2018-2019 HONG KONG

[Nitro]

UPDATE: R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)T.…. 9-12-10 W/ 2-1-6 …….5:20 AM

[Nitro]

UPDATE: R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)T.…. 9-12-10 W/ 2-1-6 …….5:20 AM

6-10-1-3 – Dutch Loss 151% Profit Margin-Passed – Quota reached / $32.70 Quinella & $355.80 Triple / ALL of that one!

[Nitro]

UPDATE: R#10- 1600M C3 (8F)T... 5-2-8 W/ 1-12-14 …...5:50 AM

2-12-3-11 – Big Dutch Win 110% Margin/Did I say Pass? Couldn’t pass up on that one
& $85.50 Quinella

It turned out to be a decent card. The Dutch Win bets produced a O.A. 31% Profit Margin return hitting 5 of 7 playable races (which included the last race). There were also quite a few nice Verticals as well. By playing all 10 races and boxing all 6 selections for Quinella bets in each race @ $30/race produced a Net Profit of $139.60 or a 47% Profit Margin.

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Happy Valley. April 3, 2019… 60th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 69 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: E 10 to 20mph.

Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course AWT, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20190403_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
None

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 316 (Winners: 5th & 9th, Second: 3rd)
Race 7 Nuclear Power (15-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 7 Simply Big (9-2)
Race 8 Good Fit (14-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 Enjoyable Success (2-1)
Race 7 Endearing (11-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
None

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 7 Blitzing (11-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
None

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 3 Team fortune (7-2)
Race 6 Star Luck (9-2)

Longshots:
None

[Nitro]

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 8 races at Sha Tin all to be run on Dirt:
(from top Class to bottom) -
(3)-Class-3 (3)-Class-4, (2)-Class-5

Post Time Race #1 – 7:15 AM WED EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined odds values of the selected entries add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1- 1650M C5 (8.25F)D…3-6-1 W/ 9-10-2 ….7:15 AM


R#2- 1200M C5 (6F)D…….6-3-10 W/ 8-11-9 .…7:45 AM


R#3– 1200M C3 (6F)D…..3-7-2 W/ 5-1--- –…...8:15 AM


R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)D…....6-3-7 W/ 11-4-2 …...8:45 AM


R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D...7-1-2 W/ 10-6-3….…9:15 AM


R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)D…...8-6-10 W/ 7-12-2 …..9:45 AM


R#7– 1200M C3 (6F)D…...7-4-8 W/ 2-1-10 …...10:15 AM


R#8- 1800M C3 (9F)D…....9-13-8 W/ 4-6-1 ….10:50 AM
.
.

[Nitro]

R#1- 1650M C5 (8.25F)D…3-6-1 W/ 9-10-2 ….7:15 AM

9-7-10-6– Dutch Loss 67% Margin/

R#2- 1200M C5 (6F)D…….6-3-10 W/ 8-11-9 .…7:45 AM

6-12-9-5– Big Dutch Win 105% Margin/

R#3– 1200M C3 (6F)D…..3-7-2 W/ 5-1--- –…...8:15 AM

6-7-3-9– Dutch Loss 22% Margin-Passed/

R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)D…....6-3-7 W/ 11-4-2 …...8:45 AM

9-2-3-8– Dutch Loss 420% Margin/

R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D...7-1-2 W/ 10-6-3….…9:15 AM

7-1-10-2– Dutch Win 99% Margin / $62.60 Quinella & $625.40 Triple / ALL of that one!

R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)D…...8-6-10 W/ 7-12-2 …..9:45 AM

3-11-8-7– Dutch Loss 337% Margin/

R#7– 1200M C3 (6F)D…...7-4-8 W/ 2-1-10 …...10:15 AM

7-9-8-10– Dutch Win 24% Margin-Passed/

R#8- 1800M C3 (9F)D…....9-13-8 W/ 4-6-1 ….10:50 AM

13-7-4-3– Big Dutch Win 105% Margin/

It turned out to be another profitable card.
My Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Profit margin of only 10% and was hit from 3 of 6 playable races.
.
.

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Sha Tin. April 7, 2019… 61st race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 80 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: SW 5 to 10 mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “B+2”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20190407_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 4 Smart Leader (7-2) Is winless at Class 3 after 11 tries and 8 at Sha Tin and was beaten by a favourite in his last that had all kinds of trouble.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 145 (Winners: 1st & 4th, Second: 3rd)
Race 2 Our Green (70-1)

Race 261 (Winners: 4th & 11th, Second: 1st)
Race 4 Iron Boy (6-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 8 Styling City (7-1)
Race 9 Victory Boys (36-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 3 Pingwu Spark (14-1)
Race 7 Beauty Generation (1-5)
Race 8 Styling City (7-1)
Race 8 Full Of Beauty (4-5)
Race 9 Waikuku (9-5)
Race 10 Pakistan Friend (9-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 3 Mr Stunning (even)
Race 3 Beat The Clock (4-5)
Race 3 Rattan (12-1)
Race 7 Conte (16-1)
Race 8 Styling City (7-1)
Race 9 Waikuku (9-5)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 7 Rise High (27-1)
Race 8 Full Of Beauty (4-5)

Class specialists running tonight:
Race 3 Mr Stunning (even)
Race 7 Beauty Generation (1-5)

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 5 Play Wise (5-2) After finishing a game third beaten by a length while breaking from the 12 post and conceding 12 pounds to the winner Charity Wings, again he was unlucky at the draw and had to deal with an outside post. Zac did a real good job getting him as close to the rail as possible heading into the first turn, he became slightly rank when they hit the short turn and it took a while for Purton to get him to settle down. He moved to the three path in the final turn, and when they entered the stretch it looked as if he was going to pull it out but he flattened out mid-stretch and to Zac's better judgement didn't abuse him to the wire and just let him gallop out.

Race 6 Diamond Brilliant (6-1) In his career debut drew the 11 post with the short run to the turn at Sha Tin going 6 furlongs. He was installed into the gates with a hood which is removed a moment before the gates are sprung open, usually those runners break a step slow and that is exactly what he did losing almost a length to the field. Settled mid-pack soon afterwards but was forced out to the four path in the turn while having to deal with a rank Trust Me just underneath him, looked like he had a good chance of getting up at the 150 mark while racing in the middle of the track but began to tire with 50 metres left, and was out finished by the chalk Meridian Genius and the high weight winner Charizad. He should improve with the race under his belt and hopefully a better draw next time out.

Race 9 Dark Dream (7-2) He went off as the second betting choice to Waikuku who drew the 14 post, he had finished second to Mission Tycoon who was a huge price and was allowed to set an easy pace in his last, now he drew the 8 post in his biggest race to date. Purton placed him mid-pack heading into the first turn but was three wide in it, down the backside Zac moved him closer to the front runners but still three wide in the final turn. In the stretch he conceded the lead to the winner Furore with 200 metres to go without much of a fight, 2 000 metres may be a little much for him.

Race 10 Noble Steed (9-2) Drew the 12 post in a full Class 3 field, after running second to Kasi Farasi (who has since come back and won again) in his previous race while encountering significant trouble.Sylvester took him to the rear soon after the break trying to compensate on the bad draw, entering the stretch de Sousa moved him to the 5 path, and at the 300 metre mark after weaving thru some traffic his rider put the stick to him and he responded well even when he switched back to his wrong lead step and was gaining on the winner Happy Force who had a 16 pound weight advantage, and if the race was 1402 metres he would have gotten up while running away from the rest of the field.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 10 Invincible Missile (5-2)

Key Plays:
Race 5 Play Wise (5-2)
Race 9 Dark Dream (7-2)
Race 10 Noble Steed (9-2)

Longshots:
Race 7 Conte (16-1)
Race 8 Water Diviner (21-1)

[Nitro]

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with all 10 to be run on Turf:
(from top Class to bottom) -
(2)-Class-GR2, (1)-Class-1, (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (3)-Class-4

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. This morning’s card looks wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1- 1000M C3 (5F)T…... 4-6-8 W/ 3-10-1 …...1:00 AM


R#2- 1400M C4 (7F)T...… 4-7-11 W/ 9-2-10 .…1:30 AM


R#3– 1200M G2 (6F)T…... 1-2-5 W/ 3------- ….2:00 AM


R#4- 1200M C3 (6F)T….. 4-6-10 W/ 11-7-9 …..2:30 AM


R#5- 1400M C4 (7F)T…. 2-1-10 W/ 6-4-13……..3:00 AM


R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T….. 3-2-5 W/ 9-12-7 ……..3:35 AM


R#7– 1600M G2 (8F)T….. 1-3-8 W/ 2-5--- .......4:05 AM


R#8- 1200M C2 (6F)T…..… 5-6-3 W/ 4-9-7 …..…4:35 AM


R#9- 2000M C1 (10F)T… 2-4-6 W/ 5-1-14-10 …5:10 AM


R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T... 1-11-8 W/ 7-13-4-3 …5:45 AM
.
.

[Racetrack Playa]

Hey Nitro &Woodbine


GL @2nite
r1
orionids

[Nitro]

R#1- 1000M C3 (5F)T…. 4-6-8 W/ 3-10-1 …...1:00 AM

8-10-6-1– Dutch Win 52% Profit Margin / $13.10 Quinella & $197.40 Triple ($1,266.60 Quartet)/ ALL of that one!

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Racetrack Playa

Hey Nitro &Woodbine

Hey there RT Playa! GL to you also!

[Racetrack Playa]

Wtg Nitro


r2
SupremePlus
:

[Nitro]

R#2- 1400M C4 (7F)T.… 4-7-11 W/ 9-2-10 .…1:30 AM

4-13-6-14– Dutch Win 42% Profit Margin-Passed / Not much action on the LS Placer #13

[Racetrack Playa]

r3
WinnersWay

[Nitro]

R#3– 1200M G2 (6F)T…. 1-2-5 W/ 3------- ….2:00 AM

3-2-1-5– Dutch Loss -10% Profit Margin-Passed / $27.40 Quinella (Some great value!) & $92.00 Triple ($352.60 Quartet)/ ALL of that one!