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11-06-2019, 11:47 AM
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#256
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
R#1- 1200M C4 (6F)T
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4-1-11 W/ 2-5-8
....6:45 AM
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11-9-10-7 Dutch Win 51% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#2- 1650M C5 (8.25F)T
..6-12-1 W/ 7-5-3
..
.7:15 AM
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11-10-3-1 Dutch Loss 84% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#3- 1200M C4 (6F)T
.1-9-11 W/ 4-6-12
....7:45 AM
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1-11-9-8 Dutch Win 29% Profit Margin - Passed / $17.40 Quinella & $97.00 Triple
Quote:
R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T
...1-3-5 W/ 8-7-4
.......8:15 AM
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5-4-7-9 Dutch Win 85% Profit Margin / $34.00 Quinella & $354.20 Triple
Quote:
R#5- 1800M C4 (8F)T
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.10-1-11 W/ 3-4-6
...8:45 AM
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10-12-9-6 Dutch Win 79% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T
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.1-11-3 W/ 4-8-9
..9:15 AM
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12-1-6-11 Dutch Loss 67% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#7 1650M C3 (8.25F)T
...3-6-10 W/ 7-5-2
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9:45 AM
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3-4-10-2 Dutch Win 32% Profit Margin - Passed /
Quote:
R#8- 1000M C3 (5F)T
.2-8-3 W/ 6-7-12
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10:15 AM
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8-10-9-11 Dutch Win 51% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)T
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..1-11-5 W/ 8-2-3
.10:50 AM
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11-1-4-3 Dutch Win 94% Profit Margin / $40.40 Quinella /
It was another fun and profitable card. My Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Profit margin of 53% and was hit from winning 5 of 7 playable races. Also hit were a few Quinellas and (2) Triples. Due to the heavy betting action there were also 2 substitutions into the top 3 picks.
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11-08-2019, 10:28 AM
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#257
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 151
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HONG KONG 11-9
ALCARI is scheduled to run RACE 10 at SHA TIN ( 11-9) . This horse might have had a issue on a WORKOUT on 11-4 .
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11-08-2019, 02:15 PM
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#258
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hopbet
ALCARI is scheduled to run RACE 10 at SHA TIN ( 11-9) . This horse might have had a issue on a WORKOUT on 11-4 .
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Alcari looks decent enough on paper to get a share, but on paper it looks like the race is between Super Star and Craigs Star. Well have to see how the betting goes.
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11-08-2019, 10:45 PM
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#259
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SAT - 11/9/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with all 10 races with 8 on Turf and 2 on Dirt:
(Class from top to bottom) - (1)-Class-1, (4)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5
Post Time Race #1 11:15 PM SAT EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.Quite a few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1-1200M C4 (6F)T
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4-13-9 W/ 10-6-12
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.11:15 AM
R#2- 1800M C5 (9F)T
..11-1-10 W/ 2-5-4
..
.11:45 AM
R#3 1400M C4 (7F)T
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8-14-12 W/ 2-11-6
.12:15 AM
R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D
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.3-4-2 W/ 9-11-5
....12:45 AM
R#5- 1000M C3 (5F)T
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8-10-7 W/ 9-12-2
..
...1:15 AM
R#6- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D
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4-13-9 W/ 12-10-14
..1:50 AM
R#7 1400M C1 (7F)T
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....1-5-4 W/ 9-10-6
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2:20 AM
R#8- 1600M C4 (8F)T
6-7-1 W/ 13-14-8
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.2:50 AM
R#9- 2000M C3 (10F)T
. 2-10-3 W/ 9-5-1
....
3:25 AM
R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T
... 3-4-13 W/ 5-9-10
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4:00 AM
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.
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11-08-2019, 11:24 PM
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#260
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
R#1-1200M C4 (6F)T
4-13-9 W/ 10-6-12
.11:15 AM
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9-10-6-4 Dutch Win 34% Profit Margin - Passed / $58.20 Quinella & $676.20 Triple BX ($2,685.60 Quartet Bx) All of that one!
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11-08-2019, 11:42 PM
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#261
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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UPDATE: R#2- 1800M C5 (9F)T
11-1-10 W/ 2-5-12
.11:45 AM
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11-08-2019, 11:52 PM
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#262
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#2- 1800M C5 (9F)T
11-1-10 W/ 2-5-12
.11:45 AM
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9-5-4-11 Dutch Loss 138% Profit Margin / No action on the BIG LS Winner #9
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11-09-2019, 12:04 AM
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#263
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Sort of like the here...might even say a lot.
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11-09-2019, 12:10 AM
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#264
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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UPDATE: R#3 1400M C4 (7F)T
8-14-12 W/ 6-2-3
12:15 AM
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11-09-2019, 12:14 AM
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#265
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Sort of like the here...might even say a lot.
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Good morning Jay. #4 is not getting much action.
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11-09-2019, 12:19 AM
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#266
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,123
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
Good morning Jay. #4 is not getting much action.
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Ran like it to.
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11-09-2019, 12:23 AM
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#267
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#3 1400M C4 (7F)T
8-14-12 W/ 6-2-3
12:15 AM
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2-1-14-5 Dutch Loss 110% Profit Margin / Lots of late action on the Placer #1 Too late to post a change
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11-09-2019, 12:42 AM
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#268
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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UPDATE: R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D.3-11-5 W/ 9-2-7
12:45 AM
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11-09-2019, 12:54 AM
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#269
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D.3-11-5 W/ 9-2-7
12:45 AM
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3-11-7-13 Dutch Win 69% Profit Margin / $19.90 Quinella & $152.00 Triple
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11-09-2019, 01:11 AM
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#270
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,970
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UPDATE: R#5- 1000M C3 (5F)T
..
8-10-9 W/ 12-7-6
..
...1:15 AM
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