10 Gill's Terrace
Elp 7------#11 Beyond the Storm

Mnr 2------#2 Choctaw Chuck
Mnr 4------#12 Polly Freeze
Mnr 5------#2 Jester and Me
Mnr 6------#5 Night Maneuver
Mnr 7------#3 East Hall

Dmr 3------#5 Rockin Robin
Dmr 4------#4 Sweet Silver
Dmr 6------#3 Sweet Profit
Dmr 7------#7 Marian Katherine
Dmr 8------#7 Yahilwa
Dmr 9------#9 Saint Dermot
Dmr 10-----#6 Professor Berns

[Aner]

Picks for 8/1/15

GP 2------#4 Lil Miss Smarty K
GP 3------#4 Sora
GP 6------#4 Love Like Mine
GP 9------#5 Dawn Patrol
GP 10-----#2 Take Time to Pray-------------------XXXX, 5.60

Sar 2------#6 Conquest Nitro
Sar 3------#1 Waco---------------------------------26.40, 11.40
Sar 4------#9 Trensita
Sar 5------#2 Bluegrass Singer
Sar 6------#5 Rock Eagle--------------------------scratched
Sar 7------#12 Macagone
Sar 9------#5 Morning Calm

Elp 1------#7 Oxnard
Elp 3------#10 Gill's Terrace------------------------35.40, 10.60
Elp 7------#11 Beyond the Storm

Mnr 2------#2 Choctaw Chuck---------------------scratched
Mnr 4------#12 Polly Freeze
Mnr 5------#2 Jester and Me
Mnr 6------#5 Night Maneuver
Mnr 7------#3 East Hall

Dmr 3------#5 Rockin Robin
Dmr 4------#4 Sweet Silver
Dmr 6------#3 Sweet Profit
Dmr 7------#7 Marian Katherine
Dmr 8------#7 Yahilwa-------------------------------XXXX, 7.00
Dmr 9------#9 Saint Dermot
Dmr 10-----#6 Professor Berns

For the day:

win = 2/25
bet = $50
back= $61.80
gain= $11.80-------for the year =($96.70 gain)

place = 4/25
bet = $50
back = $34.60
loss = $15.40----------for the year =($156.80 loss)

[Aner]

Picks for 8/8/15

GP 2------#4 J C Universal
GP 3------#1 Colormepompom
GP 6------#8 Penitant Prayers
GP 9------#9 Focus On Me
GP 10-----#10 Will to Shine

Mth 2-----#9 Laura Lucy
Mth 4-----#1 Shesapridefulone
Mth 6-----#2 Wally Did It
Mth 7-----#8 Pac Yer Tack
Mth 12----#10 Rocket Dee

WO 4------#8 Sweet Super Six
WO 5------#2 Creeping Barrage
WO 6------#7 Undercover Cat
WO 7------#16 Garafraxa
WO 11-----#1 Erie Breeze

Sar 1------#7 Looking Cool
Sar 5------#10 Bubba's d'Oro
Sar 6------#6 Crafty Dreamer
Sar 7------#4 A Little Bit Sassy
Sar 9------#5 Moreno
Sar 10-----#8 White Rose
Sar 11-----#12 Barrier to Entry

Lrl 2------#2 Lagi Lagi
Lrl 3------#1 Clowns to the Left
Lrl 4------#4 My Vet's a Genius
Lrl 5------#5 Sweet Soliloquy
Lrl 6------#5 Cue
Lrl 7------#4 It's Saturday Nite

Dmr 2-----#5 I'll Tell You What
Dmr 6-----#6 Reflected Star
Dmr 8-----#5 Personal Diary
Dmr 10----#3 My Moment Too

[Aner]

Picks for 8/8/15

GP 2------#4 J C Universal
GP 3------#1 Colormepompom
GP 6------#8 Penitant Prayers
GP 9------#9 Focus On Me
GP 10-----#10 Will to Shine

Mth 2-----#9 Laura Lucy
Mth 4-----#1 Shesapridefulone------------------XXXX, 22.00
Mth 6-----#2 Wally Did It
Mth 7-----#8 Pac Yer Tack
Mth 12----#10 Rocket Dee

WO 4------#8 Sweet Super Six------------------XXXX, 16.10
WO 5------#2 Creeping Barrage
WO 6------#7 Undercover Cat-------------------XXXX, 5.90
WO 7------#16 Garafraxa------------------------scratched
WO 11-----#1 Erie Breeze-----------------------scratched

Sar 1------#7 Looking Cool----------------------14.20, 6.50
Sar 5------#10 Bubba's d'Oro
Sar 6------#6 Crafty Dreamer
Sar 7------#4 A Little Bit Sassy
Sar 9------#5 Moreno
Sar 10-----#8 White Rose
Sar 11-----#12 Barrier to Entry-----------------scratched

Lrl 2------#2 Lagi Lagi
Lrl 3------#1 Clowns to the Left-----------------14.80, 7.80
Lrl 4------#4 My Vet's a Genius
Lrl 5------#5 Sweet Soliloquy
Lrl 6------#5 Cue---------------------------------scratched
Lrl 7------#4 It's Saturday Nite

Dmr 2-----#5 I'll Tell You What
Dmr 6-----#6 Reflected Star
Dmr 8-----#5 Personal Diary
Dmr 10----#3 My Moment Too


For the day:

win = 2/28
bet = $56
back= $29
loss= $27.00------for the year =($69.70 gain)

place = 5/28
bet = $56
back = $58.30
gain = $2.30------for the year =($154.50 loss)

[Aner]

Picks for 8/15/15

Sar 1------#4 Tom's Ready
Sar 2------#6 Where's Danny
Sar 3------#4 Gracious Plenty
Sar 5------#5 Xaverian
Sar 8------#9 Helm
Sar 9------#6 Titanium
Sar 11-----#4 Indiana Stones

GP 3-------#7 She'z So Groovy
GP 4-------#3 Cyber Josh
GP 5-------#7 El Botas
GP 6-------#5 Can't Stop the Kid
GP 8-------#12 V.I. Activist
GP 9-------#5 Global Glow
GP 10------#4 Mitos Y Leyendas

Mth 8------#2 Battle Tested
Mth 11-----#1 Kids Tuition
Mth 12-----#3 Brooklyn Road

Lrl 3-------#3 Everything Magic
Lrl 4-------#1 Jo Way Java
Lrl 5-------#6 Tiz Majesty
Lrl 6-------#4 Itsallaboutthebens

AP 1-------#3 Legend Forever
AP 5-------#4 Edeline
AP 9-------#2 Watsdachances
AP 10------#5 Wake Forest

Dmr 1------#2 Saxon Lord
Dmr 3------#5 Street Rules
Dmr 4------#5 The Mad Hungarian
Dmr 5------#6 Inspired Wisdom
Dmr 6------#4 Baccelo
Dmr 7------#7 Song for Jade
Dmr 10-----#3 Girl Downstairs

[Aner]

Picks for 8/15/15

Sar 1------#4 Tom's Ready
Sar 2------#6 Where's Danny
Sar 3------#4 Gracious Plenty
Sar 5------#5 Xaverian
Sar 8------#9 Helm
Sar 9------#6 Titanium
Sar 11-----#4 Indiana Stones------------------XXXX, 11.80

GP 3-------#7 She'z So Groovy
GP 4-------#3 Cyber Josh
GP 5-------#7 El Botas
GP 6-------#5 Can't Stop the Kid
GP 8-------#12 V.I. Activist
GP 9-------#5 Global Glow
GP 10------#4 Mitos Y Leyendas--------------5.80, 4.20

Mth 8------#2 Battle Tested
Mth 11-----#1 Kids Tuition
Mth 12-----#3 Brooklyn Road

Lrl 3-------#3 Everything Magic
Lrl 4-------#1 Jo Way Java-------------------XXXX, 13.60
0Lrl 5-------#6 Tiz Majesty
Lrl 6-------#4 Itsallaboutthebens

AP 1-------#3 Legend Forever--------------XXXX, 10.40
AP 5-------#4 Edeline
AP 9-------#2 Watsdachances---------------19.80, 7.20
AP 10------#5 Wake Forest

Dmr 1------#2 Saxon Lord
Dmr 3------#5 Street Rules
Dmr 4------#5 The Mad Hungarian
Dmr 5------#6 Inspired Wisdom--------------XXXX, 11.60
Dmr 6------#4 Baccelo------------------------XXXX, 9.40
Dmr 7------#7 Song for Jade
Dmr 10-----#3 Girl Downstairs

For the day:

win = 2/32
bet = $64
back= $25.60
loss= $38.40------for the year =($31.30 gain)

[Aner]

Picks for 8/22/15

Mth 2------#3 Truly a Champ
Mth 3------#7 Play It Again
Mth 5------#7 Foileenjm
Mth 6------#8 Crafty Time
Mth 9------#1 Purple Egg
Mth 12-----#6 Campion Lane

Sar 4------#2 Neilinger
Sar 5------#2 Instructor Kunu
Sar 6------#3 Conscious Decision
Sar 7------#7 Summer Breezing
Sar 8------#12 Wild Man
Sar 9------#6 Tattenham
Sar 10-----#1 Danette

GP 2-------#4 Nantucketeer
GP 3-------#6 Addar
GP 8-------#5 Yes Mz Olga
GP 9-------#3 Unsaintly
GP 10------#1 Be a Bull

Lrl 1-------#3 Added Spice
Lrl 2-------#6 Daily News
Lrl 4-------#13 Directory
Lrl 6-------#3 Cheasapeake Spring
Lrl 7-------#8 Cruise More
Lrl 8-------#8 Pagan Priestess
Lrl 9-------#13 D K's Brigantia
Lrl 10------#8 Willy d'Rocket
Lrl 11------#8 Irina Baranova

Elp 1-------#2 Profitress
Elp 4-------#1A Bardad Bernie
Elp 7-------#9 Shamrock Road
Elp 9-------#6 Now Now

Dmr 2-----#6 Life Is a Joy
Dmr 3-----#8 Paythebank
Dmr 6-----#1 Maltes
Dmr 10----#1 Louden's Gray
Dmr 11----#5 Mike's Man's Gold

[Aner]

Picks for 8/22/15

Mth 2------#3 Truly a Champ--------------------XXXX, 27.40
Mth 3------#7 Play It Again
Mth 5------#7 Foileenjm
Mth 6------#8 Crafty Time
Mth 9------#1 Purple Egg
Mth 12-----#6 Campion Lane--------------------scratched

Sar 4------#2 Neilinger
Sar 5------#2 Instructor Kunu
Sar 6------#3 Conscious Decision
Sar 7------#7 Summer Breezing
Sar 8------#12 Wild Man--------------------------scratched
Sar 9------#6 Tattenham
Sar 10-----#1 Danette

GP 2-------#4 Nantucketeer
GP 3-------#6 Addar
GP 8-------#5 Yes Mz Olga
GP 9-------#3 Unsaintly---------------------------44.40, 16.00
GP 10------#1 Be a Bull

Lrl 1-------#3 Added Spice
Lrl 2-------#6 Daily News
Lrl 4-------#13 Directory
Lrl 6-------#3 Cheasapeake Spring
Lrl 7-------#8 Cruise More-----------------------XXXX, 11.80
Lrl 8-------#8 Pagan Priestess
Lrl 9-------#13 D K's Brigantia
Lrl 10------#8 Willy d'Rocket---------------------scratched
Lrl 11------#8 Irina Baranova

Elp 1-------#2 Profitress
Elp 4-------#1A Bardad Bernie
Elp 7-------#9 Shamrock Road------------------28.20, 7.60
Elp 9-------#6 Now Now

Dmr 2-----#6 Life Is a Joy
Dmr 3-----#8 Paythebank
Dmr 6-----#1 Maltes
Dmr 10----#1 Louden's Gray
Dmr 11----#5 Mike's Man's Gold


For the day:

win = 2/33
bet = $66
back= $72.60
gain= $6.60------for the year =($37.90 gain)

place = 4/33
bet = $66
back = $62.80
loss = $3.20------for the year =($153.10 loss)